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Shu Yu


Welcome to my homepage! 

I am an economist at the World Bank (Washington DC) My research interest lies mainly in Economic Development, Political Economy, and Trade.



Academic publications 
  1. The Alma Mater Effect. Does Foreign Education of Political Leaders Influence Voting Behavior in the United Nations General Assembly?" (with Axel Dreher) CESifo working paper no. 5871, Public Choice (Forthcoming).
  2.  Policy Research Working Paper No. 7704Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy 8(1), pp. 1-22, 2017. (with Franziska Ohnsorge) Request a updated working paper version.
  3. "Political Leader Survival: Does Competence Matter?" Public Choice 166, pp.113-142, 2016.(with Richard Jong-A-Pin)
  4. Urban Employment in Small Businesses and the Level of Economic Development: Evidence from Chinese CitiesGrowth and Change 47(1), pp.51-71, 2016. (with Ana Moreno and Victoria Euse)
  5. "Trade, Trust and the Rule of LawEuropean Journal of Political Economy 37, pp. 102-115, 2015. (with Jakob de Haan and Sjoerd Beugelsdijk)
  6. The Missing Link: China's Contracted Engineering Projects in Africa Review of Development Economics 18(3), pp. 564-584, 2014. (with Yin-Wong Cheung, Jakob de Haan, XingWang Qian)
  7. China’s Outward Direct Investment in Africa” Review of International Economics 20(2), pp.201-220, 2012.(with Yin-Wong Cheung, Jakob de Haan, Xingwang Qian)
  8. China‘s Investments in Africa” (Slides!) in The Evolving Role of China in the Global Economy 2010 CESifo Venice Summer Institute Conference Volume, edited by Yin-Wong Cheung and Jakob de Haan, MIT Press, 2012. (with Yin-Wong Cheung, Jakob de Haan, Xingwang Qian)
Working papers
  1. "Rich or Alive? Political (instability), Political Leader Selection and Economic Growth" (with Richard Jong-A-Pin), accepted at Journal of Comparative Economics.
  2. "Successful Coups and Economic Growth” (with Richard Jong-A-Pin), KOF Working papers 10-252revise and resubmit at European Journal of Political Economy.
  3. The Rise of China’s Multinationals" (with Randall Stone, Yu Wang),  submitted.
  4. "The Successor's Dilemma and Social Mobilization: In the Case of Mao Zedong and the Cultural Revolution" (with Yuan Li and Yongjing Zhang), submitted.
  5. "Designated Succession: When Does It Work in Authoritarian Regimes?(with Yuan Li and Yongjing Zhang).
Policy publications
  1. "Growing in the Shadow: Challenges of Informality" (with M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge) in the 2019 January Global Economy Prospects: Darkening Skies. Washington, DC: World Bank. World Bank Blog.
  2. "Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context" (with Franziska Ohnsorge) in the 2016 June Global Economy Prospects: Divergences and Risks. Washington, DC: World Bank. World Bank Blog.
  3. "Africa Rising: Harnessing the Demographic Dividend" (with Paulo Drummond, Vimal Thakoor), IMF Working Paper no 14/143, featured in SSA Regional Economic Outlook (IMF, 2015).
  4. ‘’Total Factor Productivity among Cities in China: Estimation and Explanation” (with Yan Xu), the Conference Board EPWP Np.12-01.
Research Experience
  • 2016: Economist at the World Bank (Washington, D.C., USA)
  • 2014: Post-doctoral Fellow at University of Rochester (Skanly Center)
  • 2013: the IMF Summer Internship Programme (Washington, D.C., USA)
  • 2010: the Robert H. McGuckin III Summer Fellowship in Economics, the Conference Board (NY, USA)






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