RPI: THIS YEAR'S REPORTS


DATA SOURCE

An excellent source of Division I women's soccer schedules, game results, and unadjusted and Adjusted RPI data for the 2016 season is at the following link: 2016 College Women's Soccer Schedule (presented by All White Kit).  The link will take you to a Division I women's soccer Schedule page.  If you use the "Information" drop down menu at the upper left, you also can connect to an "Adjusted RPI" page with RPI-related information.  The "Information" drop down menu also can take you to a "Conferences" page.  From any of these pages, you can connect to a detailed record page for each team or alternatively can use a link to go directly to the team's website schedule page.  In addition, on the "All Information" page, if you click on a team's "Unadjusted RPI" box, you will see a chart showing the evolution of the team's RPI over the course of the season, including the evolution of the three elements that go into the RPI.  The chart also shows how the team's RPI will develop over the course of the season if the team wins its remaining games (subject to the caution that this part of the chart assumes that the records of other teams, other than those the particular team will play, will not change over the balance of the season).  This is a truly great resource for Division I women's college soccer fans, compliments of AllWhiteKit's Chris Henderson.  I highly recommend it.

I have created a Manual for those interested in using the that website.  I have attached the Manual at the bottom of this page (in the form of a MS Word file).

2016 RPI REPORTS

At the bottom of this page, you will find links to weekly RPI reports for the 2016 season, once the teams are about five weeks into the season.  For any technical comments I have about the weekly reports, check at the RPI and Bracketology for DI Women's Soccer Blogspace.  Links for my weekly RPI reports, which start covering games through September 18 and continue weekly thereafter, are at the bottom of the page.

Please note that the weekly reports are in the form of Excel workbooks consisting of three spreadsheets each, as described in more detail below.  They may be too large for the last spreadsheet to show up, if you simply open them up here.  For those seriously interested in all the details, you should consider downloading the spreadsheets if you have Excel and then you will have full access to all the details.

The reports I publish cover all Division I regular season games, including conference tournament games.  Once the NCAA starts publishing its own RPI ratings, I check my ratings weekly against theirs, identify any data inconsistencies, and then either make corrections to my data base or let the NCAA know it needs to make corrections.  This assures that my ratings and the NCAA's are a match.  The only time I don't have a chance to do this is following the completion of games on the last day of the season.  Even then, however, unless there is a data discrepancy, which happens occasionally but is unusual, the RPI ratings and rankings should match the ones the NCAA Women's Soccer Committee will be using for the NCAA Tournament selection and seeding process.

The reports also, starting with my second weekly report, will include another useful feature.  The feature shows which teams are potential NCAA Tournament #1 seeds, which are potential #2 seeds, which are potential #3 seeds, and which are potential #4 seeds.  It also shows which teams are essentially assured of getting into the Tournament, which teams potentially could be in the Tournament as at large selections, which of the potentially "in" teams also are potentially "out" teams, and which teams have essentially no chance of getting into the Tournament as at large selections.  For this last group of teams, the great likelihood is that their only route into the Tournament will be to become conference champions.  This feature is based on what has happened over the last nine years, and each week's report on this feature is based on that period's data for the week covered by the report.  For example, in looking at which teams are potential at large selections, I set the "poorest ranked" possible selection as the poorest ranked team, at the current stage of the season, to get into the Tournament over the last nine years.  For those interested in the details of how I set the parameters for each category of this feature, check out the "NCAA Tournament: Predicting the Bracket, At Large Selections" page.

The weekly RPI reports are in the form of Excel workbooks, each with three spreadsheets.  The workbooks identify:

Teams' Unadjusted RPI ratings and ranks (RPI Report spreadsheet);

Teams' Adjusted RPI ratings and ranks (RPI Report spreadsheet);

Teams' Unadjusted Non-Conference RPI ratings(RPI Report spreadsheet);

Teams' Adjusted NCRPI ratings and ranks (RPI Report spreadsheet)

Teams' Conferences and regional playing pools (RPI Report spreadsheet);

Teams' overall win/loss/tie and away/neutral/home records for all games and for all non-conference games (RPI Report spreadsheet);

Teams' RPI and NCRPI Elements 1, 2, and 3 (RPI Report spreadsheet);

Conferences' average ratings and ranks based on average ratings, same categories as for teams (Conference Report spreadsheet); and

Regions' average ratings and ranks based on average ratings, same categories as for teams (Regions Report spreadsheet).  The Region Average RPIs are average RPIs by regional "playing pool."  For more information about the regional "playing pools," go to the "RPI: Regional Issues" page.  The regional playing pools I am using for my 2016 RPI reports will described near the top of the "RPI: Regional Issues" page, once all teams have issued their 2016 schedules and I have had a chance to identify the 2016 regional playing pools.
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Chris Thomas,
Oct 17, 2016, 6:10 PM
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Chris Thomas,
Oct 3, 2016, 7:21 PM
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Chris Thomas,
Oct 24, 2016, 5:58 PM
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Chris Thomas,
Oct 31, 2016, 6:19 PM
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Chris Thomas,
Oct 10, 2016, 11:26 AM
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Chris Thomas,
Sep 21, 2016, 8:50 AM
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Chris Thomas,
Sep 26, 2016, 2:10 PM
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Chris Thomas,
Sep 25, 2015, 1:52 PM
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