Wall St. forecasters

This is the data we put together for the "Strategists: full of bull" article, which saw over 1 million reads and >800 social media shares, with wide news appeal inside and outside the internet.  It is the lengthiest data set of this kind.  Enjoy!  Plus an additional distribution chart (similar to the one shown in the article) is below the data.

Update (December 2016): the article related to this Sunday's New York Times' article will be posted here on the evening of December 17.  You can also subscribe by e-mail using this form (must accept the confirmation e-mail sent immediately afterwards), or share us on twitter @salilstatistics.  Thank you.

Year

Market actual (y-1)

Market actual

Prediction

Who

Index

Source

1998

7908

9181

8800

JPMorgan

Dow

Barron's

1998

7908

9181

8000

Citi

Dow

Barron's

1998

7908

9181

8700

Goldman Sachs

Dow

Barron's

1998

7908

9181

8650

UBS

Dow

Barron's

1998

7908

9181

8350

Bear Stearns

Dow

Barron's

1998

7908

9181

9000

Lehman Brothers

Dow

Barron's

1998

7908

9181

8000

Merrill Lynch

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

9300

JPMorgan

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

9000

Citi

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

10600

Prudential

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

9850

Goldman Sachs

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

9750

UBS

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

9800

Bear Stearns

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

9800

Lehman Brothers

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

10000

Merrill Lynch

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

9800

AG Edwards

Dow

Barron's

1999

9181

11497

11000

DLJ

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

10000

JPMorgan

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

12200

Citi

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

12500

Morgan Stanley

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

13000

Prudential

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

12300

Goldman Sachs

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

12500

UBS

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

11000

Bear Stearns

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

12750

Lehman Brothers

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

11200

Merrill Lynch

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

13000

AG Edwards

Dow

Barron's

2000

11497

10788

13000

DLJ

Dow

Barron's

2001

1320

1148

1600

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2001

1320

1148

1650

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2001

1320

1148

1715

UBS

S&P

Barron's

2001

1320

1148

1800

Lehman Brothers

S&P

Barron's

2001

1320

1148

1720

Merrill Lynch

S&P

Barron's

2002

1148

880

1300

Citi

S&P

USA Today

2002

1148

880

1375

Credit Suisse

S&P

USA Today

2002

1148

880

1200

Bank of America

S&P

USA Today

2002

1148

880

1350

Lehman Brothers

S&P

USA Today

2002

1148

880

1200

Merrill Lynch

S&P

USA Today

2002

1148

880

1240

AG Edwards

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

800

JPMorgan

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1075

Citi

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1025

Morgan Stanley

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1100

Prudential

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1150

Goldman Sachs

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1025

UBS

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1100

Bank of America

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

860

Merrill Lynch

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1000

First Albany

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

975

U.S. Bancorp

S&P

USA Today

2003

880

1112

1100

AG Edwards

S&P

USA Today

2004

1112

1212

1120

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1025

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1112

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1300

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1250

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1150

UBS

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1210

Wells Capital

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1100

Bear Stearns

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1160

Bank of America

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

1150

Lehman Brothers

S&P

Barron's

2004

1112

1212

890

Merrill Lynch

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1275

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1300

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1250

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1325

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1100

UBS

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1275

Deutsche Bank

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1325

Wells Capital

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1325

ISI Group

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1200

Bear Stearns

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1200

Bank of America

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1300

Lehman Brothers

S&P

Barron's

2005

1212

1248

1205

Merrill Lynch

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1275

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1400

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1530

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1320

UBS

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1380

ISI Group

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1350

Bear Stearns

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1335

Bank of America

S&P

Barron's

2006

1248

1418

1385

Charles Schwab

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1440

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1500

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1525

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1600

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1550

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1500

UBS

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1540

Deutsche Bank

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1550

Bear Stearns

S&P

Barron's

2007

1418

1468

1465

Merrill Lynch

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1590

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1675

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1525

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1675

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1700

UBS

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1650

Credit Suisse

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1640

Deutsche Bank

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1750

ISI Group

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1700

Bear Stearns

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1625

Bank of America

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1630

Lehman Brothers

S&P

Barron's

2008

1468

903

1525

Merrill Lynch

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1100

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1000

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

975

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1050

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1100

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

975

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1250

Wells Capital

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1000

Oppenheimer

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1025

Deutsche Bank

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1020

U.S. Trust

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

950

Neuberger Berman

S&P

Barron's

2009

903

1115

1100

Strategas Research

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1300

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1120

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1150

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1170

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1249

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1350

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1250

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1275

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1200

Putnam

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1350

Wells Capital

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1300

U.S. Trust

S&P

Barron's

2010

1115

1258

1150

ISI Group

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1400

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1420

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1362.5

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1450

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1400

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1350

Putnam

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1350

UBS

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1250

Credit Suisse

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1325

Oppenheimer

S&P

Barron's

2011

1258

1258

1425

Wells Capital

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1450

Federated Investors

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1430

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1330

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1375

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1167

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1350

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1430

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1250

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1350

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2012

1258

1426

1420

Putnam

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1660

Federated Investors

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1580

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1525

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1615

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1434

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1545

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1600

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1575

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1600

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2013

1426

1848

1490

Putnam

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

2100

Federated Investors

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

2075

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

1900

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

1900

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

1950

Columbia

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

2014

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

1920

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

2014

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

1900

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2014

1848

2059

2000

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2350

Federated Investors

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2250

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2100

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2200

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2200

Columbia

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2275

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2160

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2250

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2100

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2015

2059

2044

2200

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2500

Federated Investors

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2200

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2200

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2200

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2200

Columbia

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2175

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2175

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2250

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2100

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2016

2044

2258

2200

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2350

Federated Investors

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2400

Barclays

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2450

Columbia

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2300

Goldman Sachs

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2400

JPMorgan

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2325

Citi

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2300

Morgan Stanley

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2575

Prudential

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2400

Black Rock

S&P

Barron's

2017

2258

2300

Bank of America ML

S&P

Barron's




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