NFL Ratings 2014

AFC Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots  New York Jets Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore RavensPittsburgh SteelersCleveland BrownsHouston TexansIndianapolis ColtsJacksonville JaguarsTennessee TitansDenver BroncosKansas City ChiefsOakland RaidersSan Diego Chargers          NFCDallas CowboysNew York GiantsPhiladelphia EaglesWashington RedskinsChicago BearsDetroit LionsGreen Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsAtlanta FalconsCarolina PanthersNew Orleans SaintsTampa Bay BuccaneersArizona CardinalsSt. Louis RamsSan Francisco 49ersSeattle Seahawks
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NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   1  New England Patriots    =  31.34   14   4   0   21.33(   6)   5  3  0 |   8  4  0 |   32.43    1 |   32.02    1 |   30.22    1
   2  Seattle Seahawks        =  29.99   14   4   0   20.57(  14)   4  2  0 |   6  3  0 |   29.92    2 |   30.06    2 |   29.96    2
   3  Green Bay Packers       =  26.94   13   5   0   20.66(  13)   3  3  0 |   5  4  0 |   26.60    5 |   27.30    3 |   26.88    3
   4  Denver Broncos          =  26.87   12   5   0   21.56(   4)   4  3  0 |   8  3  0 |   28.41    3 |   26.36    5 |   26.32    5
   5  Indianapolis Colts      =  26.36   13   6   0   20.23(  16)   2  5  0 |   4  6  0 |   27.73    4 |   25.08    6 |   26.73    4
   6  Baltimore Ravens        =  25.52   11   7   0   19.37(  25)   0  2  0 |   3  5  0 |   25.90    6 |   26.63    4 |   24.34    7
   7  Dallas Cowboys          =  24.67   13   5   0   18.80(  30)   3  2  0 |   5  3  0 |   24.09    8 |   24.33    9 |   25.51    6
   8  Kansas City Chiefs      =  24.63    9   7   0   21.04(   8)   3  2  0 |   6  4  0 |   25.72    7 |   24.91    7 |   23.60   10
   9  Buffalo Bills           =  23.59    9   7   0   21.39(   5)   2  3  0 |   4  6  0 |   23.45    9 |   24.89    8 |   22.59   14
  10  Philadelphia Eagles     =  23.28   10   6   0   19.58(  24)   2  3  0 |   3  4  0 |   22.15   12 |   23.94   10 |   23.61    9
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
  11  Detroit Lions           =  22.63   11   6   0   19.78(  21)   1  4  0 |   2  5  0 |   22.43   11 |   22.23   12 |   23.16   11
  12  Houston Texans          =  21.89    9   7   0   18.05(  32)   2  4  0 |   2  5  0 |   23.16   10 |   22.10   13 |   20.72   18
  13  Miami Dolphins          =  21.72    8   8   0   21.20(   7)   2  6  0 |   3  7  0 |   21.39   13 |   22.87   11 |   20.93   16
  14  Arizona Cardinals       =  21.66   11   6   0   21.02(   9)   3  3  0 |   5  3  0 |   20.58   14 |   20.60   15 |   23.67    8
  15  San Diego Chargers      =  21.55    9   7   0   21.84(   3)   3  5  0 |   3  7  0 |   20.25   16 |   21.48   14 |   22.69   13
  16  Pittsburgh Steelers     =  21.15   11   6   0   18.78(  31)   3  2  0 |   4  2  0 |   20.49   15 |   20.57   16 |   22.23   15
  17  Cincinnati Bengals      =  20.66   10   6   1   20.34(  15)   3  3  0 |   4  5  0 |   18.76   18 |   19.98   17 |   22.92   12
  18  Carolina Panthers       =  19.33    8   9   1   19.91(  20)   0  5  0 |   2  6  0 |   18.72   19 |   19.18   18 |   19.92   19
  19  San Francisco 49ers     =  19.32    8   8   0   20.90(  10)   3  3  0 |   4  5  0 |   18.54   20 |   18.33   20 |   20.84   17
  20  St. Louis Rams          =  18.39    6  10   0   20.84(  12)   2  4  0 |   2  7  0 |   19.13   17 |   18.92   19 |   17.22   23
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
  21  Minnesota Vikings       =  18.14    7   9   0   19.65(  22)   0  4  0 |   0  7  0 |   18.36   21 |   18.20   21 |   17.87   20
  22  New Orleans Saints      =  17.44    7   9   0   18.96(  26)   1  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   16.90   23 |   17.69   23 |   17.61   21
  23  New York Giants         =  17.26    6  10   0   19.64(  23)   0  6  0 |   1  8  0 |   17.15   22 |   17.85   22 |   16.73   24
  24  Cleveland Browns        =  16.56    7   9   0   18.92(  28)   0  4  0 |   1  6  0 |   16.36   24 |   15.96   25 |   17.22   22
  25  Atlanta Falcons         =  16.06    6  10   0   18.92(  27)   0  2  0 |   1  4  0 |   16.31   25 |   16.09   24 |   15.78   25
  26  Chicago Bears           =  15.02    5  11   0   20.85(  11)   0  5  0 |   0  8  0 |   14.76   27 |   14.85   26 |   15.33   26
  27  New York Jets           =  14.64    4  12   0   21.87(   2)   0  7  0 |   2 10  0 |   15.25   26 |   14.65   27 |   14.06   27
  28  Oakland Raiders         =  12.08    3  13   0   22.80(   1)   2  5  0 |   2 10  0 |   11.78   29 |   11.29   29 |   12.90   28
  29  Washington Redskins     =  11.96    4  12   0   20.08(  18)   2  4  0 |   2  6  0 |   13.15   28 |   11.23   30 |   11.44   29
  30  Tampa Bay Buccaneers    =  10.68    2  14   0   18.89(  29)   0  2  0 |   1  3  0 |   11.43   30 |   11.39   28 |    8.85   31
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
  31  Jacksonville Jaguars    =  10.18    3  13   0   20.22(  17)   0  5  0 |   0 10  0 |    9.75   31 |   10.26   31 |   10.38   30
  32  Tennessee Titans        =   8.50    2  14   0   19.91(  19)   1  5  0 |   1  8  0 |    8.93   32 |    8.74   32 |    7.79   32
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Divisional Rankings

 
There are three group ratings, the "central mean", the
"simple average" (also known as the "arithmetic mean",)
and the WIN50%.
The "central mean" gives the most weight to the middle team(s)
in the group and progressively less weight to teams as you go
away from the middle in either direction, up or down.
This tends to smooth out the effect of anomalous teams that are rated
much higher and lower than the middle team(s) in the group.  The
"simple average" ("arithmetic mean") weights each team equally
no matter where they are relative to the middle.
Here are a few examples of how the "central mean" is computed.
  4-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-2-1
  5-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-2-1
  6-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-3-2-1
  7-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-3-2-1
  8-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-4-3-2-1
  9-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-4-3-2-1
 10-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-5-4-3-2-1
 11-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-5-4-3-2-1
 12-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-6-5-4-3-2-1
 13-team group ___ the weights are   1-2-3-4-5-6-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
This is an expanded version of the "tri-mean".

The WIN50% is the rating required to win 50% of the games if playing an
infinite number of round-robins in the given group at a neutral location.

      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   1  (afc east)              =  22.77      22.82  (  1)      4      22.79  (  1)
   2  (afc west)              =  21.89      21.28  (  3)      4      21.53  (  3)
   3  (NFC WEST)              =  21.72      22.34  (  2)      4      22.17  (  2)
   4  (afc north)             =  20.95      20.97  (  4)      4      20.97  (  4)
   5  (NFC NORTH)             =  20.58      20.68  (  5)      4      20.66  (  5)
   6  (NFC EAST)              =  19.62      19.29  (  6)      4      19.37  (  6)
   7  (afc south)             =  16.50      16.73  (  7)      4      16.66  (  7)
   8  (NFC SOUTH)             =  16.17      15.88  (  8)      4      15.93  (  8)


      DIVISION            CENTRAL MEAN    SIMPLE AVERAGE  TEAMS      WIN50%

   6  (NFC EAST)              =  19.62      19.29  (  6)      4      19.37  (  6)
   5  (NFC NORTH)             =  20.58      20.68  (  5)      4      20.66  (  5)
   8  (NFC SOUTH)             =  16.17      15.88  (  8)      4      15.93  (  8)
   3  (NFC WEST)              =  21.72      22.34  (  2)      4      22.17  (  2)
   1  (afc east)              =  22.77      22.82  (  1)      4      22.79  (  1)
   4  (afc north)             =  20.95      20.97  (  4)      4      20.97  (  4)
   7  (afc south)             =  16.50      16.73  (  7)      4      16.66  (  7)
   2  (afc west)              =  21.89      21.28  (  3)      4      21.53  (  3)
______________________________________________________________________________________________________
 

By Division

 
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   6  (NFC EAST)              =  19.62      19.29  (  6)   TEAMS=  4      19.37  (  6)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   7  Dallas Cowboys          =  24.67   13   5   0   18.80(  30)   3  2  0 |   5  3  0 |   24.09    8 |   24.33    9 |   25.51    6
  10  Philadelphia Eagles     =  23.28   10   6   0   19.58(  24)   2  3  0 |   3  4  0 |   22.15   12 |   23.94   10 |   23.61    9
  23  New York Giants         =  17.26    6  10   0   19.64(  23)   0  6  0 |   1  8  0 |   17.15   22 |   17.85   22 |   16.73   24
  29  Washington Redskins     =  11.96    4  12   0   20.08(  18)   2  4  0 |   2  6  0 |   13.15   28 |   11.23   30 |   11.44   29
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   5  (NFC NORTH)             =  20.58      20.68  (  5)   TEAMS=  4      20.66  (  5)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   3  Green Bay Packers       =  26.94   13   5   0   20.66(  13)   3  3  0 |   5  4  0 |   26.60    5 |   27.30    3 |   26.88    3
  11  Detroit Lions           =  22.63   11   6   0   19.78(  21)   1  4  0 |   2  5  0 |   22.43   11 |   22.23   12 |   23.16   11
  21  Minnesota Vikings       =  18.14    7   9   0   19.65(  22)   0  4  0 |   0  7  0 |   18.36   21 |   18.20   21 |   17.87   20
  26  Chicago Bears           =  15.02    5  11   0   20.85(  11)   0  5  0 |   0  8  0 |   14.76   27 |   14.85   26 |   15.33   26
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   8  (NFC SOUTH)             =  16.17      15.88  (  8)   TEAMS=  4      15.93  (  8)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
  18  Carolina Panthers       =  19.33    8   9   1   19.91(  20)   0  5  0 |   2  6  0 |   18.72   19 |   19.18   18 |   19.92   19
  22  New Orleans Saints      =  17.44    7   9   0   18.96(  26)   1  2  0 |   2  3  0 |   16.90   23 |   17.69   23 |   17.61   21
  25  Atlanta Falcons         =  16.06    6  10   0   18.92(  27)   0  2  0 |   1  4  0 |   16.31   25 |   16.09   24 |   15.78   25
  30  Tampa Bay Buccaneers    =  10.68    2  14   0   18.89(  29)   0  2  0 |   1  3  0 |   11.43   30 |   11.39   28 |    8.85   31
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   3  (NFC WEST)              =  21.72      22.34  (  2)   TEAMS=  4      22.17  (  2)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   2  Seattle Seahawks        =  29.99   14   4   0   20.57(  14)   4  2  0 |   6  3  0 |   29.92    2 |   30.06    2 |   29.96    2
  14  Arizona Cardinals       =  21.66   11   6   0   21.02(   9)   3  3  0 |   5  3  0 |   20.58   14 |   20.60   15 |   23.67    8
  19  San Francisco 49ers     =  19.32    8   8   0   20.90(  10)   3  3  0 |   4  5  0 |   18.54   20 |   18.33   20 |   20.84   17
  20  St. Louis Rams          =  18.39    6  10   0   20.84(  12)   2  4  0 |   2  7  0 |   19.13   17 |   18.92   19 |   17.22   23
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   1  (afc east)              =  22.77      22.82  (  1)   TEAMS=  4      22.79  (  1)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   1  New England Patriots    =  31.34   14   4   0   21.33(   6)   5  3  0 |   8  4  0 |   32.43    1 |   32.02    1 |   30.22    1
   9  Buffalo Bills           =  23.59    9   7   0   21.39(   5)   2  3  0 |   4  6  0 |   23.45    9 |   24.89    8 |   22.59   14
  13  Miami Dolphins          =  21.72    8   8   0   21.20(   7)   2  6  0 |   3  7  0 |   21.39   13 |   22.87   11 |   20.93   16
  27  New York Jets           =  14.64    4  12   0   21.87(   2)   0  7  0 |   2 10  0 |   15.25   26 |   14.65   27 |   14.06   27
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   4  (afc north)             =  20.95      20.97  (  4)   TEAMS=  4      20.97  (  4)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   6  Baltimore Ravens        =  25.52   11   7   0   19.37(  25)   0  2  0 |   3  5  0 |   25.90    6 |   26.63    4 |   24.34    7
  16  Pittsburgh Steelers     =  21.15   11   6   0   18.78(  31)   3  2  0 |   4  2  0 |   20.49   15 |   20.57   16 |   22.23   15
  17  Cincinnati Bengals      =  20.66   10   6   1   20.34(  15)   3  3  0 |   4  5  0 |   18.76   18 |   19.98   17 |   22.92   12
  24  Cleveland Browns        =  16.56    7   9   0   18.92(  28)   0  4  0 |   1  6  0 |   16.36   24 |   15.96   25 |   17.22   22
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   7  (afc south)             =  16.50      16.73  (  7)   TEAMS=  4      16.66  (  7)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   5  Indianapolis Colts      =  26.36   13   6   0   20.23(  16)   2  5  0 |   4  6  0 |   27.73    4 |   25.08    6 |   26.73    4
  12  Houston Texans          =  21.89    9   7   0   18.05(  32)   2  4  0 |   2  5  0 |   23.16   10 |   22.10   13 |   20.72   18
  31  Jacksonville Jaguars    =  10.18    3  13   0   20.22(  17)   0  5  0 |   0 10  0 |    9.75   31 |   10.26   31 |   10.38   30
  32  Tennessee Titans        =   8.50    2  14   0   19.91(  19)   1  5  0 |   1  8  0 |    8.93   32 |    8.74   32 |    7.79   32
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

   2  (afc west)              =  21.89      21.28  (  3)   TEAMS=  4      21.53  (  3)
NFL 2014 through games of 2015 January 18 Sunday - Conference Championships                                                         
                                RATING    W   L   T  SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 16 | GOLDEN_MEAN  | PURE POINTS  | ELO_SCORE  
                HOME ADVANTAGE=[  2.60]                                                   [  2.39]       [  2.46]       [  2.89]
   4  Denver Broncos          =  26.87   12   5   0   21.56(   4)   4  3  0 |   8  3  0 |   28.41    3 |   26.36    5 |   26.32    5
   8  Kansas City Chiefs      =  24.63    9   7   0   21.04(   8)   3  2  0 |   6  4  0 |   25.72    7 |   24.91    7 |   23.60   10
  15  San Diego Chargers      =  21.55    9   7   0   21.84(   3)   3  5  0 |   3  7  0 |   20.25   16 |   21.48   14 |   22.69   13
  28  Oakland Raiders         =  12.08    3  13   0   22.80(   1)   2  5  0 |   2 10  0 |   11.78   29 |   11.29   29 |   12.90   28
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