I am an Analyst in the Congressional Budget Office's Long-Term Analysis Unit. My research interests include health economics and labor economics. My work at CBO focuses on the long-term projections of federal budget.
Contributions to CBO Publications
Long-Term Budget Outlook, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017.
Long-Term Projections for Social Security, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016.
Options for Reducing the Deficit: 2017 to 2026, 2016.
Social Security Policy Options, 2015.
Other CBO Publications
"CBO's Long-Term Projections of Labor Force Participation." (with Joshua Montes and Julie Topoleski) CBO Blog (January 13, 2017).
"Spending for Social Security and Major HealthCare Programs in The Long-Term Budget Outlook." (with Julie Topoleski) CBO Blog (August 1, 2016).
"What Are the Causes of Projected Growth inSpending for Social Security and Major Health Care Programs?" (with Julie Topoleski) CBO Blog (July 18, 2014).
Journal Publications
“The Evolution of Rotation Group Bias: Will the Real Unemployment Rate Please Stand Up?” (with Alan B. Krueger and Alexandre Mas), Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(2), 2017. (Replication Data)
Working paper version: NBER.
“Health Insurance and Self-Employment: Evidence from Massachusetts”, ILR Review, 67(4), 2014.
“The Mental Cost of Pension Loss: The Experience of Russia’s Pensioners during Transition” (with Penka Kovacheva), Research in Labor Economics, 36, 2012.
Working Papers
"Distribution of Lifetime Medicare Taxes and Spending by Sex and by Lifetime Household Earnings" August 2017, CBO Working Paper 2017-05.
"Changes in Medicare Spending Per Beneficiary by Age" (with Melinda Buntin and Joyce Manchester), November 2015, CBO Working Paper 2015-08.