Lecture Materials

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Session Introduction

  • Session Introduction (YouTube)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • The following prerequisites are optional.

[Prerequisite 1] Why is causal inference so challenging?

[Prerequisite 2] Purpose of causal inference

[Prerequisite 3] Endogeneity and causal inference

Module 1. Research Design for Causal Inference

[7/6, 10 am KST] Session 1. Potential Outcomes Framework: Causal Mindset

  • Instructor: Jiyong Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 1-1] 인과추론의 다양한 접근법

[Session 1-2] 잠재적결과 프레임워크 (Potential Outcomes Framework)

[Session 1-3] 인과적 사고방식

[7/7, 10 am KST] Session 2. Overview of Research Design for Causal Inference

  • Instructor: Jiyong Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • Reading List

Deaton, A. and Cartwright, N., 2018. Understanding and Misunderstanding Randomized Controlled Trials. Social Science & Medicine, 210, pp.2-21. (Download)

Goldfarb, A. and Tucker, C.E., 2014. Conducting Research with Quasi-Experiments: A Guide for Marketers. Rotman School of Management Working Paper No. 2420920. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 2-1] 인과추론을 위한 연구 디자인

[Session 2-2] 인과추론의 정석: 무작위 통제실험 (Randomized Controlled Trial)

[Session 2-3] 실험 아닌, 실험 같은 준실험 (Quasi-Experiment)

[Session 2-4] 준실험 분석도구: 이중차분법 & 회귀불연속 (Difference-in-Differences & Regression Discontinuity)

[7/9, 11 am KST] Session 3. Causal Inference in Business Research (1) Randomized Experiment

  • Guest Speaker: Hyeokkoo Eric Kwon (Assistant Professor of Information Technology and Operations Management, Nanyang Technological University)

  • Guest Speaker: Nakyung Kyung (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, National University of Singapore)

  • Lecture Note 1 (PDF)

  • Lecture Note 2 (PDF)

  • Reading List

Ghose, A., Kwon, H.E., Lee, D. and Oh, W., 2019. Seizing the Commuting Moment: Contextual Targeting based on Mobile Transportation Apps. Information Systems Research, 30(1), pp.154-174. (Download)

Kyung, N., Kwon, H.E. and Ravichandran, T.R., 2021. Walk for Whom? The Effectiveness of Egoistic and Philanthropic Incentive Designs for Mobile Health Interventions. Working Paper. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 3-1] 무작위 통제실험 연구사례 1: 출근시간 타켓 마케팅의 인과적 효과

[Session 3-2] 무작위 통제실험 연구사례 2: 걷기 운동 동기부여를 위한 모바일앱 인센티브 디자인

[7/10, 10 am KST] Session 4. Causal Inference in Industry (1) A/B Test

  • Guest Speaker: Younseok Lee (Product Owner/Software Engineer, ex-Coupang)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 4] IT기업에서의 A/B 테스트 활용

[7/12, 10 am KST] Session 5. Causal Inference in Business Research (2) Quasi-Experiment

  • Guest Speaker: Yongjin Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, City University of Hong Kong)

  • Guest Speaker: Yoonseock Son (Assistant Professor of IT, Analytics, and Operations, University of Notre Dame)

  • Lecture Note 1 (PDF)

  • Lecture Note 2 (PDF)

  • Reading List

Park, Y., Bang, Y. and Ahn, J.H., 2020. How Does the Mobile Channel Reshape the Sales Distribution in E-Commerce?. Information Systems Research, 31(4), pp.1164-1182. (Download)

Son, Y.,Oh, W., and Im, I., 2021. The Voice of Commerce: How AI Speakers Reshape Digital Content Consumption and Preference. Working Paper. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 5-1] 준실험 연구사례 1: 모바일 커머스가 쇼핑 패턴에 미치는 영향

[Session 5-2] 준실험 연구사례 2: 스마트 스피커가 컨텐츠 소비에 미치는 영향

[7/14, 10 am KST] Session 6. Configurational Approach for Causal Recipes with QCA

  • Guest Speaker: YoungKi Park (Associate Professor of Information Systems & Technology Management, George Washington University)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Reading List

Park, Y., Fiss, P.C. and El Sawy, O.A., 2020. Theorizing the Multiplicity of Digital Phenomena: The Ecology of Configurations, Causal Recipes, and Guidelines for Applying QCA. MIS Quarterly, 44(4), pp.1492-1520. (Download)

Park, Y. and Mithas, S., 2020. Organized Complexity of Digital Business Strategy: A Configurational Perspective. MIS Quarterly, 44(1), pp.85-127. (Download)

[7/16, 10 am KST] Session 7. Graphical Model of Causal Relationships

  • Instructor: Jiyong Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • Reading List

Pearl, J., 2019. The Seven Tools of Causal Inference, with Reflections on Machine Learning. Communications of the ACM, 62(3), pp.54-60. (Download)

Imbens, G.W., 2020. Potential Outcome and Directed Acyclic Graph Approaches to Causality: Relevance for Empirical Practice in Economics. Journal of Economic Literature, 58(4), pp.1129-79. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 7-1] 인과 그래프 (Causal Diagram)

[Session 7-2] 인과 그래프에서의 변수 통제방법

[Session 7-3] 인과 그래프에서의 인과추론 전략

[Session 7-4] 인과 그래프의 응용

[Session 7/8 - 보충 1] 베이지안 네트워크 (Bayesian Network)

[Session 7/8 - 보충 2] 베이지안 네트워크에서의 상관관계 증명

[7/17, 10 am KST] Session 8. Causal Inference in Industry (2) Causal Diagram

  • Guest Speaker: Hojae Lee (Analyst, NCSoft Intelligence & Insight Division)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 8] 인과 그래프를 활용한 통제변수 디자인 (게임분석 사례)

[7/21, 10 am KST] Session 9. Instrumental Variables

  • Instructor: Jiyong Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • Reading List

Sovey, A.J. and Green, D.P., 2011. Instrumental Variables Estimation in Political Science: A Readers’ Guide. American Journal of Political Science, 55(1), pp.188-200. (Download)

Swanson, S.A. and Hernán, M.A., 2013. Commentary: How to Report Instrumental Variable Analyses. Epidemiology, 24(3), pp.370-374. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 9-1] 도구 변수 (Instrumental Variable)

[Session 9-2] 도구 변수의 활용 사례

[Session 9-3] 도구 변수의 활용 팁

[7/23, 10 am KST] Session 10. Causal Inference in Biomedical Research: Meta-Analysis and Generalizability

  • Guest Speaker: Hwanhee Hong (Assistant Professor of Biostatistics, Duke University)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Reading List

Hong, H., Fu, H., Price, K.L. and Carlin, B.P., 2015. Incorporation of Individual‐Patient Data in Network Meta‐Analysis for Multiple Continuous Endpoints, with Application to Diabetes Treatment. Statistics in Medicine, 34(20), pp.2794-2819. (Download)

Susukida, R., Crum, R.M., Hong, H., Stuart, E.A. and Mojtabai, R., 2018. Comparing Pharmacological Treatments for Cocaine Dependence: Incorporation of Methods for Enhancing Generalizability in Meta‐Analytic Studies. International Journal of Methods in Psychiatric Research, 27(4), p.e1609. (Download)

Module 2. Machine Learning for Causal Inference

[7/26, 10 am KST] Session 11. Overview of Machine Learning for Causal Inference

  • Instructor: Jiyong Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • Reading List

Hernán, M.A., Hsu, J. and Healy, B., 2019. A Second Chance to Get Causal Inference Right: A Classification of Data Science Tasks. Chance, 32(1), pp.42-49. (Download)

Hofman, J.M., Watts, D.J., Athey, S., Garip, F., Griffiths, T.L., Kleinberg, J., Margetts, H., Mullainathan, S., Salganik, M.J., Vazire, S. and Vespignani, A., 2021. Integrating Explanation and Prediction in Computational Social Science. Nature, pp.1-8. (Download)

Mullainathan, S. and Spiess, J., 2017. Machine Learning: An Applied Econometric Approach. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(2), pp.87-106. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 11-1] 인과추론과 예측 방법론의 차이

[Session 11-2] 실증연구에서의 빅데이터와 머신러닝의 역할

[Session 11-3] 인과추론에서의 머신러닝의 활용

[Session 11-4] 인과추론 기반의 예측 모델링 평가

[7/28, 10 am KST] Session 12. Applications of Machine Learning in Marketing

  • Guest Speaker: Jongho Kim (PhD Student in Quant Marketing, Cornell University)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 12] 머신러닝을 통한 비정형 데이터 분석 (마케팅 연구사례)

[7/30, 10 am KST] Session 13. Causal Applications of Machine Learning Models

  • Guest Speaker: Daehwan Ahn (Postdoctoral Researcher, The Wharton School of University of Pennsylvania)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 13-1] 머신러닝의 해석 가능성과 인과추론

[Session 13-2] 인과추론을 위한 머신러닝 모델

[8/3, 11 am KST] Session 14. Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation Using Machine Learning

  • Guest Speaker: Yejin Kim (Assistant Professor of Biomedical Informatics, UT Health)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Reading List

Curth, A. and Schaar, M., 2021. Nonparametric Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: From Theory to Learning Algorithms. In International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (pp. 1810-1818). (Download)

Alaa, A. and Schaar, M., 2018. Limits of Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: Guidelines for Practical Algorithm Design. In International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 129-138). (Download)

Künzel, S.R., Sekhon, J.S., Bickel, P.J. and Yu, B., 2019. Metalearners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learning. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(10), pp.4156-4165. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 14-1] 신약 개발에서의 인과추론의 역할과 한계

[Session 14-2] 머신러닝을 활용한 이질적 인과관계 분석 (Heterogeneous Treatment Effect)

[8/4, 10 am KST] Session 15. Causal Decision Making and Prescriptive Analytics

  • Instructor: Jiyong Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • Reading List

McFowland, E., Gangarapu, S., Bapna, R. and Sun, T., 2021. A Prescriptive Analytics Framework for Optimal Policy Deployment Using Heterogeneous Treatment Effects. MIS Quarterly. forthcoming. (Download)

Sloman, S.A. and Lagnado, D., 2015. Causality in Thought. Annual Review of Psychology, 66, pp.223-247. (Download)

Schölkopf, B., Locatello, F., Bauer, S., Ke, N.R., Kalchbrenner, N., Goyal, A. and Bengio, Y., 2021. Toward Causal Representation Learning. Proceedings of the IEEE, 109(5), pp.612-634. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 15-1] 인과적 의사결정 (Causal Decision Making)

[Session 15-2] 처방적 분석 (Prescriptive Analytics)

[Session 15-3] 처방적 분석 연구사례

[8/6, 10 am KST] Session 16. Causal Inference under the Rubric of Structural Causal Model

Elias Bareinboim, Juan Correa, Duligur Ibeling, and Thomas Icard. 2021. "On Pearl’s Hierarchy and the Foundations of Causal Inference," ACM special volume in honor of Judea Pearl. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 16-1] 구조적 인과모형 (Structural Causal Model)

[Session 16-2] 구조적 인과모형에서의 인과추론 방법론

[8/9, 10 am KST] Session 17. Dataset Construction for Causal Analysis: Data Science for COVID-19 (DS4C)

  • Guest Speaker: Jimi Kim (PhD Student in Statistics, University of Texas at Dallas)

  • Lecture Note (PDF)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 17] 인과추론을 위한 데이터셋 구성 (코로나19 사례)

[8/11, 10 am KST] Session 18. Synthetic Control / Causal Discovery

  • Instructor: Jiyong Park (Assistant Professor of Information Systems, University of North Carolina at Greensboro)

  • Lecture Note (PDF / PPT)

  • Reading List

Abadie, A., 2021. Using Synthetic Controls: Feasibility, Data Requirements, and Methodological Aspects. Journal of Economic Literature, 59(2), pp.391-425. (Download)

Glymour, C., Zhang, K. and Spirtes, P., 2019. Review of Causal Discovery Methods Based on Graphical Models. Frontiers in Genetics, 10, p.524. (Download)

  • Videos in Korean

[Session 18-1] 가상의 통제집단 (Synthetic Control)

[Session 18-2] 가상의 통제집단 분석 사례

[가상의 통제집단 연습문제] GS25 를 둘러싼 남혐 논란과 매출 변화에 대한 인과적 분석

[Session 18-3] 데이터 기반의 인과관계 발견 (Causal Discovery)