Vugar Aliyev  (AMIR Technical Services Baku, Azerbaijan)

Title: Statistics of some Types of Natural Hazards In Azerbaijan and Georgia In Terms of Improving Insurance

Urbanization and climate change processes often lead to an increase in material damage caused by natural disasters. Various measures are taken to minimize this damage, including insurance. Currently, there are 19 insurance companies operating in Georgia. In particular, three of them insure agricultural products against hail, floods, storms and autumn frosts. In general, in Georgia, insurance against natural disasters is still at the development stage. In order to improve the activities of insurance companies in this area, it is necessary to conduct a scientific assessment of potential losses or probable maximum losses that were caused by natural disasters for specific risk objects. In particular, at the moment, the first parametric catalog of five types of natural hazards (landslides, mudflows, floods, storm winds, hail) that cause the greatest damage and casualties (after earthquakes) in Georgia has been compiled. The data include time, place, magnitude of events, amount of material damage, etc.

Based on statistical analysis of these data, their spatial distributions and recurrence patterns were studied; maps of expected maximum magnitude events were constructed; hazard maps of these events for the entire territory of Georgia were compiled; trends and causes of changes in the occurrence of these natural hazards over time, which are associated with climate change, were studied.

The results obtained are innovative, since they cover the entire country, and they can be used, in particular, to improve the activities of insurance companies. (Joint work with Amiranashvili Avtandil and Varazanashvili)