Publications

Popular Press Articles

Steven Sloman and Philip M. Fernbach, "I'm Right (For Some Reason). Why Partisans Can't Explain Their Views." New York Times, October 21, 2012. 


Journal Articles

Fernbach, P. M., Kan, C. & Lynch, J. G. Jr. (accepted). Squeezed: Coping with constraint through efficiency and prioritization. Journal of Consumer Research. (email for a copy)

Fernbach, P. M., Hagmayer, Y. & Sloman, S. A. (2014). Effort denial in self-deception. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 123 (1), 1-8.

Fernbach, P. M., Sloman, S. A., St. Louis, R. & Shube, J. N. (2013). Explanation fiends and foes: How mechanistic detail determines understanding and preference. Journal of Consumer Research, 39 (5), 1115-1131.

Fernbach, P. M., Rogers, T., Fox, C. R. & Sloman, S. A. (2013). Political extremism is supported by an illusion of understanding. Psychological Science, 24 (6), 939-945.  

Fernbach, P. M. & Erb, C. D. (2013). A quantitative causal model theory of conditional reasoning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 39 (5), 1327-1343. 

Fernbach P. M. & Rehder, B. (2013). Cognitive shortcuts in causal inference. Argument & Computation, 4 (1), 64-88.

Sloman, S. A., Fernbach, P. M. & Ewing, S. (2012). A causal model of intentionality judgment. Mind & Language, 27 (2), 154-180.

Fernbach, P. M., Macris, D. M. & Sobel, D. M. (2012). Which one made it go? The emergence of diagnostic reasoning in preschoolersCognitive Development, 27 (1), 39-53.

Fernbach, P. M., Darlow, A. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). When good evidence goes bad: The weak evidence effect in judgment and decision-making. Cognition, 119, 459-467

Fernbach, P. M., Darlow A. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). Asymmetries in predictive and diagnostic reasoningJournal of Experimental Psychology: General, 140 (2), 168-185.

Fernbach, P. M. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). Don’t throw out the Bayes with the bathwater (commentary on target article by Jones and Love)Behavioral and Brain Sciences34 (4), 198-199.

Swirsky, C. L., Fernbach, P. M. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). An illusion of control modulates the reluctance to tempt fate. Judgment and Decision Making, 6 (7), 688-696.

Sloman, S. A. & Fernbach, P. M. (2011). Human representation and reasoning about complex causal systems. Information, Knowledge, Systems Management, 10, 1-15. 

Fernbach, P. M., Darlow A. & Sloman, S. A. (2010). Neglect of alternative causes in predictive but not diagnostic reasoning. Psychological Science, 21(3), 329-336.

Sloman, S. A., Fernbach, P. M. & Hagmayer, Y. (2010). Self deception requires vagueness. Cognition, 115 (2), 268-281.

Fernbach, P. M. & Sloman, S. A. (2009). Causal learning with local computations. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 35 (3), 678-693.


Book Chapters

Sloman, S. A., Fernbach, P. M. & Ewing, S. (2009). Causal models: The representational infrastructure for moral judgment. In D. Bartels, C. W. Bauman, L. J. Skitka, & D. Medin (Eds.) Moral judgment and decision making: The psychology of learning and motivation (Vol 50). San Diego, CA: Elsevier.

Sloman, S. A. & Fernbach, P. M. (2008). The value of rational analysis:  An assessment of causal reasoning and learning.  In Chater, N. & Oaksford, M. (Eds.).  The probabilistic mind: Prospects for rational models of cognition. Oxford: Oxford University Press.


Proceedings Papers

Fernbach, P. M. & Darlow, A. (2010). Causal conditional reasoning and conditional likelihood. In S. Ohlsson & R. Catrambone (Eds.). Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

Fernbach, P. M. & Darlow, A. (2009). Causal asymmetry in inductive judgments. In N. A. Taatgen & H. van Rijn (Eds.). Proceedings of the 31st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

Fernbach, P. M., Linson-Gentry, P & Sloman, S. A. (2007). Causal beliefs influence the perception of temporal order.  In D. S. McNamara & J. G. Trafton (Eds.). Proceedings of the 29th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

Fernbach, P. M. (2006). Sampling assumptions and the size principle in property induction. In R. Sun & N. Miyake (Eds.). Proceedings of the 28th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.


Unpublished Papers

Fernbach, P. M. (2008). Explanation and confirmation in inductive inference. Prelim Examination Paper. Brown University.