Research interests and recent articles:
A novel experimental and computational approach to study how animals cope with, and react to, rare and extreme outcomes:
Specific Sensitivity to Rare and Extreme Events: Quasi-Complete Black Swan Avoidance vs Partial Jackpot Seeking in Rat Decision-Making: click here for paper at eLife
COVID-19 : a new epidemiological approach providing a generalized test-adjusted reproduction number in real time
(click here for a 4-minute video explaining what it is, courtesy of WPRN)
Tracking the Dynamics and Allocating Tests for COVID-19 in Real-Time: an Acceleration Index with an Application to French Age Groups and Départements : click here for paper at PLoS ONE
Correcting the reproduction number for time-varying tests: A proposal and an application to COVID-19 in France : click here for paper at PLoS ONE
An Early Assessment of Curfew and Second COVID-19 Lock-down on Virus Propagation in France : click here (SSRN) and here (MedRXiv) for paper
Confrontée à une pandémie inattendue, une stratégie de santé publique doit reposer sur les meilleurs indicateurs: click here for the Op-Ed (Tribune in French)
Macrofinance:
The Inverted Leading Indicator Property and Redistribution Effect of the Interest Rate: click here for paper at the European Economic Review and click here for a 4-minute video summary, courtesy of Roger Farmer