Player Dossiers

24th January, 2018

Email: Sportsanalyticsadvantage@gmail.com


Recently, I have been asked to perform some analytical research on some players, by way of producing player dossiers.

These dossiers are useful for a number of purposes - the first obvious usage would be for agents to market their players at auctions and drafts around the world. Furthermore, they also will enable the players to learn about their strengths and weaknesses from a statistical perspective, which will enable them to perform better on the pitch.  Extra detail - for example, a batsman's strike rate at various stages during an innings (e.g. powerplay/middle overs/death) is also available.

In addition, this type of information can be used by clubs when preparing strategies against an opponent. For example, a particular opening batsman might have a weakness against spin bowling, so a team may wish to exploit this by opening with an occasional spinner in an attempt to get a cheap over in.

If you would like to discuss our services for compiling these dossiers for your team, clients or as an individual, please get in touch via sportsanalyticsadvantage@gmail.com.


Here are a few of the dossiers that I've created over the last few days...



Player: Joseph Liam Denly
Date of Birth: March 16, 1986 (31 years)
Batting Style: Right-Hand Bat
Bowling Style: Legbreak




A 31 year old right-hand opening batsman from Canterbury, England, Joe Denly has played in 9 ODIs and 5 T20is for England and has a rare talent among English top order batsmen, being equally strong against both pace and spin bowling.  With success in both the recent Bangladesh Premier League and the Big Bash competitions, Denly is one of the form T20 batsmen around the world right now. 

In the last two years, while playing for Kent (T20 Blast), Dhaka Dynamites (Bangladesh Premier League) and Sydney Sixers (Big Bash), Denly has struck at around 135 runs per 100 balls against both pace and spin - illustrating how strong he is against both bowling types, and also demonstrating that it is difficult for opposition captains to find good bowler match-ups to try and contain him.

In addition to this, Denly’s weight of runs has been superb. In 35 completed innings, he has scored 1,278 runs from 955 balls during this time, averaging an elite-level 36.51 runs per wicket at a strike rate of 133.82. Across these 955 balls, he has an excellent boundary percentage of 17.70% and a superb 5.65% six percentage.  These numbers clearly show that Denly is very likely to score big runs at a consistently quick rate.

According to the Sports Analytics Advantage algorithm, Denly’s expected average for the upcoming IPL is 33.87, with an expected strike rate of 137.90.  Both Denly’s expected average and expected strike rate are considerably better than the average T20 batsman, marking him out as a batsman who will be a real asset for IPL franchises as well as franchises in other T20 leagues globally. 

Denly's bowling also has an extra benefit, with the Sydney Sixers able to make some excellent usage of it during his four matches in the recent Big Bash - 4 overs, 23 runs, 1 wicket were his figures - and perhaps his English T20 team, Kent, have missed a trick here by not utilising his ability with the ball as much as they should have.


Player: Paul Robert Stirling
Date of Birth: September 3, 1990 (27 years)
Batting Style: Right-Hand Bat
Bowling Style: Right Arm Offbreak





Paul Stirling is a dynamic batsman who can boast high strike rates and boundary hitting at the top of the order. Playing across the T20 Blast for Middlesex, and in T20 internationals for Ireland, Stirling has a 2015-2017 average of 26.31, striking at a superb rate of 151.41.

This data from the last three years is excellent, and marks Stirling out to be a considerably better than average T20 batsman, particularly from a strike rate perspective. This top-level strike rate is backed-up by a world-class boundary percentage of 23.66% in the last three years, well above the global average of around 15%.

There are very few batsmen in world cricket who can rival such a boundary percentage, or Stirling’s six-hitting percentage of 7.03% - again a world-class number that few T20 batsmen can rival. In short, Stirling is one of the most prolific boundary hitters in the world, demonstrating that he attacks bowlers and is in no danger of playing a match losing innings.

Quite unusually for a British batsman, Stirling is also adept against both pace and spin bowling, although he has a slight preference towards pace. Across the last two season of the T20 Blast for Middlesex, Stirling has scored at around a magnificent 160 strike rate against pace bowling, and a solid 127 against spin, so it will be difficult for opposition captains to formulate plans to combat his quick scoring.

Using the unique Sports Analytics Advantage algorithm, here are Stirling’s current expected averages and expected strike rates at several of the upcoming T20 events around the world:-

T20 League

Stirling Expected Average

Stirling Expected Strike Rate




IPL

21.09

145.87

T20 Blast

27.73

151.03


The numbers above illustrate that Stirling has an excellent chance of being a dominant opening batsman in these upcoming T20 events, with expected strike rates considerably above the worldwide franchise league (2015-2017) mean of 127.18, and in addition, significantly greater than the lower mean strike rate for an opening batsman.

Also worth mentioning is Stirling’s off-break bowling which has taken nine wickets at a cost of 37.11 in the T20 Blast across the last three years, at a decent economy of 8.28 in what is one the most batting-orientated T20 leagues around the world. Astute captains will be able to make use of Stirling’s bowling, particularly in match-ups against batsmen who are not quick scorers against spinners.

In summary, any T20 franchise which signs Paul Stirling will get a destructive opening batsman at around peak age, who can hit a high percentage of boundaries at any stage of an innings, as well as a very useful part-time spin bowler. 

 

Player: Jonathan Marc Bairstow
Date of Birth: September 26, 1989 (28 years)
Batting Style: Right-Hand Bat
Additional Role: Wicketkeeper



Jonny Bairstow is England’s first-choice wicket-keeper/batsman across a variety of formats, and while the demands of England across multiple formats has constricted the number of T20 matches Bairstow has been able to play, his data when he has played has been strong.

Playing across the T20 Blast for Yorkshire, the PSL for Peshawar Zalmi and for the English national team, Bairstow has averaged an impressive 30.88 in the last three years in T20, striking at 131.73. To put this into context, these numbers are well above the worldwide franchise league (2015-2017) average of 23.44, and strike rate mean of 127.18, with the average being considerably higher.

This makes Bairstow an excellent candidate to play an anchor role in a T20 team, although it’s worth noting that with a boundary percentage of 16.00% in T20s across the last three years, in combination with a six-hitting percentage of 5.33%, Bairstow has the skill-set to be able to accumulate runs quickly when required.

Bairstow actually has a slight bias toward spin bowling in the last couple of years in T20, striking at an excellent 152 runs per 100 balls, which would stand him in good stead for franchise leagues in the sub-continent, such as the Indian Premier League and also the Pakistan Super League, where he already has experience.

Using the unique Sports Analytics Advantage algorithm, here are Bairstow’s current expected averages and expected strike rates at several of the upcoming T20 events around the world:-

T20 League

Bairstow Expected Average

Bairstow Expected Strike Rate




IPL

28.57

131.29

T20 Blast

33.05

132.47


The above figures show that Bairstow will be expected to be a success in the next two high profile T20 leagues, with a very strong expected average in conjunction with a decent strike rate. Very few T20 batsmen will be able to boast expected averages as high as Bairstow in the format, making him an excellent candidate for teams looking for a player to build an innings around.

In addition, Bairstow offers excellent wicket-keeping skills, which have led to him becoming the undisputed Test wicket-keeper for the England national team, and a franchise considering signing Bairstow will enjoy the luxury of having a keeper capable of batting at the top of the order, which then gives them the luxury of having greater options regarding selection of extra batsmen, all-rounders or an additional bowler.


Player: Steven Thomas Finn
Date of Birth: April 4, 1989 (28 years)
Batting Style: Right-Hand Bat
Bowling Style: Right-Arm Fast



Steven Finn is an all-format pace bowler from England, who can boast excellent numbers across both red-ball and white-ball cricket.

Numbers-wise, T20 is undoubtedly Finn’s best format, with a career T20 international bowling average of 21.59, with economy 7.28, while across the last three years, Finn has taken 32 wickets at a cost of 18.79, going at just 7.65 runs per over - magnificent figures for any bowler, let alone one who bowls a large percentage of his overs in the powerplay overs.

International selection has reduced Finn’s historical availability in T20 franchise leagues, but these above numbers clearly show that he’d be an asset for franchise teams around the world, particularly considering that the majority of these figures were in the batting-friendly T20 Blast competition.

The unique Sports Analytics Advantage algorithm shows that Finn’s expected data for T20 leagues in the near future is excellent across all competitions:-

Franchise League

Finn Expected Average

Finn Expected Economy Rate




T20 Blast

18.65

7.66

PSL

17.37

7.33

IPL

23.82

8.05



Considering that the worldwide bowler means across 2017 were around 27 runs per wicket and 8 runs per over (and much higher in the IPL and T20 Blast) it is obvious that Finn’s expected figures are significantly superior than the average bowler, making him a real asset for any franchise.

For Middlesex in the T20 Blast in England, Finn’s primary role has been to be a wicket-taker in the powerplay, often bowling three overs in the first six. He’s performed this role with aplomb, averaging 20.93 in the powerplay for Middlesex in the last three years, with an economy rate of 7.48.

Given his success in this role, it seems logical for him to be used earlier in an innings as opposed to the death, and although he should have the skill-set to bowl in that role as well, he’s not had as much exposure bowling at the end of an innings.

To conclude, Steven Finn offers a genuine pace option for T20 franchises around the world, with undoubted wicket-taking ability, as well as being more economical than average.

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