The gap instinct : The concept of developing & developed country is long gone. To avoid this instinct : Beware comparison of average & extreme .
The negativity instinct : We act much more in negative news. To avoid : better & bad concept, remember gradual Improvement is no news.
The straight line instinct : assumption of every line will continue straight which is not true in population growth.
The fear instinct : There is no room for facts when our minds are occupied by fear. Accident, disaster, terrorism get enormous attention rather than malaria which is more harmful.
The size instinct: We produce the result fast and in exaggerated way. Before concluding, we should compare and divide (find the rate or look it on different scale) the number.
The generalization instinct : we should avoid generalizing incorrectly. People live almost same way on different income level (not depend on country). We should look for "difference within group" & "similarities across groups".
The destiny instinct : A lot changes (slow change) are happening not only in west but also in Asia and Africa. We need fresh/new knowledge everyday.
Single perspective instinct can limit our imagination. Its tough to understand anything without number, but not with numbers alone like country's GDP.
The blame instinct : It's not worthy to blame. Sometimes we can't see clearly whom to blame; like the drowning of refugees are cause of EU laws!!
The Urgency instinct is to take decision in hurry. Its the most special instinct. We Should take small steps and work according to the data.
Instincts
Instincts
Gap at 1965
Gap at 2017
Population Prediction
Babies per woman
False Data
True Data