Secondly, communist societies were characterized by the duality of people’s opinions and attitudes in public and private space, respectively. This theory, known as preference falsification (Kuran, 1995) describes an essential characteristic of communist dictatorships in which people express in the public space opinions which are complying with the requirements and constraints of political authorities, while they preserve their true opinions and attitudes for the private spaces of interpersonal networks of close ties (usually, the family). The duality of opinions and attitudes in the ex-communist societies is often associated with value sets dominated by the materialist values (see Figure 5).
The patterns of change in social trust in Figure 9 show the difference between levels of absolute change in each set of selected European countries while the absolute change in social trust in the Western European societies is positive and often consistent, the absolute change amount in the CEE societies is severely negative and high such that the social trust is reaching much lower levels than in the western societies. This pattern of change is interesting because it involves different consequences for the role the social trust plays in each set of selected countries in the case studies. While social trust level decreases in each set of countries, the CEE social and political context deepens this decreasing trend, thus making that same amount of change (in absolute figures) to operate with different impact: positive for the western societies, negative for the eastern ones. As a political culture item, a belief (“trust in others”) is a dynamic variable with a rate of change which is quantifiable on small enough time intervals, as proven by the data we employ for a decade-long time (OECD, 2011). Even so, the patterns of change in beliefs (social trust) as well as the patterns of change in values might require huge amounts of data from large populations, and large time intervals to prove their dynamics. This issue of research has been approached with agent-based modelling and simulation methodology (Voinea, 2021) such that data is generated for large populations and extended time intervals, which help study the complexity of value change with value mappings methods. Further development of this approach would allow the study of dynamic value change, which is still an open issue as the values are considered to change at a very slow pace, if at all. However, the patterns of change in materialist and postmaterialist values might help in getting insight on the values change dynamics.
7. Conclusions and further research work
Our approach identifies several influence factors which are pivotal in the policy making and policy management of immigrant integration in Europe, with a special focus on CEE countries. For these countries, the political culture aspects might prove decisive since the democratic political culture and the democratic value set has not been fully put in place after the deposing of communism. The main question in this approach is how powerful are the political culture legacies of the past as to influence the capacity of the host societies in South-Eastern, Eastern and Central Europe to cope with a massive immigration wave like that of 2015 or even larger. Though the new European Union framework for immigrant integration provides the member countries with solutions for economic, logistic and financial aspects of this endeavour, the context of the eastern half of Europe might rise different problems, like the low level of social trust and the slow replacement of materialist values with the postmaterialist values set – two issues with strong impact on the tolerance to cultural diversity and change of anti-immigration attitude.
All four country case studies revealed that the contextual factors like history, geopolitical context, and ethnic structure which are deeply connected to their nation-building history prove to be conditional for a better understanding of citizens’ anti-immigration attitudes.
The enduring political culture legacy of the communist past of the CEE countries strongly influences the social trust and their set of values by making these reach either lower levels (postmaterialist values) or higher values (materialist values) than in the Western European standard democracies who appreciate more the postmaterialist values. This enduring legacy proves to deeply influence social, political, and organizational dimensions of these ex-communist societies, making native citizens less tolerant, and less able to socialize with immigrants. More striking evidence from the data analysis in the CEE countries concerns a difference between citizens’ values, beliefs, and attitudes toward immigration, on the one hand, and the public statements, official positions, and attitudes of their political elite regarding this issue, on the other hand. From evidence provided by the case studies in Poland and Hungary, the political elite in these countries seem to recall and hardly employ methods of the past communist regimes in constraining and controlling citizens’ preferences, social and political attitudes, and behaviours. These contrasting preferences are not evident in Czechia, where a large part of the Czech citizens (73%) widely agreed and accepted their President Miloš Zeman’s public political attitude toward the immigrants in the migration crisis of 2015-2016. Research papers report a certain fear of the Hungarian intellectuals to publicly express disagreement with their Prime Minister’s public statements and official positions regarding immigration (Farkas, 2022) thus expressing in some implicit way a distance from the Hungarian political elite. Finally, there is a difference between Romanians’ attitudes toward immigrants and those of their political elite. This case study revealed that (part of) citizens have strongly rejected immigrants, in contrast with their political elite’s attitude toward immigrants, which proved openness and tolerance in compliance with European Union 2020 program for immigrant integration.
The study reveals the CEE societies’ vulnerabilities which are deepened by the enduring communist political culture legacy and its strong impact on countries’ capacity of immigrant integration.
Finally, this approach provides for further developments with a special focus on the relationship between immigration and the host polities. It seems that both concepts of multicultural and multi-ethnical society cover the premises of conflict as long as such conflict is generated by the identity construction and the ressentiments which are too often associated with it at individual, societal, cultural, and national level (Fukuyama, 2018). Our approach addresses the idea that the political culture framework – as an alternative to the state multiculturalism – might provide the means to avoid conflicts in immigrant integration by reinforcing processes of construction of their identity in the host societies through tolerance to cultural diversity and shared values in the active civic and political participation – an idea which is at the heart of classic political culture theory. However, the issue of (national, cultural, social, and political) identity requires a complex investigation if associated with studies about national model of immigrant integration. While the new European Union’s program provides for logistics, economic and financial support for the immigrant integration programs in each Central and Eastern member country, this might prove not enough to make these countries appropriately cope with the immigration integration. There might be that their capacity to approach the immigrant integration issue as expected from fully complying with the EU norms and set of shared democratic values is jeopardized by political and social positions associated with identity conflict, ethnic-based resentment, political culture legacies of their communist past which enhance and maintain the collective perceptions of immigrants as sources of security threats.
Our analysis identified some influencing factors which might deeply affect the national approaches on immigrant integration in the CEE member countries, like social trust, ethnic conflict issues, and value sets. Further research work is already underway for extending the study of anti-immigration attitudes and political identities with big data and advanced methodologies based on discourse and text analysis enhanced with data mining and machine learning methodologies. Our final research goal would be that of informing immigrant integration policy making and national immigrant integration models for the countries in the eastern half of Europe.
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