Asian Dynamic Risk Assessment Guidelines & Experiences

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Disaster risks – created by hazardous physical events interacting with vulnerable social conditions - can change significantly across time and space because of the dynamic nature of their drivers and their interactions. However, many disaster risk assessments at present are capturing only static variables (GFDRR 2016). This limitation reduces the relevance of disaster risk assessments to operational decision-making.

The ASEAN Dynamic Risk Assessment Guidelines and Experiences (ADAGE) aims to gradually promote dynamic risk assessments in ASEAN countries by providing a framework and operational examples.

Variables contributing to risk at a location can be broadly categorized as static (or quasi-static) (such as topography, land use, soil population, socio-economics) and dynamic (weather, crop-status or water resources related). Through a collaborative approach amongst practitioners, ADAGE aims to bring these sources of information to operational risk assessments and decision making.

ADAGE is a contribution to the implementation of the ASEAN Regional Risks and Vulnerability Assessment Guidelines (2017).

ADAGE contributes to the implementation of priority programme 1 (Risk Awareness and Assessment) of the ASEAN-UN Joint Strategic Plan of Action on Disaster Management 2016-2020. The Plan aims to "enhance risk assessment and improve risk awareness of ASEAN Community" through: (i) strengthening ASEAN's capacity in risk and vulnerability assessment; (ii) improving availability of data and information on regional risk and vulnerability; and (iii) enhancing mechanisms on risk data utilization and information sharing.


ADAGE is a living document, hosted as a set of administered webpages with four key components: i) present details on dynamic variables and its sources, 2) share examples of carrying out risk assessment using dynamic variables, 3) review and summarize experiences from risks assessments studies and projects undertaken in the past, and 4) prepare guidelines for dynamic risk assessment. ADAGE will receive inputs from its users and collaborators. It is a collaborative and a live working document which will be continuously updated with examples of innovative integration of dynamic information into risk assessment.

"The way information is generated and synthesized using new methods and practices, and varying social contexts in terms of their experiences and capacity, is changing over time. The information has to be updated periodically to remain relevant"