Summary

Research

• 30+ academic publications, including

• • generalist journals, e.g., Nature, Lancet, Nature Communications, PNAS. 

  • top field journals, e.g., Mathematics of Operations Research (5), Lancet Global Health, eClinical Medecine, BMJ.

  • publications with a wide international media coverage, e.g., CNN, New York Times, Financial Times, Le Monde, France TV. 

  • book chapters, e.g., CEPR Press, Penguin Random House, France Stratégie - Service to the Prime Minister.  

Outreach 

• 30+ policy contributions, e.g., Conseil d'Analyse Economique, Bruegel, World Economic Forum, OECD forum, Terra Nova, Vox EU.

• 15+ columns (published in 7 different EU countries), e.g., Le Monde (12), Les Echos, El Pais, La Repubblica. 

• 50+ Media interventions, e.g., CNN, MSNBC, National Public Radio (USA); France 2 TV, BFMTV, France Info, France Inter; Spanish National TV; Channel 9 Australia.  

See here for a list of key publications and here for publications by project.

Working papers

• Value positivity for matrix games. K. Chatterjee, M. Oliu-Barton, R. Saona. [R & R, Mathematics of Operations Research] 

• Countering vaccine hesitancy: the interaction between incentives and social learning. M. Oliu-Barton, Bary Pradelski. 

• Patterns and drivers of excess mortality during the COVID -19 pandemic in 13 Western European countries. S.Cauchemez, A. Fontanet, et al. 

Papers in progress

• Air pollution: A European perspective. M. Oliu-Barton, J. Mejino Lopez. This is a policy project at Bruegel. 

• Green zones: theory and practice for targeted action during in infectious outbreak. M. Oliu-Barton, Bary Pradelski.

• Lessons from Covid-19: how to manage the next virus ? M. Oliu-Barton.

Academic publications

I. Economics & Health 

Peer-reviewed articles

• A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat. J. Lazarus et al. Nature (2022), 611, 332-345.

• The effect of COVID-19 certificates on vaccine uptake, health outcomes, and the economy, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. N. Woloszko, L. Guetta-Jeanreneaud, P. Aghion, P. Artus, A. Fontanet, P. Martin, G. Wolff.  Nature Communications (2022), 13, article number 3942. Working Paper of CAE & Bruegel. (Jan 2022), covered by Nature. 

• Elimination versus mitigation of SARS-CoV-2 in the presence of effective vaccines, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, Y. Algan, M. Baker, A. Binagwaho, G. Dore, A. El-Mohandes, A. Fontanet, A. Peichl, V Priesemann, G. Wolff, G. Yamey, J. Lazarus. Lancet Global Health (2022), 10 (1), e142-e147.

• Green zoning: an effective policy tool to tackle the Covid-19 pandemic, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Health Policy (2021), 125 (8), 981-986. 

Peer-reviewed insights

• Time to establish an international vaccine candidate pool for potential highly infectious respiratory disease: a cummunity's view, L. Yao et al.  eClinical Medicine (Lancet) (2023), 64, 102222.

• COVID-19 Policy Response can Inform the Design of a Climate Club, M. Oliu-Barton, S. Tagliapietra. Intereconomics (2023), 58(1), 2-3. 

• SARS-CoV-2 elimination, not mitigation, creates best outcomes for health, the economy, and civil liberties, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, P. Aghion, P. Artus, I. Kickbusch, J. Lazarus, D. Sridhar, S. Vanderslott. Lancet (2021), 397 (10291), 2234-2236.

• Europe must come together to confront Omicron,  A. Calero Valdez, E. N. Iftekhar, M. Oliu-Barton, M. McKee, et al.  BMJ (2022), 376:o90.

• Vaccinate fast but leave no one behind: a call to action for COVID-19 vaccination in Spain, J. Lazarus et al. Communications Medicine (Nature) (July 2021).

• An action plan for pan-European defence against new SARS-CoV-2 variants, V. Priesemann et al. Lancet (Jan 2021). Contributor.

• Mass infection is not an option: we must do more to protect our young, D. Gurdasani et al.  Lancet (July 2021). Contributor.

Book chapters

• Zones vertes et rouges pour gérer la pandémie, M. Oliu-Barton. Regards croisés sur le Covid-19, Chapter 19, Université Paris-Dauphine Press (2021).  

• Green bridges: Reconnecting Europe to avoid economic disaster, B. Pradelski, M. Oliu-Barton. Europe in the Time of Covid-19, Chapter 11, edited by A. Bénassy-Quéré and B. Weber di Mauro, CEPR Press (2020).  Re-published in Spanish in La Economia Española en tiempos de pandemia, Chapter 24, edited by T. Roldan, Penguin Random House (2020).

II. Game Theory &  Operations Research

Peer-reviewed articles 

• Value-positivity for Matrix Games, K. Chatterjee, M. Oliu-Barton, R. Saona Mathematics of Operations Research (minor revision 2024).

• The marginal value of a stochastic game. L. Attia, M. Oliu-Barton, R. Saona. Mathematics of Operations Research (2024).

• Stationary equilibria in discounted stochastic games, L. Attia and M. Oliu-Barton. Dynamic Games and Applications (2024), 14, 271–284. 

• Absorbing games with irrational values, M. Oliu-Barton, G. Vigeral. Operations Research Letters (2023) 51, 6, 555-559 .

• Weighted-average stochastic games with constant payoff, M. Oliu-Barton.  Operational Research (2022) 22, 1675–1696.

• New algorithms for solving zero-sum stochastic games, M. Oliu-Barton. Mathematics of Operations Research (2021) 46 (1), 255-267.

• Constant payoff in stochastic games, O. Catoni, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Ziliotto,  Annals of  IHP Probability & Statistics (2021) 57 (4), 1888-1900. 

• Shapley-Snow kernels, multiparameter eigenvalue problems and zero-sum stochastic games, L. Attia, M. Oliu-Barton.  Mathematics of Operations Research (2021) 46 (3), 1181–1202.

• Optimal strategies in repeated games with incomplete information: the dependent case, F. Gensbittel, M. Oliu-Barton. Dynamic Games and Applications (2020) 10, 819– 835.

• A formula for the value of a stochastic game, L. Attia, M. Oliu-Barton. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the USA (2019) 116 (52), 26435–26443.

• Asymptotically optimal strategies in repeated games with incomplete information and vanishing weights, M. Oliu-Barton. Journal of Dynamics and Games (2019), 6 (4), 259–275.

•  The Splitting Game: uniform value and optimal strategies, M. Oliu-Barton. Dynamic Games and Applications (2018) 8 (1), 157–179.

• Differential games with asymmetric and correlated information, M. Oliu-Barton. Dynamic Games and Applications (2015) 5 (3): 378–396.

• The asymptotic value in finite stochastic games, M. Oliu-Barton. Mathematics of Operations Research (2014) 39 (3): 712–721. 

• Existence of the uniform value in repeated games with a more informed controller, F. Gensbittel, M. Oliu-Barton, X. Venel. Journal of Dynamics and Games (2014) 1 (3): 411-445.

• A strategy-based proof of the existence of the value in zero-sum differential games, M. Oliu-Barton. Morfismos (2014) 18 (1), 31–44.

• A uniform Tauberian theorem in optimal control, M. Oliu-Barton, G. Vigeral, Annals of the International Society of Dynamic Games (2013) 12: 199–215.

Academic dissertations 

• Habilitation thesis, "A Journey to the Land of Stochastic Games", M. Oliu-Barton. Jury members: I. Ekeland (president), J. Hörner, J. Renault, A. Neyman (referees), S. Sorin, P. Cardaliaguet, N. Vieille.  (full manuscript - presentation). Paris Dauphine University (2020).

• PhD thesis, "Discrete and continuous time games with incomplete information", M. Oliu-Barton. Jury members: A. Mas-Colell, J. Renault, E. Solan, P. Cardaliaguet, N. Vieille, P.-L. Combettes, and S. Sorin (supervisor).  (full manuscript - presentation). Sorbonne University (2013).

• Master thesis , "Penalizations of the Brownian motion". Supervised by M. Yor. Sorbonne University (2006).

III. Environmental Economics 

Peer-reviewed articles 

• Choosing energy sobriety: preference shocks and behavioral biases. M. Oliu-Barton, A. Pommeret, A. Robinet, M. Viennot. Economics and Statistics (2024).

• Climate club ‘green’ certificate would boost membership. M. Oliu-Barton, S. Tagliapietra. Nature (2022).

Book chapters

• Sobriété, A. Pommeret, M. Oliu-Barton, M. Viennot, A. Robinet, K. Shubert. Part of the Economic impact of climate action (in French) , J. Pisani-Ferry, S. Mahfouz,  France Stratégie (2023)

• Modélisation. J. Trinh, M. Fouquet, P.L. Girard M. Oliu-Barton, M. Viennot. Part of  M. Oliu-Barton, M. Viennot. Part of the Economic impact of climate action (in French) , J. Pisani-Ferry, S. Mahfouz,  France Stratégie (2023).

Other policy articles

• Mieux connaître la demande en eau  pour anticiper les effets du changement climatique,H. Arambourou, S. Ferrière et M. Oliu-Barton. France Stratégie (April 2024). Media coverage including Le Monde, Les Echos, Libération, Le Parisien,  RTL, France Inter. 

Covid-19 certificates

• Pass sanitaire : quel rôle dans la sortie de crise ?  P. Aghion, P. Martin, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski (May 2021). Confidential note to the French Ministers of Economics and Health, and to the Government. 

• The impact of Covid certificates on the economy in France, Germany, and Italy, M. Oliu-Barton. Esade EcPol (28 Jan 2022).

• Le pass sanitaire : une opportunité pour recouvrer nos libertés tout en restant prudents, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski,  A. Bucher, Terra Nova (20 April 2021). Republished as Health pass and green zones: how to contain the virus while vaccination progresses, Esade EcPol (26 May 2021). 

Covid-19 Green Zones

• Exit strategy: Turning the Europe’s Green Zoning strategy into a success (most recent update), M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Esade EcPol (2 Feb 2021).

• Exit strategy: from self-confinement to green zones (country level), M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, Luc Attia. Esade EcPol (8 April 2020)

• Green-zone travelling: A pan-European approach to save tourism (European level),  M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Esade EcPol (4 May 2020) 

Covid-19 Vaccination & testing policy

• Une politique de vaccination par zones, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Terra Nova (2 Oct 2020). Republished as Who should be vaccinated first? A vaccination proposal by zones, Esade EcPol (11 Nov 2020).

• Comment tester massivement de manière efficace?, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Terra Nova (17 Dec 2020). Republished as Focus mass testing: how to overcome low test accuracy, Esade EcPol (18 Dec 2020).

Short policy notes 

• NEW: EU air quality agreement sends a positive signal but leaves loopholes, M. Oliu-Barton. Bruegel (23 Feb 2024).

• El pasaporte COVID reduce miles de muertes: un análisis con datos de Francia, Italia y Alemania, M. Oliu-Barton. Esade EcPol (28 Jan 2022). 

• Aiming for zero Covid-19 to ensure economic growth, P. Aghion, P. Artus, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. VoxEU (31 March 2021).

• Green zones: Turning Europe’s Green Zoning strategy into a success, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. VoxEU  (9 Feb 2021).

• Green zones: A safe path towards free movement and a lasting recovery, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski.  VoxEU (update) (22 Oct 2020).

• A vaccination policy for green zones, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. VoxEU (2 Oct 2020).

• Green bridges : Reconnecting Europe to avoid economic disaster, B. Pradelski, M. Oliu-Barton. VoxEU (30 April 2020).

• Green zones: A proposal to exit the COVID-19 lockdown, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. VoxEU (25 April 2020).

Forum contributions

• COVID certificates – contentious but effective ?  M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Behavioural & Social Sciences (Nature Portfolio) (8 July 2022). 

• Eliminar o mitigar ?,  M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski,  A. Binagwaho, I. Siches, D. Gurdasani, V. Priesemann, A. El-Mohandes, and others, Politica Exterior (1 July 2021).

• Covid-19 : le faux dilemme entre santé, économie et libertés, P. Aghion, P. Artus, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Commentaire  (June 2021).

• Aiming for zero Covid-19: Europe needs to take action,  M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, G. Wolff and others, Bruegel (17 Feb 2021).

• Vaccination contre le Covid-19: quelle stratégie pour la France?, M. Oliu-Barton,  G. Daudet, L. Millet, Institut Montaigne (12 Nov 2020).

• Travel in Harmony: European co-ordination to protect green zones, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. OECD Forum (28 Oct 2020).

• Beyond Country Borders: Local measures and international co-ordination to face COVID-19, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. OECD Forum (18 Aug 2020).

• Toward a European network of "green zones" to avoid summer collapse, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. OECD Forum (19 May 2020).

• Du confinement au marquage vert: une stratégie de sortie de crise, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, L. Attia. La Recherche (24 April 2020).

• Green zones: a mathematical proposal for how to exit from the COVID-19 lockdown, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, L. Attia. World Economic Forum  & The Conversation (link) (17 April 2020).

Media articles

• NEW: L'accord européen sur la qualité de l'air envoie un signal positif mais laisse des lacunes, M. Oliu-Barton. Le Monde (March 2024). This article was concurrently published in 4 other EU countries, Die Tageszeitung (Germany), Il sole 24 (Italy), Rzeczpospolita (Poland), Altinget (Denmark).  

• A l’instar du GIEC pour le climat, la construction d’un consensus mondial est nécessaire pour mettre fin au Covid-19, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, J. Lazarus.  Le Monde (9 Nov 2022). 

• Augmentons les effectifs des filières sélectives de l’enseignement supérieur, E.M. Mouhoud, M. Oliu-Barton. Le Monde (30 Sept 2022). 

• L’instauration d’une taxe individualisée sur la consommation de carburant serait une solution efficace, flexible et pérenne pour lutter contre l’inflation, J.-P. Bouchaud, M. Oliu-Barton. Le Monde (15 July 2022). 

• Covid-19 : « Le passe sanitaire doit servir à accélérer les doses de rappel », M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Le Monde (24 Nov 2021).

• Le recours temporaire à un passe sanitaire est nécessaire si nous voulons une sortie de crise durable, P. Aghion, P. Martin, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Le Monde (2 June 2021).

• Nous avons besoin d’un passe sanitaire fiable, temporaire et accessible pour tout le monde, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, A. Bucher. Le Monde (22 March 2021).

• Viser l'objectif zéro Covid constitue un moyen clair de traverser la pandémie en minimisant les dégats, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski, et al. (collectif). Le Monde (16 Feb 2021). This article was concurrently published in 5 other EU countries,  El País (Spain), La Repubblica (Italy), Süddeutsche Zeitung (Germany), De Volkskrant (Netherlands), and Rzceszpospolita (Poland). 

• Covid-19 : « Qui vacciner en priorité ? Selon quels critères ? Comment hiérarchiser tout cela ? », M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Le Monde (21 Nov 2020). This article was concurrently published in El Mundo (Spain).

• Sanctuarisons les zones vertes !, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Les Echos (14 Oct 2020).

• La vuelta al cole será peor de lo que imaginamos, M. Oliu-Barton, T. Roldan. El País (19 Sept 2020).

• Más allá de las fronteras nacionales, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. El País (17 Sept 2020).

• Coronavirus : il faut «un plan de reconfinements ciblés réaliste, intelligible et commun», M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski.  Le Monde (26 Aug 2020).

• Sauver la saison touristique européenne, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Le Monde (9 May 2020). This article was concurrently published in El Mundo (Spain).

• Il faut une méthode de déconfinement efficace et sécurisée, M. Oliu-Barton, B. Pradelski. Le Monde (27 April 2020).                       

Media coverage

• Press.  New York Times, Nature, World Economic Forum, The Atlantic (USA), Financial Times, The Economist, The Times, Daily Mail, The Conversation (UK), Le Monde, Les Echos,  Figaro, Libération, Agence France Press (France), Süddeutsche Zeitung, FAZ, Die Welt (Germany), Le Temps, Neue Zürcher Zeitung, Le Matin (Switzerland), El Pais, La Vanguardia (Spain), Corriere della Sera, La Repubblica, L'Espresso (Italy), Euronews, Health Watch, etc. 

• Television. CNN, MNSBC (USA), Channel 9 (Australia), BBC, Sky News (UK), France 2 (French National TV), France 24, BFM TV, LCI (France), TVE 1 (Spanish National TV), Antena 3, La Sexta (Spain), RAI 1 (Italian National TV), etc. 

• Radio. France Info, France Inter, France Culture (French National radios), Radio France Internationale, Europe 1 (France), National Public Radio (USA), BBC Cambridge (UK), Cadena Ser (Spain), etc.

 Media interventions

• Press.  Nature (news), Financial Times, Le Monde.

• Television. CNN, MNSBC (USA); Channel 9 (Australia); BBC, Sky News (UK); France 2; France 24, BFM TV, LCI (France); TVE 1, Antena 3, La Sexta (Spain); RAI 1 (Italy). 

• Radio. National Public Radio (USA); BBC Cambridge (UK); France Info, France Inter, France Culture, Radio France Internationale, Europe 1 (France); Cadena Ser (Spain).