Conference
Forecasting
Economic and Financial Time Series
Understanding
the complexity and modelling structural change
September 12 – 13,
2016
Villa Mondragone, Via
Frascati, 51, 00040 Monteporzio Catone
Scientific Committee
Stefano Fachin (University of Rome La Sapienza)
Mario Forni (University of Modena-Reggio Emilia)
Michele La Rocca (University of Salerno)
Alessandra Luati (University of Bologna)
Tommaso Proietti (University of Rome Tor Vergata)
Raffaello Seri (University of Insubria)
Organizing Committee
Leopoldo Catania (University of Rome Tor Vergata)
Maura Mezzetti (University of Rome Tor Vergata)
Tommaso Proietti (University of Rome Tor Vergata)
Monday, September
12 – Sala degli Svizzeri
08:50 – 09:00
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Welcoming words by the Principal Investigator of the Research Project,
Tommaso Proietti (University of Rome Tor Vergata)
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09:00 – 09:30
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Marco Lippi (EIEF, Rome) Factor models and two macroeconomic issues: Aggregation
and fundamentalness
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09:30 – 10:00
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Francesco Battaglia (Univ of Roma,
La Sapienza), Portmanteau tests based on quadratic forms in the
autocorrelations (with R Baragona and D Cucina)
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10:00 – 10:30
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Francesca Di Iorio (Univ of Naples Federico II) Evaluating Restricted
Common Factor Models for Non-Stationary Data (with S Fachin)
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10:30 – 11:00
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Coffee Break
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11:00 – 11:30
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Tata Subba Rao (University of Manchester). Prediction and Modelling of
Spatio-Temporal Data – A Frequency Domain Approach (with G Terdik)
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11:30 – 12:00
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Maura Mezzetti (Univ Rome Tor Vergata) Modelling spatial correlation by
the matrix exponential model (with M Strauss and S Leorato)
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12:00 – 12:30
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Maria Lucia Parrella (Univ of
Salerno), Modelling high-dimensional time series efficiently by means of
constrained spatio--temporal models
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12:30 – 14:00
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Lunch
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Monday, September
12 – Sala degli Svizzeri
14:00 – 14:30
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Niels Haldrup
(University of Aarhus and CREATES) Sources of Long Memory
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14:30 – 15:00
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Carlo Brambilla (Univ Insubria, Varese) Structural
change and efficiency in the Italian banking system: An assessment using DEA,
1979-2010 (with R Seri)
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15:00 – 15:30
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Fausto
Galli (Univ Salerno) Indirect estimation of generalized linear dynamic panel
data models (with A Cosma)
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15:30 – 16:00
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Coffee Break
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16:00 – 16:30
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Alessandra Amendola (Unisa). Combining
multiple frequencies in multivariate volatility forecasting (with V Candila,
G Storti)
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16:30 – 17:00
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Rocco Mosconi (Politecnico di Milano) Specification,
Identification and Likelihood Maximization developments in the I(2) model
(with P. Paruolo)
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17:00 – 17:30
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Umberto Triacca (Univ L’Aquila) Granger causality
between vectors of time series: A Puzzling Property
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17:30 – 18:00
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Tommaso Proietti (Univ of Rome, Tor Vergata) Optimal
linear estimation of stochastic trends (with A Giovannelli)
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20:00
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Dinner: VINOTECA SAN
MARCO,
Via di Mola Cavona, 26
/28, Frascati (RM) - 00044
Tel: 06.94299033; info@vinotecasanmarco.it
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Tuesday September 13 – Sala degli
Svizzeri
09:00 – 09:30
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Alesssandra Luati (University of Bologna) The
predictive density of a GARCH(1,1) process (with K. Abadir e P. Paruolo)
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09:30 – 10:00
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Gianluca Cubadda (Rome Tor Vergata) A Vector
Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index Model for Realized Volatility
Measures (with A Hecq and B
Guardabascio)
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10:00 – 10:30
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Leopoldo Catania (Univ
Rome Tor Vergata) Dynamic Adaptive Mixture Models
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10:30 – 11:00
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Coffee Break
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11:00 – 11:30
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Michael Wolf (University of Zurich) Large Dynamic
Covariance Matrices (with R Engle and O Ledoit)
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11:30 – 12:00
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Raffaello Seri (Insubria, Varese) Asymptotic
properties of growth rates
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12:00 – 12:30
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Marianna Brunetti (Univ Roma, Tor Vergata) Public Health Insurance and
Household Portfolio Choices: Unravelling Financial “Side Effects” of Medicare
(with V Atella)
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12:30 – 14:30
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Lunch + Visit archeological site Barco Borghese
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Tuesday September 13 – Sala degli
Svizzeri
14:30 – 15:00
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Eric Hillebrand (Creates, Aarhus) Maximum Likelihood
Estimation of Time-Varying Loadings in High-Dimensional Factor Models
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15:00 – 15:30
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Giuseppe
Storti (Unisa) Least squares
estimation for GARCH (1,1) model with heavy tailed errors (with A Preminger)
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15:30 – 16:00
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Coffee Break
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16:00 – 16:30
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Manfred Deistler (Vienna University of Technology):
Linear dynamic models and mixed frequency data
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16:30 – 17:00
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Simone Giannerini (University of Bologna) Entropy
based tests of dependence for categorical time series (with G. Goracci)
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17:00 -17:30
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Massimo Franchi (Univ
Rome, La Sapienza) A general representation theorem for cointegration (with
P. Paruolo)
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20:00
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Dinner
Ristorante Cacciani,
via A. Diaz, 13 - 00044 Frascati
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