RATIONAL CONSUMER CHOICE
--ASSUMPTIONS--
"No not a '#$#%' but..."
--Scroll down to find out--
"So if those are the characteristics of an irrational consumer, what would be the characteristics of a rational consumer?"
--1️⃣ CONSUMER RATIONALITY--
"Are you are capable of making a choice?"
If you said "Yes" then you are being rational,
The COMPLETENESS ASSUMPTION states that a rational consumer should always be able to RANK THEIR PREFERENCES and say,
“I prefer A over B,” “I prefer B over A,” or “I’m indifferent.”
"Why is this assumption necessary?" Well, if someone can’t decide—e.g., “I have no idea if I prefer going to the gym or staying home,” or “I can’t compare apples to oranges at all”—then their preference system is incomplete, meaning they cannot fully construct a rational demand pattern because without clear preferences, you cannot optimise satisfaction (utility)—which is the whole point of rational choice theory.
Real-world example: "I always prefer Coke to Pepsi"
"Are you consistent with your choices?"
The TRANSIVITY ASSUMPTION states that a rational consumer should always be able to KEEP THEIR PREFERENCES CONSISTENT and say, "If I prefer A over B, and B over C — I should logically prefer A over C."
"Why is this assumption necessary?" Well, how could a reliable demand curve exist if consumers kept changing their minds—preferring A over B one moment, B over C the next, and suddenly C over A?”
Real-world example: "I always prefer Coke to Pepsi, and I'd rather have a Pepsi over a Sprite, so I definitely prefer Coke to Sprite."
"Do you believe more is always better?"
The NON-SATIATION ASSUMPTION states that a rational consumer should always be able to say, "I prefer more of a good rather than less."
"Why is this assumption necessary?" Well, how could a demand curve slope downwards if consumers actually preferred less of a product rather than more of it?”
Real-world example: "If the price of Coke falls, I would prefer to buy more"
--Use the markscheme below to construct both 10-mark answers--
"In a perfect world, the price I am willing to pay for something is perfectly informed, as I am fully aware of the full costs and full benefits that it will give me, so I can make a really good judgement on its value and pay accordingly." "Sound realistic?"
--2️⃣ PERFECT INFORMATION--
In order to construct your individual demand curve it is assumed that you are able to base the price you are wilingness to pay for each unit, on your 'well-informed' idea of the benefit ('utility') that you will recieve from consuming it right!
"I know what a coke tastes like, I know what the price of alternatives are, I know the basic health implicatons of drinking it, and I am not influenced by any adverts, therefore, i'm happy to pay $10 for my first cup and so on..."
Therefore, for this to be true you would need to have PERFECT KNOWLEDGE about the benefits and satisfaction that they will receive from consuming the good or service and hence THE PRICE THEY CONSUMERS ARE PREPARED TO PAY IS FULLY REFLECTIVE OF THEIR PRECISE EXPECTED STREAM OF BENEFITS, WHICH THEY ALWAYS SEEK TO MAXIMISE.
--3️⃣ UTILITY MAXIMISATION--
“When I consume a good or service, I not only know the full costs and the full benefits, but also know exactly when my satisfaction is maximised, so I always buy the precise quantity that makes me the happiest."
In addition to being PERFECTLY INFORMED rational individuals will always SEEK TO MAXIMISE THEIR OWN 'SELFISH' SATISFACTION ('UTILITY'), and consume up to the point where their marginal benefit = marginal cost.
Is this realistic? If you’re buying for someone else, how do you know their level of benefit accurately? Do people never overeat at a buffet, drink more than they should, or buy extra things they don’t really need? In theory, the demand curve is perfectly accurate in every way. In reality… maybe not so much.
--LIMITATIONS--
Can you think of anytime you did the following?
Choose a restaurant with a line out the door over the empty one."
Bought a product because it's a "#1 Bestseller."
Bought a toothpaste because it's "recommended by 9 out of 10 dentists,"
Believing a sleek, modern smartphone is more powerful and reliable than a clunkier-looking one.
Bought something as there were "Only 5 left in stock!" or "Limited time offer!" as you perceived a sense of urgency and higher value.
⚠️STOP EVERYTHING!!!! Your mind is completely BIASED and manipulated! YOUR DEMAND DECISIONS ARE COMPLETELY OUT OF YOUR CONTROL and in no way based on PERFECT INFORMATION, you are INCAPABLE OF ESTIMATING the true level of SATISFACTION that you will receive from consuming a good or service.
Furthermore, we are under the influence of so many COGNITIVE BIASES that you LACK THE KNOWLEDGE, and PATIENCE to make a truly informed decision ('Bounded rationality'). You take mental shortcuts based on experience and common sense ('Rules of thumb') because you like to simplify complicated decisions.
When buying a product you always focus on how much discount is being offered, rather than on the justification for the original price ('Anchoring bias'). You rely on the most recent information and reviews to influence your choices ('Availability bias') rather than look at the 'whole picture', and you allow yourself to be fooled by aesthetics and cosmetic appeal to make your choices. !!!YOU ARE COMPLETELY IRRATIONAL!!!
DON'T AGREE? THEN WATCH THE VIDEO BELOW
"Whenever I ask the teacher how to decide on the number of real-world examples to include in my answer, he says, 'Just to be safe, do a minimum of two.' I'm not sure where he gets this guidance from, but it's easy to remember and usually results in good grades."
"Whenever I ask the teacher how many real-world examples to include in my answer, he says, 'Just to be safe, do a minimum of two.' I'm not sure where he gets this from, but it's easy to remember."
A RULE OF THUMB refers to an approximate method for doing something, based on practical experience rather than theory.
"Imagine you tell yourself you’ll only eat one slice of pizza because that’s surely the amount that gives you the most satisfaction; any more and you’ll just feel bloated and guilty. But then the second slice is just sitting there… looking warm… smelling amazing… Suddenly you're three slices in, feeling sick and regretting everything, that's irrational dude"
BOUNDED SELF-CONTROL refers to how in reality a person is not able to control their consumption to the quantity that maximises their satisfaction Not only do people have trouble establishing this amount but they often exceed it.
"In my opinion, buying an iPhone is like choosing a restaurant just because the sign outside looks fancy. You don’t check the menu, read the reviews, or ask how good the food actually is—you just assume that if the logo is shiny and the name is popular, it must be good. In reality, the no-brand alternative might last longer and have more functionality at half the price, but you’ll never know because your brain took the irrational shortcut."
BOUNDED RATIONALITY refers to how in reality a person is either not able or not willing to seek information that would help them understand the true value and worth of a decision. This could be due to lack of access to the information, lack of mental capacity to comprehend it or simply lack of time available to gather, learn and process it.
"I'm not swimming at the beach because of that dramatic shark attack video I just saw on YouTube. Never mind that shark attacks are insanely rare—I remember that one scary clip so clearly that it feels like it happens all the time."
AVAILABILITY BIAS refers to how we often BASE OUR DECISION-MAKING on RECENT INFORMATION or IMAGES rather than look at a choice in its entirety.
EXPLAIN USING THE CONCEPT OF 'AVAILABILITY BIAS' HOW THE FOLLOWING THREE IMAGES INFLUENCE DECISION-MAKING REGARDING THE DEMAND FOR SWIMMING TRUNKS IN SPAIN, PLANE TICKETS, AND LOTTERY TICKETS.
How do you feel about deciding to study the IBDP economics course after hearing these two statements?
"Unfortunately, 20% of all IBDP economics students fail!!!!"
"A whopping 80% of IBDP econ students pass, whoop, whoop!"
FRAMING BIAS refers to how our decision-making is highly influenced by the PRESENTATION of the choice. For example which of the following would you choose?
WATCH THIS CLIP AND EXPLAIN HOW IT IS RELATED TO 'FRAMING BIAS'.
'THE POWER OF THE ANCHOR'
You're at a flea market and see a cool bracelet. You have no idea what it's worth. You ask the seller, and they look you up and down and say, "For this classic? I couldn't let it go for less than $100." That number, $100, now gets stuck in your head as a starting point, even though it's totally arbitrary. You haggle a bit, feeling clever for talking them down, and finally agree on $50. You walk away thrilled with your "half-price bargain," convinced you saved $50. It's only later you realize you have no idea if the bracelet was ever worth $100 to begin with—maybe it was only worth $10, and the seller's high "anchor" just made you feel like a winner for overpaying.
ANCHORING BIAS is a cognitive bias whereby an individual's DECISIONS ARE INFLUENCED BY A PARTICULAR REFERENCE POINT or 'ANCHOR'.
In terms of the selling price of a good, the first price offered is the anchor, and any subsequent judgements made about price changes afterwards are made relative to this price and you forget whether the original anchor price was indeed 'worthwhile' or 'reasonable' in the first place.
Don't believe me? Ask yourself do you think an $800 I-phone is a good deal? Why? Is it because the Anchor is $1300?
If I-phones first price was $700, would you think $800 is a good deal?, Where did the value of $1300 come from in the first place?
EXPLAIN HOW ANCHORING IS ILLUSTRATED IN THE IMAGE BELOW
EXPLAIN HOW MR. BOUNOUS JUST USED ANCHORING TO INCREASE THE DEMAND FOR 15-MINUTE TESTS.
BOUNDED SELFISHNESS refers to how the rational consumer theory assumes the consumer is making their buying decisions based on their own level of satisfaction, rather than others. Obviously when you shop for a gift for others or donate to charity, the price you are willing to pay is usually based on how much satisfaction the other person will receive and not you.
Read the extract below and IDENTIFY 6 COGNITIVE BIASES
"MY IRRATIONAL SAMSUNG STORY"
"I've always been told that it was a good idea to have at least two working phones, and from personal experience, it has proved to be a good habit, however, did I really need a third? Well, I couldn't control myself and I went ahead and bought a new one last week. I had seen adverts promoting the latest Samsung, saying that it was the 'most advanced' phone on the market, with many life-changing features. There was so much information on the internet that it would have taken me weeks to read it all, so I decided to browse just a couple of tech-review sites, and they both gave it 5-stars, though I didn't really understand the technical stuff but, 5-stars on 'Mobilephonereviews.com' can't be wrong. As for other brands, I didn't want an I-phone as I was put off by a recent report that one of them exploded last week and killed the owner. I had also heard that there was another brand from China that had an even better phone, and it was cheaper, but I prefer to go with Samsung as I love Korean culture, plus the Samsung shop looked so modern and high-tech. In addition, the Samsung shop was also having a promotion and was offering a 10% discount on the $2000 price tag if I bought it within 10 days, so I was really tempted as I didn't want to miss out on this generous deal. And do you know what? After all that I gave it to my mum as a present, as truth be told I felt a bit greedy"
Create your own story featuring 6 COGNITIVE BIASES
--Use the markscheme below to construct both 15-mark answers--
"Can you think of the reason why a sticker of a fly is often stuck in a urinal?", "What type of behaviour is this trying to impact, and why?", "How is this related to choice?", "Does it involve being told what to do?"
--QUESTION OF INQUIRY--
"Using real-world examples, show how choice architecture can impact decision-making to the benefit of society?" (15)
CHOICE ARCHITECTURE refers to "the way in which choices are presented and structured to consumers in order to influence their decision-making while maintaining freedom of choice." In other words...
"How you arrange choices to guide people’s decision-making without forcing them."
"We are wasting too much paper and toner in the school; teachers are mistakenly printing landscape instead of portrait, single-sided instead of double-sided, and worst of all, some teachers, without careful consideration, are printing in color when black & white would be more cost-effective. What can we do to reduce these costly resource wasting activities?"
"Do you think this is manipulative behaviour?", "How does it make you feel that someone else is trying to alter your decision-making for you?"
DEFAULT CHOICES refers to a type of choice architecture in which a choice has already been chosen 'by default', and the user still has the 'freedom of choice' to switch, but due to
FREEDOM TO CHOOSE ✅ Yes, people can change the default
ABILITY TO 'NOT CHOOSE' ✅ Yes, inaction means you choose the default
"The option that a consumer 'selects' if he/she DOES NOTHING."
"Does this work?" Yes, as when it comes to thinking, PEOPLE ARE LAZY. Studies have shown that people rarely change the default settings. Microsoft found that 95% of people kept all default settings, even for critical features like autosave.
REAL-WORLD EXAMPLE: OPT-OUT ORGAN DONATION SYSTEM IN THE UK
"Often students view uniforms and restrictive-ish dress codes as unnecessary and just a way for the school to 'restrict' your freedoms, but in fact these restrictive choices have a real psychological impact that actually helps your focus and study, but how?"
RESTRICTED CHOICES refers to...
"The options that a consumer “selects” are limited"
"Does this work?" Yes, in this case it's about forcing customers to make a decision, rather than be overwhelmed with choice and walk away ('The Paradox of Choice')
"When you download an app, you often have to agree to terms and conditions, as well as allow the app to access your camera, pictures, contacts etc..., what happens if you choose to 'not allow access'?", "When the government installed strict 'mask-wearing' rules for living in HK, such as access to the MRT, why did they call them 'mask mandates'?" "What was the option if you didn't comply?"
MANDATED CHOICE refers to a situation when people are required to make a decision, rather than being allowed to ignore or skip the choice. It effectively removes the option of no action, unless you want to end up with nothing. e.g NO INSURANCE = NO CAR.
FREEDOM TO CHOOSE ✅ Yes, you can still change
ABILITY TO 'NOT CHOOSE' ✅ Yes, inaction means you choose the default
"You have the option to not choose, but by doing so you end up with consequences."
"When you see these footprints on the escalator, what type of behaviour is it trying to impact?, Is it beneficial to you?"
"When you see this on your towel dispenser, what type of behaviour is it trying to impact? Is it beneficial to you?"
A 'NUDGE' refers to a way of INFLUENCING CONSUMER'S CHOICES with the aim of IMPROVING THE INDIVIDUAL'S or SOCIETY'S WELFARE WITHOUT using the following:
1) FINANCIAL REWARDS for compliance.
2) SANCTIONS for non-compliance.
3) LIMITING CHOICES.
"Why do some supermarkets put sugary treats at the checkout?, Who benefits?"
"When the online store says, 'Only 2 left, hurry!'" Is it always beneficial to you?"
"When you want to cancel your gym membership, do you think it's super easy or difficult?"
A 'SLUDGE' refers to a way of INFLUENCING CONSUMER'S CHOICES with the aim of MAKING IT INTENTIONALLY HARDER FOR PEOPLE TO MAKE CHOICES THAT ARE IN THEIR OR SOCIETY'S BEST INTERESTS WITHOUT using the following:
1) FINANCIAL REWARDS for compliance.
2) SANCTIONS for non-compliance.
3) LIMITING CHOICES.
READ EACH OF THE ARTICLES BELOW and write a brief explanation of how 'NUDGE-THEORY' has been used in each scenario to manipulate behavior.
Nudge theory in negotiations—Gale, A. (2020). Nudge theory in negotiations. Management Today. www.managementtoday.co.uk/nudge-theory-negotiations/food-for-thought/article/1689854/.
Group 2: Nudge theory in workplaces—Agarwal, M. (2020). ‘Nudging’ to create a better workplace: Nudge theory in practice. Inc42. https://inc42.com/resources/nudging-to-create-a-better-workplace-nudge-theory-in-practice/.
Group 3: Nudge theory as a public policy tool—Lokeshwarri, S. K. (2020). Is ‘nudge’ a desirable public policy tool? The Hindu Business Line. https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/columns/is-nudge-a-desirable-public-policy-tool/article33126549.ece.
Group 4: Nudge theory to prevent vaccine hesitancy during Covid-19—Jain, S. (2020). Vaccine to vaccination: Using nudge theory to prevent vaccine hesitancy. Observer Research Foundation. www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/vaccine-to-vaccination-using-nudge-theory-to-prevent-vaccine-hesitancy/.
To what extent can manipulation and deception ever be good for individuals and societies?”
Should governments assume they know what’s best for us?
Is it okay for companies to use nudges to increase profits?
How can we judge whether a nudge is ethical or a sludge?
--RATIONAL PRODUCER--
PROFIT MAXIMISATION:- Standard economic theory of the firm assumes that RATIONAL FIRMS are solely geared towards maximising their profits, and that they will be willing to produce up to the last unit of a foot that yields even the smallest % profit (MC=MR). Do you think this is really the case? Do you think your school's main goal is profit maximisation?
CORPORATE SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY (CSR):- The self-interested behaviour of firms often leads to negative consequences for society. It is often the case that the well-being of firms is not consistent with the welfare of society. A prime example is the self-interested firm that pollutes the environment. In addition, firms can engage in actions that most consumers would consider to be ethically unacceptable, such as the practice in many developing countries of employing children who are extremely poorly paid and forced to work long hours, or employing labour that is forced to work under unhealthy or dangerous conditions. However, many firms are increasingly recognising that the pursuit of self-interest need not necessarily conflict with ethical and environmentally responsible behaviour. A negative image of the firm held by workers and customers (buyers of the product) can cut deeply into the firm’s revenues and profits by lowering worker productivity and the firm’s sales. Further, socially irresponsible firm behaviour may lead to government regulation of the firm intended to minimise the negative consequences of the firm’s actions for society, whereas socially responsible behaviour could instead result in avoidance of government regulation. Therefore, firms face strong incentives to display corporate social responsibility by engaging in socially beneficial activities such as art and athletics sponsorships, donations to charities. Many of these practices are the result of increased consumer awareness of social and environmental issues, growing consumer concern over ethical and environmental aspects of business practices, and even consumer activism that results in boycotts of offending firms. One indication of the influence and concern of consumers is the rapidly growing interest in investments in companies (through stock markets) that meet certain social, ethical and ecological criteria. Economists used to think that ethical and environmentally responsible behaviour of firms would reduce their profits. This was based on considering only the cost aspect of profits; for example, firms using cheap child labour face lower costs, and hence will make higher profits than firms avoiding such practices. Yet profits depend not only on costs, but also on revenues. If consumers avoid buying the products responsibility of offending firms, revenues will decline and profits will go down in spite of the lower costs. The same arguments also apply to firms that may be pursuing some strategy other than profit maximisation, such as revenue maximisation. SUSTAINABLE INDEX LEGO, COKE-COLA, SAMSUNG, STARBUCKS, APPLE, MCDONALDS
SATISFICING:- All of the above objectives assume that the firm tries to maximise some variable, whether it is profit, revenue, growth or managerial utility. H. Simon, a Nobel Prize-winning economist, has argued that the large modern enterprise cannot be looked upon as a single entity with a single maximising objective; instead it is composed of many separate groups within the firm, each with its own objectives which may overlap or may conflict. This multiplicity of objectives does not allow the firm to pursue any kind of maximising behaviour. Firms therefore try to establish processes through which they can make compromises and reconcile conflicts to arrive at agreements, the result of which is the pursuit of many objectives that are placed in a hierarchy. This behaviour was termed satisficing by Simon, referring to the idea that firms try to achieve satisfactory rather than optimal or ‘best’ results.
GROWTH MAXIMISATION:- firms may be interested in maximising their growth rather than their profits as the larger they grow the more economies of scale they can achieve and the lower it's average costs. Also as a firm grows it can diversify into the production of different products and markets which reduces its dependence on a single product or market, and finally with a larger share, it can yield greater market power and will have more control over the prices it can charge.
EDULASTIC
RULE OF THUMB BIAS: The habit of having two working phones was not a rule-based on anything other than habit, and a personal preference, in other words a rational consumer would not see any sense in buying two phones rather than one.
BOUNDED SELF-CONTROL: The fact that I was unable to control myself and bought a third phone shows how irrational I am as a consumer as it is very unlikely that the cost of all three phones reflected my total utility.
BOUNDED RATIONALITY: I lacked both the time and the mental capacity to do thorough research on the true worth of the phone and instead just settled for the opinion of a couple of review sites.
AVAILABILITY BIAS: I dismissed the i-phone, due to the news that one had recently exploded, despite the millions of i-phones that haven't exploded.
FRAMING BIAS: I was influenced by the actual design of the Samsung shop, which 'framed' the brand as very hi-tech and reliable.
ANCHOURING: The $2000 price tag of the phone influenced my idea about whether the 10% discount was actually a good or bad deal, I immediately ignored whether the phone was ever worth $2000 in the first place.