Potassium Iodide Price Trends and Demand Forecast Analysis

Potassium Iodide Price Trends in North America and Global Markets – July 2025 Analysis

Introduction

Potassium Iodide (KI) is an essential inorganic compound widely used in pharmaceuticals, nutritional supplements, radioprotective formulations, and certain industrial applications. Tracking its price movements is critical for manufacturers, suppliers, and downstream industries, as fluctuations can significantly impact production costs and supply chain planning. In July 2025, the global Potassium Iodide market witnessed continued softness, with North America, Europe, APAC, and MEA all reporting declines in price indices. This article examines the latest price trends, underlying market drivers, and regional analysis for Potassium Iodide 99%.

North America: Persistent Downward Trend

Price Movement Overview

In July 2025, the Price Index for Potassium Iodide in North America continued its downward trajectory. Following a sharp 14.89% decline in June, the market extended its weakness into the new month as fundamentals remained subdued. The US market, being a significant consumer of Potassium Iodide for pharmaceutical and radioprotective applications, reflected lower procurement interest amid sufficient inventories.

The declining trend indicates that buyers exercised caution, delaying purchases in anticipation of further price corrections. As a result, spot prices softened across key regional hubs, contributing to a bearish sentiment in the market.

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Market Drivers

Several factors contributed to the continued decline in North America:

1. Weak Demand from Pharmaceutical Formulators – With end-user industries adjusting inventory levels after Q2 restocking, there was lower immediate demand for bulk Potassium Iodide.

2. High Inventory Levels – Carryover stocks from previous months created downward pressure on spot prices.

3. Global Supply Surplus – International supply, particularly from APAC and European exporters, remained abundant, further exacerbating price weakness.

4. Stable Feedstock Costs – Iodine and related raw materials experienced minimal price volatility, removing a potential upward pressure on KI prices.

Implications for Stakeholders

For manufacturers and suppliers in North America, the prolonged downward trend suggests a buyer-favorable market. Procurement strategies may involve negotiating longer-term contracts to capitalize on lower spot prices. Conversely, for producers, maintaining profitability requires careful cost management and monitoring of global supply-demand dynamics.

Europe: Germany’s Market Shows Continued Weakness

Price Analysis

In Europe, the Potassium Iodide 99% CFR Hamburg (Germany) market demonstrated a notable price correction. In June 2025, the spot price averaged USD 61,780/MT, down 8.54% from May. This declining momentum carried over into July, with prices falling further to USD 59,100/MT, reflecting a 4.34% month-on-month decrease.

The decline was driven by several factors:

• Inventory Surplus – European distributors and end-users held significant stockpiles from earlier months, reducing the need for immediate replenishment.

• Weak Procurement Activity – Pharmaceutical and chemical industries adopted a wait-and-watch approach, postponing large-scale purchases.

• Competitive Import Prices – Imports from APAC markets at lower rates intensified pricing pressure on domestic and regional suppliers.

Market Dynamics

The European KI market, particularly in Germany, faces structural challenges, including:

1. Excess Production Capacity – Several European producers maintained high output levels despite soft demand.

2. Slow End-User Consumption – Lower pharmaceutical and nutritional supplement production during summer months contributed to subdued demand.

3. Global Price Correlation – European prices are influenced by international spot prices; the continued declines in APAC and MEA reinforced bearish sentiment.

For European buyers, July 2025 presented an opportunity to source Potassium Iodide at discounted rates. However, persistent low prices may squeeze supplier margins, necessitating strategic supply chain adjustments.

APAC: China Maintains a Downward Path

Price Trends

In the Asia-Pacific region, China, the largest producer and exporter of Potassium Iodide, saw the Price Index for 99% KI continue its downward trend in July 2025. FOB Shanghai prices fell from USD 56,430/MT in June to lower levels, marking a month-on-month decline.

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Influencing Factors

1. Overcapacity in Domestic Production – Chinese manufacturers continued operating at high production rates despite soft global demand.

2. Weak Export Orders – Reduced procurement from North America and Europe contributed to declining FOB prices.

3. Inventory Accumulation – Both domestic and export stocks increased, pressuring sellers to reduce prices to move inventory.

The Chinese market remains highly competitive, and exporters are keen to retain international customers, leading to further discounts in July. This trend is expected to influence global pricing in the coming months, given China’s dominant role in KI supply.

MEA: UAE Market Continues Bearish Momentum

Price Overview

In the Middle East and Africa, specifically the UAE, Potassium Iodide 99% prices continued their downward movement in July 2025. Following a sharp 8.58% decline in June, CFR Jebel Ali prices dropped further from USD 61,729/MT to lower levels in July, reflecting persistent bearish sentiment.

Market Drivers

• Soft Regional Demand – Limited consumption from pharmaceutical and chemical industries in the MEA region contributed to weak procurement activity.

• Global Oversupply – High availability from Asia and Europe created competitive pressure, forcing price reductions.

• Logistical and Storage Considerations – Prolonged inventory holding by regional distributors increased pressure to sell at lower prices.

The MEA region’s KI market is closely linked to global trends. As such, price movements in China and Europe directly impact the UAE market, reinforcing the downward trajectory observed in July 2025.

Comparative Regional Analysis

Region

June 2025 Price (USD/MT)

July 2025 Price (USD/MT)

Month-on-Month Change (%)

Key Drivers

North America

Decline from prior month

Continued decline

Extended 14.89% drop

Weak demand, high inventory, global supply surplus

Europe (Germany)

61,780

59,100

-4.34%

Inventory surplus, weak procurement, import pressure

APAC (China)

56,430

Lower levels

Declining

Overcapacity, weak exports, inventory accumulation

MEA (UAE)

61,729

Lower levels

Declining

Soft regional demand, global oversupply

The table highlights the consistent bearish trend across all major regions, with North America experiencing the sharpest cumulative decline due to persistent weak fundamentals.

Factors Driving the Global Downward Trend

1. Oversupply Across Key Markets

Global production capacity of Potassium Iodide has outpaced consumption, particularly in APAC and Europe. This oversupply has led to a surplus in inventories, which in turn created downward pressure on spot prices across regions.

2. Subdued End-User Demand

Pharmaceutical and chemical industries, the primary consumers of Potassium Iodide, have moderated their procurement strategies in response to economic uncertainties, seasonal production adjustments, and existing inventory levels.

3. Competitive International Trade

The high export volumes from China and India, offering competitive pricing, have intensified pressure on regional suppliers in North America, Europe, and MEA to reduce prices, aligning with global market levels.

4. Stable Raw Material Costs

Iodine and other feedstocks for KI production maintained relatively stable prices during the period. Without significant increases in input costs, suppliers had limited justification to raise KI prices, further contributing to the downward trend.

Forecast and Market Outlook

Short-Term Outlook

In the near term, the Potassium Iodide market is expected to maintain a bearish bias:

• North America – Prices may continue to soften unless demand from pharmaceutical or specialty chemical sectors picks up. Seasonal restocking in Q3 could provide temporary upward support.

• Europe – German and regional markets are likely to remain under pressure as oversupply persists and end-users continue to adopt cautious procurement strategies.

• APAC – Chinese FOB prices may experience minor fluctuations, but the overall trajectory remains downward due to overcapacity and weak export demand.

• MEA – UAE and neighboring markets will mirror global trends, with prices remaining under downward pressure.

Long-Term Considerations

Over the longer term, any supply adjustments, production cuts, or increases in iodine feedstock costs could stabilize or reverse the declining trend. Additionally, growing demand in pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, and radioprotective applications may support gradual price recovery if market conditions tighten.

Conclusion

July 2025 saw a consistent decline in Potassium Iodide 99% prices across North America, Europe, APAC, and MEA. In North America, the extended downward trend followed a sharp decline in June, driven by weak fundamentals, high inventories, and subdued demand. Europe, particularly Germany, faced similar pressures, with inventory surplus and weak procurement activity pushing prices lower. China continued to lead global supply, with FOB Shanghai prices reflecting a declining trajectory, while the UAE market mirrored these global trends with continued bearish momentum.

Overall, the global KI market in July 2025 remained characterized by oversupply, cautious procurement, and competitive international pricing. Stakeholders across regions must adopt strategic sourcing, inventory management, and cost optimization practices to navigate the current market environment effectively. Monitoring developments in demand from pharmaceutical and specialty chemical industries, as well as supply adjustments, will be crucial in forecasting near-term price movements.

Get Real Time Prices for Potassium Iodide: https://www.chemanalyst.com/Pricing-data/potassium-iodide-1619

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