Fiorio Economics

Jose Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer
Independent Researcher in Economics and Finance

Independent researcher in economics and finance, focusing on exchange rate dynamics, international macroeconomics, monetary policy, and applied econometrics, with additional work on foreign direct investment (FDI), capital budgeting, and investment decision-making in emerging markets. His research emphasizes empirical analysis of small open economies, regional spillovers, and commodity-linked macro-financial relationships, with a particular focus on Latin America and Paraguay. 

Short Biography

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer is an independent researcher in economics and finance, with a focus on foreign direct investment (FDI), capital budgeting, investment decision-making, and applied quantitative methods. His research combines empirical analysis with practical financial modeling, emphasizing emerging markets, particularly Latin America and Paraguay.

In parallel with his academic work, he produces structured educational content and tutorials on quantitative finance, statistics, and applied economics through his YouTube channel. These tutorials cover topics such as correlation analysis, descriptive statistics, valuation techniques, portfolio theory, and Excel-based financial modeling, bridging academic concepts with practical implementation.

His work is published on open academic platforms including Zenodo, SSRN, and ORCID, and is intended to support students, practitioners, and researchers seeking rigorous yet accessible explanations of core concepts in finance and economics.

Publications / Working Papers

• Competitividad de la Inversión Extranjera Directa en Paraguay:
  Una perspectiva comparativa en el Cono Sur
  José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2025)
  Working Paper – Zenodo
  DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18002443
  
  

• Análisis de los factores clave que afectan la atracción de la
  Inversión Extranjera Directa en el Paraguay
  José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2025)
  Working Paper – Zenodo
  DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17931351

• Recent GDP Growth Performance and Investment Signaling in Paraguay: Evidence and Implications

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2025)

Working Paper – Zenodo

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18049109

• Desempeño reciente del crecimiento del PIB y señalización de inversión en Paraguay

     José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2025)

     Working Paper – Zenodo

     DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18060624

• Paraguay antes y después de la Guerra de la Triple Alianza:
  Devastación demográfica, exclusión geopolítica y resiliencia económica
  Paraguay before and after the War of the Triple Alliance: Demographic devastation, geopolitical exclusion, and economic resilience

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2025)
Working Paper – Zenodo
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18067822

• Paraguay Before and After the War of the Triple Alliance:

Demographic Devastation, Geopolitical Exclusion, and Economic Resilience

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2025)

Working Paper – Zenodo (English translation)

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18071475 

• Commodity Prices and Exchange Rate Dynamics in Paraguay: An Empirical Analysis of USD/PYG, Soybean, and Cotton Prices

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2026)

Working Paper – Zenodo

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18114444 

• USD–PYG and Agricultural Export Prices: An Econometric Analysis

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2026)

Working Paper – Zenodo

     DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18133399 

• Exchange Rate Determinants in Paraguay: Trade, Monetary Policy, and Regional Spillovers  

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2026)  

Working Paper – Zenodo  

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18165237

• Brazil as Paraguay’s Principal Economic Partner: Structural Trade Integration, Energy Interdependence, and Regional Spillovers

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer (2026)
Working Paper – Zenodo
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18172762

Author Profiles & Research Repositories 

▪ ORCID:
https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3589-8643

▪ Google Scholar:
https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=AvV_ZQcAAAAJ

• Zenodo (DOI):

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18049109

• Zenodo Records:

All working papers and preprints are archived on Zenodo and can be accessed via the records listed below. 

https://zenodo.org/records/17931351

https://zenodo.org/records/18002443

https://zenodo.org/records/18049109

https://zenodo.org/records/18060624

https://zenodo.org/records/18067822

https://zenodo.org/records/18071476

https://zenodo.org/records/18114444

https://zenodo.org/records/18133400

https://zenodo.org/records/18165237

https://zenodo.org/records/18172762

▪ SSRN (Elsevier) Author Page:
Author Page for Jose Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer :: SSRN 

▪ Academia.edu:
https://independentresearcher.academia.edu/JoseFiorioWeberhofer

Video Lectures

Selected video lectures on quantitative finance, capital budgeting, and investment analysis

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer – Finance & Economics

Video lecture on minimum variance portfolio construction using inverse coefficient of variation (CV) weighting.

Excel-based quantitative finance tutorial. 

José Aurelio Fiorio Weberhofer – Finance & Economics

Video lecture on cointegration and long-run equilibrium in the USD/PYG exchange rate, using the Engle–Granger two-step methodology.

The lecture explains the distinction between short-run dynamics and long-run relationships in non-stationary time series, and illustrates how agricultural export prices, interest rate differentials, and regional spillovers contribute to the long-term equilibrium behavior of the Paraguayan guaraní.

This video complements the author’s working papers on exchange rate determinants in Paraguay and is intended for students and researchers interested in applied econometrics, macroeconomic modeling, and emerging market exchange rates.

Additional lecture videos and finance tutorials are available on YouTube channel.