NFL Ratings 2016

AFC Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots  New York Jets Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore RavensPittsburgh SteelersCleveland BrownsHouston TexansIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsTennessee TitansDenver BroncosKansas City ChiefsOakland RaidersSan Diego Chargers          NFCDallas CowboysNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesWashington RedskinsChicago BearsDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersNew Orleans SaintsTampa Bay BuccaneersArizona CardinalsSt. Louis RamsSan Francisco 49ersSeattle Seahawks
Se Actualiza los Martes

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Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  1 Seattle Seahawks =  28.56  11 7 0 21.82( 8) 4 5 0 | 5 7 0 |  29.05 1 |  28.05 3 |  29.20 2
  2 Denver Broncos =  28.44  15 4 0 21.90( 6) 8 2 0 | 9 2 0 |  26.67 7 |  28.62 1 |  29.78 1
  3 Carolina Panthers =  28.09  17 2 0 18.67( 25) 4 1 0 | 6 1 0 |  27.53 4 |  28.26 2 |  28.18 3
  4 Kansas City Chiefs =  27.62  12 6 0 21.67( 10) 2 5 0 | 6 5 0 |  28.02 2 |  27.26 5 |  27.99 4
  5 Arizona Cardinals =  27.12  14 4 0 21.21( 15) 5 3 0 | 7 4 0 |  27.48 5 |  27.50 4 |  26.36 5
  6 Cincinnati Bengals =  26.44  12 5 0 21.05( 16) 3 4 0 | 5 5 0 |  27.61 3 |  27.12 6 |  25.00 9
  7 New England Patriots =  26.34  13 5 0 19.72( 18) 2 2 0 | 7 3 0 |  27.39 6 |  26.89 7 |  25.09 8
  8 Pittsburgh Steelers =  25.96  11 7 0 22.19( 1) 4 5 0 | 5 5 0 |  26.41 8 |  25.81 9 |  25.90 6
  9 Green Bay Packers =  25.78  11 7 0 22.00( 4) 3 5 0 | 6 6 0 |  25.37 9 |  25.99 8 |  25.68 7
  10 Minnesota Vikings =  23.95  11 6 0 21.63( 12) 2 5 0 | 5 5 0 |  23.89 10 |  23.80 10 |  24.19 10
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  11 New York Jets =  21.15  10 6 0 17.74( 31) 1 1 0 | 2 4 0 |  21.62 11 |  21.07 11 |  20.98 11
  12 Buffalo Bills =  20.51  8 8 0 19.17( 20) 0 4 0 | 3 5 0 |  20.84 12 |  20.30 12 |  20.61 12
  13 Detroit Lions =  19.83  7 9 0 21.66( 11) 1 7 0 | 1 8 0 |  19.48 13 |  19.61 13 |  20.36 13
  14 Houston Texans =  19.38  9 8 0 18.78( 23) 1 4 0 | 2 5 0 |  19.24 14 |  19.16 14 |  19.78 15
  15 Washington Redskins =  18.74  9 8 0 18.75( 24) 0 3 0 | 2 4 0 |  17.92 18 |  18.35 17 |  19.78 14
  16 St. Louis Rams =  18.51  7 9 0 21.61( 13) 3 5 0 | 4 6 0 |  18.41 16 |  18.43 15 |  18.66 16
  17 Oakland Raiders =  18.49  7 9 0 21.71( 9) 1 7 0 | 2 8 0 |  18.61 15 |  18.42 16 |  18.49 17
  18 Atlanta Falcons =  18.06  8 8 0 17.51( 32) 1 2 0 | 3 2 0 |  17.11 23 |  18.22 18 |  18.32 18
  19 Philadelphia Eagles =  17.99  7 9 0 19.26( 19) 1 2 0 | 3 5 0 |  17.58 21 |  17.97 19 |  18.21 19
  20 Baltimore Ravens =  17.86  5 11 0 21.36( 14) 2 6 0 | 3 6 0 |  18.27 17 |  17.82 20 |  17.62 20
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  21 Chicago Bears =  17.58  6 10 0 21.97( 5) 2 6 0 | 3 9 0 |  17.79 20 |  17.60 22 |  17.37 22
  22 New York Giants =  17.48  6 10 0 18.95( 21) 0 3 0 | 2 5 0 |  17.87 19 |  17.60 21 |  16.97 23
  23 Indianapolis Colts =  17.29  8 8 0 18.64( 26) 1 3 0 | 2 6 0 |  16.20 24 |  17.56 23 |  17.43 21
  24 San Diego Chargers =  16.61  4 12 0 21.86( 7) 0 8 0 | 1 8 0 |  17.50 22 |  16.61 24 |  15.97 25
  25 Miami Dolphins =  16.12  6 10 0 18.82( 22) 1 1 0 | 3 5 0 |  15.89 25 |  16.37 25 |  15.82 26
  26 New Orleans Saints =  15.98  7 9 0 18.36( 27) 0 3 0 | 0 6 0 |  15.19 27 |  15.69 26 |  16.83 24
  27 Dallas Cowboys =  15.39  4 12 0 20.09( 17) 0 4 0 | 1 7 0 |  15.73 26 |  15.37 27 |  15.17 27
  28 San Francisco 49ers =  14.90  5 11 0 22.14( 3) 1 7 0 | 2 9 0 |  14.02 28 |  15.06 28 |  15.11 28
  29 Tampa Bay Buccaneers =  13.43  6 10 0 18.06( 29) 0 2 0 | 0 5 0 |  13.34 31 |  13.33 29 |  13.60 29
  30 Cleveland Browns =  13.34  3 13 0 22.19( 2) 0 8 0 | 0 10 0 |  13.62 29 |  13.15 30 |  13.44 30
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  31 Jacksonville Jaguars =  12.97  5 11 0 18.07( 28) 0 2 0 | 1 5 0 |  13.58 30 |  12.92 31 |  12.60 31
  32 Tennessee Titans =  10.08  3 13 0 18.05( 30) 0 2 0 | 0 6 0 |  10.77 32 |  10.08 32 |  9.51 32
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Divisional Rankings



There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group. The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.



   DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%

  1 (afc west) = 22.88 22.79 ( 1) 4 22.80 ( 1)
  2 (NFC WEST) = 22.45 22.27 ( 2) 4 22.31 ( 2)
  3 (NFC NORTH) = 21.82 21.78 ( 3) 4 21.79 ( 3)
  4 (afc north) = 21.24 20.90 ( 5) 4 20.97 ( 5)
  5 (afc east) = 20.97 21.03 ( 4) 4 21.02 ( 4)
  6 (NFC SOUTH) = 18.27 18.89 ( 6) 4 18.63 ( 6)
  7 (NFC EAST) = 17.51 17.40 ( 7) 4 17.40 ( 7)
  8 (afc south) = 15.00 14.93 ( 8) 4 14.94 ( 8)


   DIVISION CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS WIN50%

  7 (NFC EAST) = 17.51 17.40 ( 7) 4 17.40 ( 7)
  3 (NFC NORTH) = 21.82 21.78 ( 3) 4 21.79 ( 3)
  6 (NFC SOUTH) = 18.27 18.89 ( 6) 4 18.63 ( 6)
  2 (NFC WEST) = 22.45 22.27 ( 2) 4 22.31 ( 2)
  5 (afc east) = 20.97 21.03 ( 4) 4 21.02 ( 4)
  4 (afc north) = 21.24 20.90 ( 5) 4 20.97 ( 5)
  8 (afc south) = 15.00 14.93 ( 8) 4 14.94 ( 8)
  1 (afc west) = 22.88 22.79 ( 1) 4 22.80 ( 1)
______________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division



________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  7 (NFC EAST) = 17.51 17.40 ( 7) TEAMS= 4 17.40 ( 7)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  15 Washington Redskins =  18.74  9 8 0 18.75( 24) 0 3 0 | 2 4 0 |  17.92 18 |  18.35 17 |  19.78 14
  19 Philadelphia Eagles =  17.99  7 9 0 19.26( 19) 1 2 0 | 3 5 0 |  17.58 21 |  17.97 19 |  18.21 19
  22 New York Giants =  17.48  6 10 0 18.95( 21) 0 3 0 | 2 5 0 |  17.87 19 |  17.60 21 |  16.97 23
  27 Dallas Cowboys =  15.39  4 12 0 20.09( 17) 0 4 0 | 1 7 0 |  15.73 26 |  15.37 27 |  15.17 27
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  3 (NFC NORTH) = 21.82 21.78 ( 3) TEAMS= 4 21.79 ( 3)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  9 Green Bay Packers =  25.78  11 7 0 22.00( 4) 3 5 0 | 6 6 0 |  25.37 9 |  25.99 8 |  25.68 7
  10 Minnesota Vikings =  23.95  11 6 0 21.63( 12) 2 5 0 | 5 5 0 |  23.89 10 |  23.80 10 |  24.19 10
  13 Detroit Lions =  19.83  7 9 0 21.66( 11) 1 7 0 | 1 8 0 |  19.48 13 |  19.61 13 |  20.36 13
  21 Chicago Bears =  17.58  6 10 0 21.97( 5) 2 6 0 | 3 9 0 |  17.79 20 |  17.60 22 |  17.37 22
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  6 (NFC SOUTH) = 18.27 18.89 ( 6) TEAMS= 4 18.63 ( 6)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  3 Carolina Panthers =  28.09  17 2 0 18.67( 25) 4 1 0 | 6 1 0 |  27.53 4 |  28.26 2 |  28.18 3
  18 Atlanta Falcons =  18.06  8 8 0 17.51( 32) 1 2 0 | 3 2 0 |  17.11 23 |  18.22 18 |  18.32 18
  26 New Orleans Saints =  15.98  7 9 0 18.36( 27) 0 3 0 | 0 6 0 |  15.19 27 |  15.69 26 |  16.83 24
  29 Tampa Bay Buccaneers =  13.43  6 10 0 18.06( 29) 0 2 0 | 0 5 0 |  13.34 31 |  13.33 29 |  13.60 29
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  2 (NFC WEST) = 22.45 22.27 ( 2) TEAMS= 4 22.31 ( 2)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  1 Seattle Seahawks =  28.56  11 7 0 21.82( 8) 4 5 0 | 5 7 0 |  29.05 1 |  28.05 3 |  29.20 2
  5 Arizona Cardinals =  27.12  14 4 0 21.21( 15) 5 3 0 | 7 4 0 |  27.48 5 |  27.50 4 |  26.36 5
  16 St. Louis Rams =  18.51  7 9 0 21.61( 13) 3 5 0 | 4 6 0 |  18.41 16 |  18.43 15 |  18.66 16
  28 San Francisco 49ers =  14.90  5 11 0 22.14( 3) 1 7 0 | 2 9 0 |  14.02 28 |  15.06 28 |  15.11 28
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  5 (afc east) = 20.97 21.03 ( 4) TEAMS= 4 21.02 ( 4)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  7 New England Patriots =  26.34  13 5 0 19.72( 18) 2 2 0 | 7 3 0 |  27.39 6 |  26.89 7 |  25.09 8
  11 New York Jets =  21.15  10 6 0 17.74( 31) 1 1 0 | 2 4 0 |  21.62 11 |  21.07 11 |  20.98 11
  12 Buffalo Bills =  20.51  8 8 0 19.17( 20) 0 4 0 | 3 5 0 |  20.84 12 |  20.30 12 |  20.61 12
  25 Miami Dolphins =  16.12  6 10 0 18.82( 22) 1 1 0 | 3 5 0 |  15.89 25 |  16.37 25 |  15.82 26
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  4 (afc north) = 21.24 20.90 ( 5) TEAMS= 4 20.97 ( 5)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  6 Cincinnati Bengals =  26.44  12 5 0 21.05( 16) 3 4 0 | 5 5 0 |  27.61 3 |  27.12 6 |  25.00 9
  8 Pittsburgh Steelers =  25.96  11 7 0 22.19( 1) 4 5 0 | 5 5 0 |  26.41 8 |  25.81 9 |  25.90 6
  20 Baltimore Ravens =  17.86  5 11 0 21.36( 14) 2 6 0 | 3 6 0 |  18.27 17 |  17.82 20 |  17.62 20
  30 Cleveland Browns =  13.34  3 13 0 22.19( 2) 0 8 0 | 0 10 0 |  13.62 29 |  13.15 30 |  13.44 30
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  8 (afc south) = 15.00 14.93 ( 8) TEAMS= 4 14.94 ( 8)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  14 Houston Texans =  19.38  9 8 0 18.78( 23) 1 4 0 | 2 5 0 |  19.24 14 |  19.16 14 |  19.78 15
  23 Indianapolis Colts =  17.29  8 8 0 18.64( 26) 1 3 0 | 2 6 0 |  16.20 24 |  17.56 23 |  17.43 21
  31 Jacksonville Jaguars =  12.97  5 11 0 18.07( 28) 0 2 0 | 1 5 0 |  13.58 30 |  12.92 31 |  12.60 31
  32 Tennessee Titans =  10.08  3 13 0 18.05( 30) 0 2 0 | 0 6 0 |  10.77 32 |  10.08 32 |  9.51 32
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  1 (afc west) = 22.88 22.79 ( 1) TEAMS= 4 22.80 ( 1)
Final NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   RATING   W L T SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 |  PREDICTOR  | GOLDEN_MEAN |  RECENT  

   HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17] [  2.17]
  2 Denver Broncos =  28.44  15 4 0 21.90( 6) 8 2 0 | 9 2 0 |  26.67 7 |  28.62 1 |  29.78 1
  4 Kansas City Chiefs =  27.62  12 6 0 21.67( 10) 2 5 0 | 6 5 0 |  28.02 2 |  27.26 5 |  27.99 4
  17 Oakland Raiders =  18.49  7 9 0 21.71( 9) 1 7 0 | 2 8 0 |  18.61 15 |  18.42 16 |  18.49 17
  24 San Diego Chargers =  16.61  4 12 0 21.86( 7) 0 8 0 | 1 8 0 |  17.50 22 |  16.61 24 |  15.97 25
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


New_Feature
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Each team score = OFF x opponent DEF and then multiplied or divided by home or closeby factor.
No factor needed if neutral location;  fullhome=1.01625 closeby=1.00809
Finally, subtract the listed constant from each projected score.
   subtract=22.73

EXAMPLE OFFENSE DEFENSE SPREAD TOTAL
home Seattle Seahawks 20.32 18.60 1.72 38.92 away Kansas City Chiefs
away Seattle Seahawks 18.95 19.95 -1.00 38.90 home Kansas City Chiefs
neutral Seattle Seahawks 19.63 19.27 0.36 38.90 neutral Kansas City Chiefs
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  1 Seattle Seahawks 1.28810 7.38 5.73 ( 11) 11 - 7 - 0 4- 5- 0 5- 7- 0 31.30 Seattle Seahawks 1
  2 Kansas City Chiefs 1.27749 7.33 5.74 ( 14) 12 - 6 - 0 2- 5- 0 8- 5- 0 30.93 Kansas City Chiefs 2
  3 Cincinnati Bengals 1.26332 7.37 5.83 ( 15) 12 - 5 - 0 3- 4- 0 6- 5- 0 30.43 Cincinnati Bengals 3
  4 Arizona Cardinals 1.23611 7.85 6.35 ( 16) 14 - 4 - 0 5- 3- 0 7- 4- 0 29.45 Arizona Cardinals 4
  5 Carolina Panthers 1.22517 7.70 6.29 ( 24) 17 - 2 - 0 4- 1- 0 5- 1- 0 29.06 Carolina Panthers 5
  6 Pittsburgh Steelers 1.20486 7.38 6.13 ( 4) 11 - 7 - 0 4- 5- 0 6- 5- 0 28.31 Pittsburgh Steelers 6
  7 Denver Broncos 1.19749 6.87 5.74 ( 3) 15 - 4 - 0 8- 2- 0 10- 3- 0 28.03 Denver Broncos 7
  8 New England Patriots 1.18888 7.54 6.34 ( 18) 13 - 5 - 0 2- 2- 0 6- 3- 0 27.71 New England Patriots 8
  9 Green Bay Packers 1.14288 7.07 6.18 ( 6) 11 - 7 - 0 3- 5- 0 6- 6- 0 25.95 Green Bay Packers 9
  10 Minnesota Vikings 1.12784 6.70 5.94 ( 12) 11 - 6 - 0 2- 5- 0 6- 5- 0 25.36 Minnesota Vikings 10
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  11 New York Jets 1.04195 6.69 6.42 ( 30) 10 - 6 - 0 1- 1- 0 1- 5- 0 21.83 New York Jets 11
  12 Buffalo Bills 1.01107 6.78 6.71 ( 19) 8 - 8 - 0 0- 4- 0 3- 4- 0 20.49 Buffalo Bills 12
  13 Oakland Raiders 0.99796 6.94 6.96 ( 7) 7 - 9 - 0 1- 7- 0 2- 8- 0 19.91 Oakland Raiders 13
  14 Detroit Lions 0.99091 6.84 6.90 ( 13) 7 - 9 - 0 1- 7- 0 2- 8- 0 19.59 Detroit Lions 14
  15 Houston Texans 0.98679 6.11 6.19 ( 21) 9 - 8 - 0 1- 4- 0 2- 5- 0 19.41 Houston Texans 15
  16 St. Louis Rams 0.97262 6.06 6.23 ( 10) 7 - 9 - 0 3- 5- 0 4- 5- 0 18.76 St. Louis Rams 16
  17 Chicago Bears 0.97243 6.71 6.90 ( 8) 6 - 10 - 0 2- 6- 0 4- 8- 0 18.75 Chicago Bears 17
  18 Baltimore Ravens 0.95091 6.63 6.97 ( 9) 5 - 11 - 0 2- 6- 0 3- 7- 0 17.76 Baltimore Ravens 18
  19 Washington Redskins 0.94353 6.64 7.04 ( 25) 9 - 8 - 0 0- 3- 0 2- 4- 0 17.41 Washington Redskins 19
  20 San Diego Chargers 0.93524 6.43 6.88 ( 5) 4 - 12 - 0 0- 8- 0 1- 10- 0 17.02 San Diego Chargers 20
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  21 New York Giants 0.92938 7.06 7.60 ( 26) 6 - 10 - 0 0- 3- 0 1- 4- 0 16.74 New York Giants 21
  22 Philadelphia Eagles 0.91039 6.62 7.27 ( 20) 7 - 9 - 0 1- 2- 0 3- 3- 0 15.82 Philadelphia Eagles 22
  23 Atlanta Falcons 0.90472 6.08 6.72 ( 32) 8 - 8 - 0 1- 2- 0 2- 2- 0 15.54 Atlanta Falcons 23
  24 Indianapolis Colts 0.87388 6.30 7.21 ( 23) 8 - 8 - 0 1- 3- 0 2- 6- 0 13.99 Indianapolis Colts 24
  25 Miami Dolphins 0.86597 6.03 6.96 ( 22) 6 - 10 - 0 1- 1- 0 2- 5- 0 13.58 Miami Dolphins 25
  26 New Orleans Saints 0.86436 6.80 7.87 ( 27) 7 - 9 - 0 0- 3- 0 0- 5- 0 13.50 New Orleans Saints 26
  27 San Francisco 49ers 0.86400 5.74 6.65 ( 2) 5 - 11 - 0 1- 7- 0 2- 9- 0 13.48 San Francisco 49ers 27
  28 Cleveland Browns 0.85734 6.16 7.19 ( 1) 3 - 13 - 0 0- 8- 0 0- 11- 0 13.14 Cleveland Browns 28
  29 Dallas Cowboys 0.85557 5.69 6.65 ( 17) 4 - 12 - 0 0- 4- 0 0- 6- 0 13.05 Dallas Cowboys 29
  30 Jacksonville Jaguars 0.84903 6.56 7.73 ( 29) 5 - 11 - 0 0- 2- 0 1- 5- 0 12.70 Jacksonville Jaguars 30
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.84076 6.18 7.35 ( 31) 6 - 10 - 0 0- 2- 0 0- 4- 0 12.26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31
  32 Tennessee Titans 0.77732 5.75 7.40 ( 28) 3 - 13 - 0 0- 2- 0 0- 7- 0 8.75 Tennessee Titans 32

Divisional Rankings



   DIVISION GEOMETRIC MEAN

  1 (afc west) = 1.09311 ( 4)
  2 (NFC WEST) = 1.07551 ( 4)
  3 (NFC NORTH) = 1.05569 ( 4)
  4 (afc north) = 1.05545 ( 4)
  5 (afc east) = 1.02051 ( 4)
  6 (NFC SOUTH) = 0.94737 ( 4)
  7 (NFC EAST) = 0.90910 ( 4)
  8 (afc south) = 0.86856 ( 4)

   DIVISION GEOMETRIC MEAN

  7 (NFC EAST) = 0.90910 ( 4)
  3 (NFC NORTH) = 1.05569 ( 4)
  6 (NFC SOUTH) = 0.94737 ( 4)
  2 (NFC WEST) = 1.07551 ( 4)
  5 (afc east) = 1.02051 ( 4)
  4 (afc north) = 1.05545 ( 4)
  8 (afc south) = 0.86856 ( 4)
  1 (afc west) = 1.09311 ( 4)
______________________________________________________________________________________________________

By Division


________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Each team score = OFF x opponent DEF and then multiplied or divided by home or closeby factor.
No factor needed if neutral location;  fullhome=1.01625 closeby=1.00809
Finally, subtract the listed constant from each projected score.
   subtract=22.73

EXAMPLE OFFENSE DEFENSE SPREAD TOTAL
home Washington Redskins 28.55 26.18 2.37 54.73 away New York Giants
away Washington Redskins 26.93 27.78 -0.85 54.71 home New York Giants
neutral Washington Redskins 27.73 26.97 0.76 54.70 neutral New York Giants
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  7 (NFC EAST) = 0.90910
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  19 Washington Redskins 0.94353 6.64 7.04 ( 25) 9 - 8 - 0 0- 3- 0 2- 4- 0 17.41 Washington Redskins 19
  21 New York Giants 0.92938 7.06 7.60 ( 26) 6 - 10 - 0 0- 3- 0 1- 4- 0 16.74 New York Giants 21
  22 Philadelphia Eagles 0.91039 6.62 7.27 ( 20) 7 - 9 - 0 1- 2- 0 3- 3- 0 15.82 Philadelphia Eagles 22
  29 Dallas Cowboys 0.85557 5.69 6.65 ( 17) 4 - 12 - 0 0- 4- 0 0- 6- 0 13.05 Dallas Cowboys 29

  3 (NFC NORTH) = 1.05569
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  9 Green Bay Packers 1.14288 7.07 6.18 ( 6) 11 - 7 - 0 3- 5- 0 6- 6- 0 25.95 Green Bay Packers 9
  10 Minnesota Vikings 1.12784 6.70 5.94 ( 12) 11 - 6 - 0 2- 5- 0 6- 5- 0 25.36 Minnesota Vikings 10
  14 Detroit Lions 0.99091 6.84 6.90 ( 13) 7 - 9 - 0 1- 7- 0 2- 8- 0 19.59 Detroit Lions 14
  17 Chicago Bears 0.97243 6.71 6.90 ( 8) 6 - 10 - 0 2- 6- 0 4- 8- 0 18.75 Chicago Bears 17

  6 (NFC SOUTH) = 0.94737
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  5 Carolina Panthers 1.22517 7.70 6.29 ( 24) 17 - 2 - 0 4- 1- 0 5- 1- 0 29.06 Carolina Panthers 5
  23 Atlanta Falcons 0.90472 6.08 6.72 ( 32) 8 - 8 - 0 1- 2- 0 2- 2- 0 15.54 Atlanta Falcons 23
  26 New Orleans Saints 0.86436 6.80 7.87 ( 27) 7 - 9 - 0 0- 3- 0 0- 5- 0 13.50 New Orleans Saints 26
  31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.84076 6.18 7.35 ( 31) 6 - 10 - 0 0- 2- 0 0- 4- 0 12.26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31

  2 (NFC WEST) = 1.07551
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  1 Seattle Seahawks 1.28810 7.38 5.73 ( 11) 11 - 7 - 0 4- 5- 0 5- 7- 0 31.30 Seattle Seahawks 1
  4 Arizona Cardinals 1.23611 7.85 6.35 ( 16) 14 - 4 - 0 5- 3- 0 7- 4- 0 29.45 Arizona Cardinals 4
  16 St. Louis Rams 0.97262 6.06 6.23 ( 10) 7 - 9 - 0 3- 5- 0 4- 5- 0 18.76 St. Louis Rams 16
  27 San Francisco 49ers 0.86400 5.74 6.65 ( 2) 5 - 11 - 0 1- 7- 0 2- 9- 0 13.48 San Francisco 49ers 27

  5 (afc east) = 1.02051
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  8 New England Patriots 1.18888 7.54 6.34 ( 18) 13 - 5 - 0 2- 2- 0 6- 3- 0 27.71 New England Patriots 8
  11 New York Jets 1.04195 6.69 6.42 ( 30) 10 - 6 - 0 1- 1- 0 1- 5- 0 21.83 New York Jets 11
  12 Buffalo Bills 1.01107 6.78 6.71 ( 19) 8 - 8 - 0 0- 4- 0 3- 4- 0 20.49 Buffalo Bills 12
  25 Miami Dolphins 0.86597 6.03 6.96 ( 22) 6 - 10 - 0 1- 1- 0 2- 5- 0 13.58 Miami Dolphins 25

  4 (afc north) = 1.05545
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  3 Cincinnati Bengals 1.26332 7.37 5.83 ( 15) 12 - 5 - 0 3- 4- 0 6- 5- 0 30.43 Cincinnati Bengals 3
  6 Pittsburgh Steelers 1.20486 7.38 6.13 ( 4) 11 - 7 - 0 4- 5- 0 6- 5- 0 28.31 Pittsburgh Steelers 6
  18 Baltimore Ravens 0.95091 6.63 6.97 ( 9) 5 - 11 - 0 2- 6- 0 3- 7- 0 17.76 Baltimore Ravens 18
  28 Cleveland Browns 0.85734 6.16 7.19 ( 1) 3 - 13 - 0 0- 8- 0 0- 11- 0 13.14 Cleveland Browns 28

  8 (afc south) = 0.86856
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  15 Houston Texans 0.98679 6.11 6.19 ( 21) 9 - 8 - 0 1- 4- 0 2- 5- 0 19.41 Houston Texans 15
  24 Indianapolis Colts 0.87388 6.30 7.21 ( 23) 8 - 8 - 0 1- 3- 0 2- 6- 0 13.99 Indianapolis Colts 24
  30 Jacksonville Jaguars 0.84903 6.56 7.73 ( 29) 5 - 11 - 0 0- 2- 0 1- 5- 0 12.70 Jacksonville Jaguars 30
  32 Tennessee Titans 0.77732 5.75 7.40 ( 28) 3 - 13 - 0 0- 2- 0 0- 7- 0 8.75 Tennessee Titans 32

  1 (afc west) = 1.09311
NFL 2015 through games of 2016 February 7 Sunday - Super Bowl (Final Ratings)  
   HOME multiplier= 1.01625 RATIO = OFF / DEF SKED W L T VS top 10 VS top 16 APPROX
CLOSEBY multiplier= 1.00809 ( 6.66407) SUBTRACT= 22.73 average home edge= 1.43

  2 Kansas City Chiefs 1.27749 7.33 5.74 ( 14) 12 - 6 - 0 2- 5- 0 8- 5- 0 30.93 Kansas City Chiefs 2
  7 Denver Broncos 1.19749 6.87 5.74 ( 3) 15 - 4 - 0 8- 2- 0 10- 3- 0 28.03 Denver Broncos 7
  13 Oakland Raiders 0.99796 6.94 6.96 ( 7) 7 - 9 - 0 1- 7- 0 2- 8- 0 19.91 Oakland Raiders 13
  20 San Diego Chargers 0.93524 6.43 6.88 ( 5) 4 - 12 - 0 0- 8- 0 1- 10- 0 17.02 San Diego Chargers 20

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