Publications

Popular Press Articles

Steven Sloman and Philip M. Fernbach, "I'm Right (For Some Reason). Why Partisans Can't Explain Their Views." New York Times, October 21, 2012. 


Journal Articles

*equal authorship

De Langhe, B.*, Fernbach, P. M.* & Lichtenstein, D. R.* (in press). Navigating by the stars: Investigating the actual and perceived validity of online user ratings. Journal of Consumer Research. 
Web Appendix 


Fernbach, P. M., Kan, C. &
Lynch, J. G. Jr. (2015). Squeezed: Coping with constraint through efficiency and prioritization. Journal of Consumer Research, 41 (5), 1204-1227. 

McGraw, A. P., Schiro, J. L. & Fernbach, P. M. (2015). Not a problem: A downside of humorous appeals. Journal of Marketing Behavior. 

Fernbach, P. M., Hagmayer, Y. & Sloman, S. A. (2014). Effort denial in self-deception. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 123 (1), 1-8.

Fernbach, P. M., Sloman, S. A., St. Louis, R. & Shube, J. N. (2013). Explanation fiends and foes: How mechanistic detail determines understanding and preference. Journal of Consumer Research, 39 (5), 1115-1131.

Fernbach, P. M., Rogers, T., Fox, C. R. & Sloman, S. A. (2013). Political extremism is supported by an illusion of understanding. Psychological Science, 24 (6), 939-945.  

Fernbach, P. M. & Erb, C. D. (2013). A quantitative causal model theory of conditional reasoning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 39 (5), 1327-1343. 

Fernbach P. M. & Rehder, B. (2013). Cognitive shortcuts in causal inference. Argument & Computation, 4 (1), 64-88.

Sloman, S. A., Fernbach, P. M. & Ewing, S. (2012). A causal model of intentionality judgment. Mind & Language, 27 (2), 154-180.

Fernbach, P. M., Macris, D. M. & Sobel, D. M. (2012). Which one made it go? The emergence of diagnostic reasoning in preschoolersCognitive Development, 27 (1), 39-53.

Fernbach, P. M., Darlow, A. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). When good evidence goes bad: The weak evidence effect in judgment and decision-making. Cognition, 119, 459-467

Fernbach, P. M., Darlow A. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). Asymmetries in predictive and diagnostic reasoningJournal of Experimental Psychology: General, 140 (2), 168-185.

Fernbach, P. M. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). Don’t throw out the Bayes with the bathwater (commentary on target article by Jones and Love)Behavioral and Brain Sciences34 (4), 198-199.

Swirsky, C. L., Fernbach, P. M. & Sloman, S. A. (2011). An illusion of control modulates the reluctance to tempt fate. Judgment and Decision Making, 6 (7), 688-696.

Sloman, S. A. & Fernbach, P. M. (2011). Human representation and reasoning about complex causal systems. Information, Knowledge, Systems Management, 10, 1-15. 

Fernbach, P. M., Darlow A. & Sloman, S. A. (2010). Neglect of alternative causes in predictive but not diagnostic reasoning. Psychological Science, 21(3), 329-336.

Sloman, S. A., Fernbach, P. M. & Hagmayer, Y. (2010). Self deception requires vagueness. Cognition, 115 (2), 268-281.

Fernbach, P. M. & Sloman, S. A. (2009). Causal learning with local computations. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 35 (3), 678-693.


Book Chapters

Sloman, S. A., Fernbach, P. M. & Ewing, S. (2009). Causal models: The representational infrastructure for moral judgment. In D. Bartels, C. W. Bauman, L. J. Skitka, & D. Medin (Eds.) Moral judgment and decision making: The psychology of learning and motivation (Vol 50). San Diego, CA: Elsevier.

Sloman, S. A. & Fernbach, P. M. (2008). The value of rational analysis:  An assessment of causal reasoning and learning.  In Chater, N. & Oaksford, M. (Eds.).  The probabilistic mind: Prospects for rational models of cognition. Oxford: Oxford University Press.


Proceedings Papers

Fernbach, P. M. & Darlow, A. (2010). Causal conditional reasoning and conditional likelihood. In S. Ohlsson & R. Catrambone (Eds.). Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

Fernbach, P. M. & Darlow, A. (2009). Causal asymmetry in inductive judgments. In N. A. Taatgen & H. van Rijn (Eds.). Proceedings of the 31st Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

Fernbach, P. M., Linson-Gentry, P & Sloman, S. A. (2007). Causal beliefs influence the perception of temporal order.  In D. S. McNamara & J. G. Trafton (Eds.). Proceedings of the 29th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.

Fernbach, P. M. (2006). Sampling assumptions and the size principle in property induction. In R. Sun & N. Miyake (Eds.). Proceedings of the 28th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society.


Unpublished Papers

Fernbach, P. M. (2008). Explanation and confirmation in inductive inference. Prelim Examination Paper. Brown University.