I am a postdoctoral researcher in finance at the Technical University of Munich and currently on the 2025–2026 academic job market.
My research has been published in the Journal of Financial Economics and the Journal of Empirical Finance.
Email: christian.breitung@tum.de
CV
Text Is All You Need: Asset Pricing Without Returns – Job Market Paper (Link)
How should investors value firms without return histories? In standard valuation practice, discounted cash flow models require a firm-specific cost of equity, yet this cannot be estimated when trading data are missing. Investors therefore rely on public peer-based betas as coarse proxies for systematic risk, introducing valuation errors whenever firm-specific exposures differ from peer norms. Using IPOs as a natural laboratory, I show that textual risk disclosures can substitute for missing return data. I develop Aggregated Cluster Embeddings (ACE), which convert qualitative risk narratives into structured firm-level representations. Disclosure-based betas reduce market beta prediction errors by up to 27 percent relative to peer-based betas. However, investors underweight this information at issuance, and firms whose disclosures imply lower risk than their industry peers are initially undervalued, yielding monthly six-factor alphas of 97 basis points. These excess returns fade as return histories accumulate, consistent with markets gradually learning firm-specific covariances. The results highlight a mechanism of information substitution and investor inattention in pricing firms without trading histories.
Global Business Networks (with Sebastian Müller), Journal of Financial Economics (2025).
We generate historical business descriptions with LLMs and construct a time-varying global business network using embedding models.
Automated Stock Picking using Random Forests , Journal of Empirical Finance (2023).
I apply a machine learning model to technical indicators to calculate the outperformance probability of stocks.
Macroeconomic reports and the cross-section of industry returns – Working Paper (Link)
with Sebastian Müller and Garvin Kruthof
Machine Learning the Impact of Climate Change on Firms Worldwide – Work in Progress
with Gerard Hoberg and Sebastian Müller
Machine Learning the Performance of Mutual Funds on a Global Scale – Work in Progress
with Manuel Mazidi, Sebastian Müller and Florian Weigert
Five years of teaching experience since 2020. Selected courses include:
Investment and Financial Management
Digital Finance
Advanced Seminar in Finance and Accounting
John A. Doukas Doctoral Best Paper Award
Text is All You Need: Beta Estimation Using Aggregated Cluster Embeddings, European Financial Management Association, 2025
Doctoral Award
Friends of TUM Association, For an outstanding dissertation in finance