Peer Reviewed Articles
"Nuclear Opportunism: A Theory of How States Use Nuclear Weapons in International Politics." Journal of Strategic Studies, forthcoming
- Winner of the 2016 American Political Science Association Foreign Policy Section award for best graduate student paper
"Authoritarian Public Opinion and the Democratic Peace" (with Kai Quek). International Organization, volume 71, no. 1 (Winter 2018): 227-242.
"Examining Explanations for Nuclear Proliferation." International Studies Quarterly, volume 60, no. 3 (September 2016): 520-529
"Beyond Emboldenment: How Acquiring Nuclear Weapons Can Change Foreign Policy." International Security, volume 40, no. 1 (Summer 2015): 87-119
"Questioning the Effect of Nuclear Weapons on Conflict" (with Nicholas L. Miller). Journal of Conflict Resolution, volume 59, no. 1 (February 2015): 74-92
- Online appendix; Replication archive
- Reprinted in Robert J. Art and Kelly M. Greenhill (eds), The Use of Force: Military Power and International Politics, 8th Edition (Rowman & Littlefield, 2015)
- Reprinted in Erik Gartzke, Matthew Kroenig, and Neil Narang (eds), Nonproliferation Policy and Nuclear Posture: Causes and Consequences for the Spread of Nuclear Weapons (Routledge, 2015)
- Discussion: Jay Ulfelder, Political Science Replication, Smoke-Filled Room, R-bloggers, Organizations and Markets, Duck of Minerva, LSE Impact Blog
"Can Britain Defend the Falklands?" Defence Studies, volume 12, no. 2 (June 2012): 283-301
"The Limits of Regional Power" (with Noel Anderson)
"Exploring the Heterogeneity of Nuclear Crises" (with Julia Macdonald)
Other Publications and Writings
"Toward Deterrence: The Upside of the Trump-Kim Summit" (with Julia M. Macdonald). War on the Rocks, June 15, 2018.
"North Korean Nuclear Capabilities and U.S. Foreign Policy.'' Physics and Society, volume 47, no. 2 (April 2018): 30-31
"Trump, Psychology, and the Future of U.S. Alliances" (with Joshua D. Kertzer). German Marshall Fund Young Strategists Forum Paper Series, 2018.
"North Korea Won't Give Up Its Nuclear Weapons. The U.S. Has Three Good Reasons to Talk Anyway." Washington Post / Monkey Cage, March 9, 2018
"Review of Todd S. Sechser and Matthew Fuhrmann, Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy (Cambridge University Press)." Political Science Quarterly, volume 132, no. 4 (Winter 2017/18): 752-754.
"North Korea Benefits from Nuclear Weapons: Get Used to It." War on the Rocks, October 2, 2017.
"Correspondence: The Effects of Acquiring Nuclear Weapons." International Security, volume 41, no. 1 (Summer 2016): 186-190
"Uncertainty, Inferences, and the Study of Nuclear Proliferation." Contribution to International Studies Quarterly online symposium, February 2016
"Okay, So What If Iran Does Get Nuclear Weapons?" Washington Post / Monkey Cage, August 20, 2015
"How to Persuade Journals to Accept Your Replication Paper." Political Science Replication Blog, September 11, 2013
"Can Britain Defend the Falklands?" Huffington Post, October 5, 2012