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"Inflation data was in line with the expectations, but people really needed to see a strong down tick in order to cement the those marked interest rate cuts," said Phillip Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures in Chicago.

"If a recession does occur, the dollar could weaken and that would help to propel the gold price to new highs," Heraeus Metals said in its 2024 outlook. "Gold is forecast to trade between $1,880-$2,250."

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Gold prices slid to more than a one-month low on Wednesday, weighed down by a stronger dollar as better-than-expected US economic data raised worries that the Federal Reserve could hike interest rates further.

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A half century after gold ceased to play a significant formal role in theinternational monetary system, it still captures a great deal of attention inthe financial press and the popular imagination. Yet there has been verylittle scrutiny of the primary factors determining the price of gold since itsdollar price was first allowed to vary freely in 1971.1 In thisarticle, we attempt to fill in that gap by highlighting three considerationsthat are commonly cited as drivers of gold prices: inflationary expectations,real interest rates, and pessimism about future macroeconomic conditions.

Gold is sensitive to expected long-term real interest rates. Giventhat gold is a long-duration durable asset with a relatively stable dividendyield, its price is expected to have a strong inverse relationship with thelong-term real interest rate. A rise in expected real rates, all else beingequal, should drive down the price of gold.4 Figure 2 shows thereal gold price (the U.S. dollar price per ounce deflated by the CPI, onceagain on a log scale), along with the real ten-year U.S. Treasury yield (thenominal yield on ten-year Treasury securities minus PTR). The predictednegative co-movement of the real interest rate and the real gold price doesnot show up in these data before 2001.5 By contrast, between 2001and 2012, the long-term real interest rate fell some 400 basis points,accompanied by an over fivefold rise in the real gold price.

Our Gold products provide global price discovery and opportunities for portfolio diversification by presenting an alternative to gold bullion, coins, and mining stock investments. Gold also offers ongoing trading opportunities, as gold prices respond quickly to political and economic events.

Released mid-month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the CPI measures inflation or cost-of-living changes, tracking the average price of a basket of goods and service, and is also a key driver of Fed policy.

Published in the 2nd or 3rd week of the month by BLS, the PPI is a weighted index of prices measured at the wholesale or producer level. It shows trends within the wholesale markets, manufacturing industries and commodities markets.

What pulled down gold pricesAccording to commodity market experts, gold and silver prices retraced from week highs after better-than-expected US GDP data and jobless claim data. They said that gold prices are currently in base building mode and the precious metal is oscillating in $1,935 to $1,985 per ounce range. They said that after the upbeat US economic data gold prices are expected to remain under pressure in near term and it may further dip by $10 to $15 dollar in international market. However, they expected value buying at support levels.

The price of gold on VeraCash is updated every 15 minutes, Monday through Friday (CEST). Along with the international gold price, the VeraCash quotation can fluctuate upward or downward depending on changes in the calculation parameters mentioned above.

If you want to buy gold, it is interesting to know how the gold market works. The price of gold is constantly changing and many factors influence this fluctuation. Supply and demand, current events or even market speculation all have an impact on how the price of gold is determined.

Since the end of the gold standard in 1971 and the end of the convertibility of the US dollar into gold, the price of the yellow metal has continued to rise. Since then, investors from all over the world have been buying gold for its safe haven status and as a hedge against risk. The gold price is very closely followed.

In the 1970s, the oil shocks had a major impact on the price of gold: 60% in 1974 and even a 293% increase between 1979 and the beginning of 1980. Geopolitical tensions and conflicts also influenced its price. But in the 1980s and 1990s, gold was abandoned by investors. Gold rebounded again in 2001 following the World Trade Center attacks and in 2008 with the subprime crisis. Thus, the price of gold over 20 years rose from 303 euros per ounce in January 2000 to 1553 euros in January 2020!

In 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic has a strong impact on the price. In March, gold underwent a sharp correction following massive ETF sales on the stock markets and regained its role as a safe haven from April onwards. In the following months, the price of gold broke several records, reaching an all-time high of $2089 per ounce on 7 August 2020.

Stocks: Real-time U.S. stock quotes reflect trades reported through Nasdaq only; comprehensive quotes and volume reflect trading in all markets and are delayed at least 15 minutes. International stock quotes are delayed as per exchange requirements. Fundamental company data and analyst estimates provided by FactSet. Copyright 2019 FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Source: FactSet

Commodities & Futures: Futures prices are delayed at least 10 minutes as per exchange requirements. Change value during the period between open outcry settle and the commencement of the next day's trading is calculated as the difference between the last trade and the prior day's settle. Change value during other periods is calculated as the difference between the last trade and the most recent settle. Source: FactSet

Data are provided 'as is' for informational purposes only and are not intended for trading purposes. FactSet (a) does not make any express or implied warranties of any kind regarding the data, including, without limitation, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use; and (b) shall not be liable for any errors, incompleteness, interruption or delay, action taken in reliance on any data, or for any damages resulting therefrom. Data may be intentionally delayed pursuant to supplier requirements.

Mutual Funds & ETFs: All of the mutual fund and ETF information contained in this display, with the exception of the current price and price history, was supplied by Lipper, A Refinitiv Company, subject to the following: Copyright 2019 Refinitiv. All rights reserved. Any copying, republication or redistribution of Lipper content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Lipper. Lipper shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Precious metals prices continued their three-month long uptrend amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Demand for gold has been buoyed by safe-haven buying and global policy support in response to the pandemic. Silver and platinum have benefited from a rebound in industrial activity following an easing of containment measures. Precious metals prices are expected to average 13% higher in 2020 relative to 2019 on expectations of strong demand due to heightened global uncertainty and ultra-low real interest rates. Upside risks to this outlook include a second COVID-19 wave causing a sharper-than-expected global slowdown. On the downside, a stronger U.S. dollar could push prices lower.

Silver and platinum prices rebounded strongly after a collapse in mid-March. Silver prices jumped to US$22.9/toz on July 23, a seven-year high.  Industrial activity is gradually recovering following a relaxation of lockdown measures in several countries. Silver is widely used in various industrial applications, such as in electrical and electronics. Demand for platinum, however, has not recovered as fast as silver due to weak automotive demand. The auto sector, the largest consumer of platinum, has been hit hard by the pandemic with widespread plant closures.

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On July 26, 1933, the Columbus Dental Manufacturing Company applied to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland for $10,000 in pure gold. The next day, the Bank approved the application, sending the firm twenty-nine gold bars weighing 476.92 ounces and valued at $9,867.14. In the depths of the Great Depression, why was the Cleveland Fed supplying gold to a firm that made false teeth, rather than supplying gold coins and a gold-backed currency to banks? Does the Federal Reserve supply gold to dentists today? 5376163bf9

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