2016 RPI REPORTS
At the bottom of this page, you will find links to weekly RPI reports for the 2016 season, once the teams are about five weeks into the season. For any technical comments I have about the weekly reports, check at the RPI and Bracketology for DI Women's Soccer Blogspace. Links for my weekly RPI reports, which start covering games through September 18 and continue weekly thereafter, are at the bottom of the page.
Please note that the weekly reports are in the form of Excel workbooks consisting of three spreadsheets each, as described in more detail below. They may be too large for the last spreadsheet to show up, if you simply open them up here. For those seriously interested in all the details, you should consider downloading the spreadsheets if you have Excel and then you will have full access to all the details.
The reports I publish cover all Division I regular season games, including conference tournament games. Once the NCAA starts publishing its own RPI ratings, I check my ratings weekly against theirs, identify any data inconsistencies, and then either make corrections to my data base or let the NCAA know it needs to make corrections. This assures that my ratings and the NCAA's are a match. The only time I don't have a chance to do this is following the completion of games on the last day of the season. Even then, however, unless there is a data discrepancy, which happens occasionally but is unusual, the RPI ratings and rankings should match the ones the NCAA Women's Soccer Committee will be using for the NCAA Tournament selection and seeding process.
The reports also, starting with my second weekly report, will include another useful feature. The feature shows which teams are potential NCAA Tournament #1 seeds, which are potential #2 seeds, which are potential #3 seeds, and which are potential #4 seeds. It also shows which teams are essentially assured of getting into the Tournament, which teams potentially could be in the Tournament as at large selections, which of the potentially "in" teams also are potentially "out" teams, and which teams have essentially no chance of getting into the Tournament as at large selections. For this last group of teams, the great likelihood is that their only route into the Tournament will be to become conference champions. This feature is based on what has happened over the last nine years, and each week's report on this feature is based on that period's data for the week covered by the report. For example, in looking at which teams are potential at large selections, I set the "poorest ranked" possible selection as the poorest ranked team, at the current stage of the season, to get into the Tournament over the last nine years. For those interested in the details of how I set the parameters for each category of this feature, check out the "NCAA Tournament: Predicting the Bracket, At Large Selections" page.
The weekly RPI reports are in the form of Excel workbooks, each with three spreadsheets. The workbooks identify: