I am Senior Economist in the Monetary Assessment & Strategy Division at the Bank of England, lecturer in the Department of Economics at the University of Essex, member of the CfM, and a research associate at CAMA.

Research Interests
Macroeconomics; Monetary and macroprudential policies; Functional data.

Contact Information
Monetary Policy Outlook Division
Bank of England
Threadneedle St.
London EC2R 8AH


Latest work

Optimal simple mandates for monetary policy: Do banks matter? with Lien Laureys and Boromeus Wanengkirtyo.

Heterogeneous beliefs in the Phillips curvewith Francesca Monti.

Distribution dynamics in inflation expectations: Monetary policy, information, and communication, with Francesca Monti.


The dynamics of economic functions: Modelling and forecasting the yield curve with Clive G. BowsherJournal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 103, No. 484, December 2008, 1419-1437.

Do credit market shocks drive output fluctuations? Evidence from corporate spreads and defaultsJournal of Economic Dynamics & ControlVol 36, April 2012, 568-584.

Stationary and Nonstationary Behaviour of the Term Structure: A Nonparametric Characterisation with Clive G. Bowsher.  Applied Mathematical FinanceVol. 20, No. 2, April 2013, 137-166.

Capital regulation and the macroeconomy: Empirical evidence and macroprudential policy. European Economic Review, Vol 95, June 2017, 125-141.

Shadow banks and macroeconomic instability with Ben Nelson and Pier Alessandri. Journal of Money, Credit & Banking, Vol .49, Issue 7, October 2017, 1483-1516.

Monetary and macroprudential policies under rules and discretion, with Lien Laureys. Economics Letters, Vol. 170, September 2018, 104-108

Policy publications

Credit crisis casts shadow over commercial real estateFederal Reserve Bank of Dallas Economic Letter Vol.3, No.12, 2008.