Top 4 Comparisons, 2008-2011

posted Jul 3, 2012, 3:24 PM by Ted P   [ updated Jul 3, 2012, 3:24 PM ]
With the move to a 4-team national semifinal beginning in 2014, I wanted to go back and look at the semifinals with my system and compare those to the ones that would have been played within the BCS system.  Apparently, college football will become like baseball and basketball and all ratings and formulae will just be for fun, so the BCS top-4 might or might not reflect what a committee would have chosen.

2008
My ratings:
(1) Oklahoma vs. (4) Boise St.
(2) Florida vs. (3) Texas

BCS:
(1) Oklahoma vs. (4) Alabama
(2) Florida vs. (3) Texas

2009
My ratings:
(1) Alabama vs. (4) Florida
(2) Texas vs. (3) Cincinnati

BCS:
(1) Alabama vs. (4) TCU
(2) Texas vs. (3) Cincinnati

2010
My ratings:
(1) Auburn vs. (4) TCU
(2) Oregon vs. (3) Oklahoma

BCS:
(1) Auburn vs. (4) Stanford
(2) Oregon vs. (3) TCU

2011
My ratings:
(1) LSU vs. (4) Boise St.
(2) Alabama vs. (3) Oklahoma St.

BCS:
(1) LSU vs. (4) Stanford
(2) Alabama vs. (3) Oklahoma St.

I would have included a "mid-major" conference every year but 2009, when I would have included Cincinnati of the Big East (which it seems has been kicked out of the to tier beginning in 2014).

The BCS standings would have done so twice but in 2009 would have included both Cincinnati and TCU.

In 2008 and 2011, I would have included Boise St. while the BCS would have limited participation to the major conferences.

I also note that the BCS would have included a total of three (now) Pac-12 teams in the last two seasons while my ratings would have only included Oregon as the #2 team in 2010.  I would have included one more Big XII team (Oklahoma in 2010) than the BCS standings would have chosen. 

The SEC teams evened out, as the two ratings would have disagreed about Alabama in 2008 and Florida in 2009. The same is true of the Mountain West, in which Boise St. competed in 2011 and TCU competed in 2009.  Boise St. was in the WAC in 2008, so only mine would have allowed in a WAC team over the last four years.
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