2019-01-08

Last rankings

Notes for select teams are below the ratings. 

You may also be interested in my traditional unweighted list, but I think the average here is the best overall rating.

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Rank Team Unweighted Weighted Weighted Rank Average
1 Clemson 1.811587 43.862934 1 35.518372
2 Alabama 1.470386 35.593630 2 28.824713
3 Notre Dame 1.235939 30.836426 3 24.687755
4 Ohio St. 1.275722 28.268473 4 23.702152
5 Oklahoma 1.149003 25.518120 5 21.376584
6 Georgia 1.050313 20.382311 6 18.068504
7 LSU 0.869972 20.134062 7 16.591819
8 Central Florida 0.856834 19.455785 9 16.154148
9 Michigan 0.843846 19.536592 8 16.097140
10 Washington St. 0.847863 17.317581 10 15.017763
11 Florida 0.782201 17.149319 11 14.441166
12 Kentucky 0.795681 16.636532 12 14.285870
13 Fresno St. 0.837813 15.132768 15 13.849981
14 Army 0.678986 15.433707 13 12.809246
15 Syracuse 0.663477 15.431200 14 12.691676
16 Appalachian St. 0.718334 14.569479 16 12.672247
17 Texas A&M 0.734386 13.239275 17 12.127531
18 Washington 0.793378 12.166640 18 12.033654
19 Texas 0.823378 9.551464 24 10.951068
20 Penn St. 0.647751 11.916239 19 10.816254
21 Boise St. 0.751394 10.152372 23 10.711638
22 Utah St. 0.601613 11.913219 20 10.468708
23 Cincinnati 0.628092 10.406510 21 9.913945
24 Stanford 0.579358 10.369631 22 9.530002
25 Iowa 0.587356 8.116979 26 8.463659
26 North Carolina St. 0.458657 9.459247 25 8.169551
27 Troy 0.549995 7.396049 28 7.822986
28 Georgia Southern 0.511997 7.402136 27 7.541043
29 Northwestern 0.611419 4.538623 32 6.854951
30 Mississippi St. 0.495936 5.785533 29 6.612285
31 West Virginia 0.495592 5.465007 30 6.449441
32 Auburn 0.498742 5.066898 31 6.274013
33 Alabama-Birmingham 0.623351 3.060992 37 6.205629
34 Utah 0.576868 3.262614 36 5.957820
35 Missouri 0.470032 3.547334 34 5.298907
36 Pittsburgh 0.462692 3.450301 35 5.195340
37 Oregon 0.412739 3.930368 33 5.060723
38 Iowa St. 0.424158 1.024986 38 3.693679
39 Duke 0.523092 -1.207442 42 3.319466
40 Buffalo 0.392110 0.086651 40 2.984150
41 Ohio 0.361827 0.034659 41 2.731029
42 South Carolina 0.293117 0.372382 39 2.384569
43 Boston College 0.294417 -1.275478 43 1.570387
44 Marshall 0.372144 -4.795647 44 0.393256
45 Virginia 0.350510 -4.956303 45 0.150676
46 Michigan St. 0.301827 -6.110092 49 -0.791342
47 Baylor 0.197421 -5.265384 46 -1.152036
48 Wisconsin 0.345629 -7.531656 52 -1.173609
49 Florida International 0.244647 -6.395017 50 -1.362656
50 Georgia Tech 0.154610 -5.662011 47 -1.671432
51 North Texas 0.225080 -6.875213 51 -1.749505
52 Arkansas St. 0.128808 -6.028252 48 -2.048064
53 TCU 0.247130 -8.317918 55 -2.305481
54 Brigham Young 0.234691 -8.266924 54 -2.373281
55 Oklahoma St. 0.310341 -9.515726 58 -2.430302
56 U. Miami 0.232239 -8.622431 56 -2.569426
57 Middle Tennessee 0.257017 -9.001020 57 -2.572880
58 Northern Illinois 0.334043 -10.864891 65 -2.927124
59 Wake Forest 0.345494 -11.058363 66 -2.937978
60 Arizona St. 0.233549 -9.581005 59 -3.038885
61 Florida St. 0.095962 -7.623245 53 -3.091904
62 Temple 0.233236 -9.858599 63 -3.180029
63 Purdue 0.296389 -11.460815 67 -3.507488
64 Vanderbilt 0.138847 -9.821296 62 -3.869296
65 Tennessee 0.116189 -9.668471 60 -3.962820
66 Minnesota 0.336550 -13.323836 76 -4.137790
67 Miami U. 0.126314 -10.520648 64 -4.312972
68 Louisiana Tech 0.146869 -11.703756 68 -4.750359
69 Nevada (Reno) 0.177682 -12.185627 70 -4.760195
70 Wyoming 0.005345 -9.797175 61 -4.858498
71 Hawaii 0.130549 -12.749283 74 -5.395525
72 Southern Mississippi 0.043229 -12.006635 69 -5.679099
73 Houston 0.130879 -13.549243 78 -5.793028
74 Indiana 0.068531 -12.620967 72 -5.796504
75 Cal (Berkeley) 0.133779 -13.881325 79 -5.937324
76 Tulane 0.099927 -13.385976 77 -5.943533
77 Eastern Michigan 0.066678 -12.919858 75 -5.959846
78 Kansas St. -0.018694 -12.345457 71 -6.312933
79 Maryland 0.074842 -13.893862 80 -6.385613
80 Ole Miss -0.063505 -12.708719 73 -6.830649
81 Western Michigan 0.063030 -14.725888 81 -6.890217
82 San Diego St. 0.152357 -16.541123 86 -7.127883
83 Louisiana-Lafayette 0.031797 -15.209991 82 -7.366516
84 South Florida 0.024663 -15.371762 83 -7.500910
85 Virginia Tech 0.089337 -16.900329 89 -7.780141
86 Toledo 0.029512 -16.234055 85 -7.895686
87 Memphis -0.013567 -15.739511 84 -7.971505
88 Southern California 0.014649 -16.858704 87 -8.319482
89 Texas Tech 0.015340 -16.892151 88 -8.331025
90 Nebraska -0.083705 -19.067796 90 -10.161689
91 Louisiana-Monroe -0.034729 -21.927357 91 -11.224145
92 Florida Atlantic -0.073843 -22.038556 92 -11.573097
93 Liberty -0.110588 -22.095722 93 -11.877268
94 Air Force -0.168598 -22.273036 94 -12.401001
95 UCLA -0.146241 -24.728919 95 -13.461264
96 UNC-Charlotte -0.140275 -25.018024 96 -13.561074
97 Coastal Carolina -0.093258 -25.766443 97 -13.582654
98 Arizona -0.091384 -25.797049 98 -13.583906
99 Southern Methodist -0.180768 -26.050298 99 -14.380905
100 Illinois -0.247137 -27.934338 100 -15.820699
101 Colorado -0.205510 -29.046803 101 -16.064726
102 Massachusetts -0.237376 -30.123884 102 -16.842261
103 Louisville -0.372914 -30.218345 103 -17.906024
104 Akron -0.314892 -31.533578 104 -18.128482
105 Ball St. -0.359592 -33.995362 105 -19.694618
106 South Alabama -0.354802 -36.495383 107 -20.908708
107 North Carolina -0.412885 -35.807997 106 -21.000638
108 Kansas -0.360696 -37.098521 108 -21.254480
109 Oregon St. -0.420868 -39.160197 109 -22.736611
110 Navy -0.375212 -40.296492 112 -22.962337
111 East Carolina -0.407118 -40.090643 111 -23.098707
112 Arkansas -0.509098 -39.848542 110 -23.742506
113 Texas-San Antonio -0.398648 -42.439477 114 -24.209596
114 New Mexico -0.444343 -42.056009 113 -24.360580
115 UNLV -0.395392 -42.933572 115 -24.432228
116 Old Dominion -0.429146 -45.847158 117 -26.142172
117 Bowling Green -0.520939 -44.787805 116 -26.300944
118 Colorado St. -0.497017 -46.591393 118 -27.023323
119 New Mexico St. -0.538157 -48.881031 120 -28.476695
120 Rutgers -0.615818 -48.817287 119 -29.027280
121 Georgia St. -0.523441 -50.640660 121 -29.246137
122 Tulsa -0.604753 -51.472631 122 -30.271964
123 San Jose St. -0.603677 -53.545125 123 -31.300137
124 Western Kentucky -0.551626 -54.867649 126 -31.571020
125 Texas St. -0.661410 -53.718842 124 -31.820000
126 Kent St. -0.643206 -54.088749 125 -31.868416
127 Connecticut -0.760834 -60.707237 127 -36.059871
128 Rice -0.699066 -63.208432 128 -36.847211
129 Central Michigan -0.820505 -64.762177 129 -38.534873
130 UTEP -0.971899 -78.924463 130 -46.751472
The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced by certain losses, and it gives too much weight to that one week.  These teams have been given the minimum rating as opponents (not above) in place of their actual rating. These are only teams with at least one FBS/I-A win. More teams are added to this list as teams have more losses relative to (usually, the one) win, then others are dropped later in the year (usually after their second or third win).
Arkansas
Georgia St.
Kent St.
Louisville
North Carolina
Oregon St.
Rice
Rutgers
San Jose St.
Texas St.
UTEP
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