SHIV DIXIT

I am an Assistant Professor of Economics and Public Policy at the Indian School of Business. I received my Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Minnesota. Previously, I served as a Research Analyst at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and the International Monetary Fund.

Fields: Public Finance, Monetary Economics, Macroeconomics








WORKING PAPERS

Dynamic Epidemiology: Spillovers from Limited Commitment and Private Information
[paper] [slides]

This paper studies how contractual frictions interact with the amount of risk people choose to bear. Though the framework is general, I use it to examine preventive healthcare expenditure. In particular, I develop a dynamic contracting model in which differences in information and commitment technologies can account for variations in immunization rates over time and across countries. I document four salient facts regarding DPT vaccination rates: (i) lower immunization in countries with greater costs of contract enforcement, (ii) higher volatility in immunization in countries with larger informal sectors, (iii) less persistence in immunization relative to aggregate income, and (iv) negative skewness in the distribution of immunization over time. These patterns cannot be explained by efficient immunization in a frictionless economy. However, dynamic contracts subject to ex-post one-sided commitment and hidden income can rationalize these facts. This analysis shows that weak provision of public goods, such as the inefficacy of the judicial system and the degree of informality, can spillover to weak provision of preventive healthcare. A model estimated using U.S. data reveals that an income monitoring technology is welfare enhancing in the long-run, generating an increase of 4.3% in certainty equivalent consumption of the policyholder and 0.6% in the insurer’s surplus. Using the consumption neutrality of the efficient risk choice, I also devise a test to show that the hypothesis of limited commitment cannot be rejected in the data. 


Electoral Systems, Heterogeneous Fiscal Policy and Labor Regulations
[paper] [slides]

Tax policy is volatile and largely dependent on the political regime in power. In this paper, I ask if labor regulations can be used to promote fiscal uniformity. I document that countries with more disproportional electoral voting systems are supported with higher minimum wages. To account for this fact, I develop a model in which a benevolent constitutional planner can restrict the allocation space of a heterogeneously skilled population prior to the stochastic determination of fiscal policy. Elected officials maximize the objective of their constituencies by devising socially suboptimal tax systems that favor idiosyncratic gains from redistribution. I show that the equilibrium constitution limits cross-sectional dispersion in labor income ex-ante to discipline taxation ex-post. A model estimated using key moments of the U.S. presidential elections and the Lorenz curve reveals that labor regulations aimed at stemming erratic taxation can increase welfare by 2.5% in terms of certainty equivalent consumption. 


Efficient Demonetization
[paper]

Traditional models of money assume that the marginal social cost of printing fiat currency is zero, justifying the optimality of the Friedman rule. However, in an environment where the degree of hidden income is alleviated by the dearth of cash, demonetization could be efficient. I isolate conditions under which state-contingent transfer limits are monotonic in reported endowments and promised values. A model calibrated to the Indian income process reveals that long-run gains in the surplus of the central bank upon switching to a state-contingent monetary policy from a non state-contingent one are 28.5% of aggregate income. 


IN PROGRESS

A Positive Theory of Collateral Constraints under Time-inconsistent Taxation

Are Minimum Wages and Income Taxes Complements or Substitutes? with Sergio Salgado 

Bank Dependence and Monetary Transmission: Evidence from India with Krishnamurthy Subramanian


PUBLICATIONS

Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community: An Empirical Investigation with Hamid Davoodi and Gabor Pinter, Working Paper Series, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., 2013, WP/13/39.


BOOK CHAPTERS

East African Community: Taking Off? with Martine Guerguil, Catherine McAuliffe, Hamid Davoodi, and Maxwell Opoku-Afari, Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa, International Monetary Fund, April 2011, 51-73.

The Quest for Regional Integration in the East African Community, Chapter 7, edited by Paulo Drummond, S. Kal Wajid and Oral Williams, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., 2014.


POLICY PAPERS AND STAFF REPORTS

Botswana: Article IV Consultation with Lamin Leigh, Gonzalo Pastor and Gustavo Ramirez, International Monetary Fund, 2011.

Tracking Short-term Dynamics of Economic Activity in Low-income Countries in the Absence of High-frequency GDP Data with Maxwell Opoku-Afari, Working Paper Series, International Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., 2012, WP/12/119.

Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Exchange Rates and Policies in Sub-Saharan Africa with Nabil Ben Ltaifa and Stella Kaendera, African Departmental Paper, International Monetary Fund, 2009, AFR/09/03.


DISCUSSIONS

"Heterogeneity of Central Bankers and Inflationary Pressure" by Mauricio Bugarin and Fabia Carvalho; XX Inflation Targeting Conference, Central Bank of Brazil.

"Misallocation in the Market for Inputs: Enforcement and the Organization of Production" by Johannes Boehm and Ezra Oberfield; CAFRAL, Reserve Bank of India.