• Economic Risk Assessment during the Eurocup The Euro Cup draws closer; the opening match between France and Romania will take place a week from now! In light of the fast approaching European summer highlight, we have started some amazing data collection on prospective economic and personal risk assessment throughout the tournament. We will collect answers on questions about prospective spending and investment from one thousand respondents, twice a week, in fourmajor European countries: France, Spain, the UK and Germany. We are collecting the cross-national data via the  mobile polling platform PollFIsh. The German version of questions we ask can be found here!
    Posted Jun 3, 2016, 1:50 PM by Tobias Konitzer
  • Democratic Party Closer to Voters when it comes to Policies David Rothschild and I discuss in today's Washington Post that the Democratic Party is much more closely aligned with the general voting population than the Republican Party. Go check it out!New polls show that more Americans prefer Democrats’ policies
    Posted May 27, 2016, 1:42 PM by Tobias Konitzer
  • Using Cell Phone Geolocation Data Researchers have used IP-addresses, one's digital identification stamp, to leverage geographical variation in all sorts of analyses. The problem: IP-based geo-identification is highly imprecise at anything more granular than city-level. Hence, it offers very little advantage for campaign consultants, who are more interested in using geo-location to identify potential voters and connect their whereabouts to their Big Data on all registered voters, the voter files. Using cell-phone data as supposed to internet IP is highly advantageous. Not only are cell-phone-derived GPS coordinates much more accurate, we also get hundreds of geo-stamps a day, making identification and even tracking almost trivial (see Figure below, that tracks one unidentified user of our ...
    Posted May 26, 2016, 12:36 PM by Tobias Konitzer
  • The Nature of Anti-Immigrant Sentiment - 1 Widespread public resistance to immigration is well established, but there is considerable debate about the content of anti-immigrant stereotyping. What specific traits drive anti-immigrant sentiment, and is there differences in the importance of traits to stereotypes directed at specific immigrant groups?  In a joint project with Shanto Iyengar, we use data on immigration policy preferences and evaluations of specific immigrant groups by YouGov from 2010 to assess the content of stereotyping of Middle Easterners in three Anglo-Saxon Democracies (US, UK, and Canada). In addition, we look at the content of stereotyping of the modal outgroup - Hispanics in the US and South Asians in the UK and in Canada. We scale stereotypes using a multidimensional IRT model, relying ...
    Posted Mar 26, 2015, 10:09 AM by Tobias Konitzer
  • Ideological Preferences for Cable News Shows Are preferences for cable news constrained and polarized? And more importantly, how do we measure it? We have data from the 2008 election on whether respondents watch a certain cable news show regularly or not, for a variety of shows over time, a so called "program list" (see here for more explanation). Ideally, we would like to group shows by response patterns, i.e. shows that have a similar distribution of yes/no answers across respondents should be grouped together. Interpretation of the results would be straightforward. If shows with a similar political leaning (i.e. The Rachel Maddow Show and Hardball with Chris Matthews) have a similar grouping parameter, consumption of cable news would be constrained  and polarized. If ...
    Posted Mar 26, 2015, 9:33 AM by Tobias Konitzer
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