2016 Season‎ > ‎

2016-10-30

Description of new formula

As a reminder, the notes are below the ratings.

1 Alabama 1.001288
2 Clemson 0.941431
3 Michigan 0.747185
4 Ohio St. 0.665704
5 Texas A&M 0.647099
6 Western Michigan 0.574138
7 Penn St. 0.570025
8 Washington 0.550568
9 Boise St. 0.544025
10 Louisville 0.524584
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11 Tennessee 0.510316
12 Wisconsin 0.499800
13 Auburn 0.498188
14 Nebraska 0.462527
15 Houston 0.442623
16 Virginia Tech 0.436051
17 Washington St. 0.419625
18 Florida 0.413172
19 Oklahoma 0.411241
20 South Florida 0.387658
21 West Virginia 0.386429
22 North Carolina 0.384725
23 Appalachian St. 0.381583
24 Utah 0.364559
25 Colorado 0.364508
26 Florida St. 0.334870
27 Stanford 0.334180
28 Troy 0.330138
29 Wyoming 0.320312
30 Oklahoma St. 0.316139
31 Temple 0.299809
32 Southern California 0.299636
33 Tulsa 0.268246
34 Navy 0.261698
35 Pittsburgh 0.260292
36 San Diego St. 0.242215
37 Georgia Tech 0.240429
38 Kentucky 0.233225
39 LSU 0.231384
40 Minnesota 0.225223
41 Baylor 0.217651
42 Arkansas 0.202492
43 Toledo 0.177962
44 Wake Forest 0.173516
45 Middle Tennessee 0.163090
46 Western Kentucky 0.155859
47 Arizona St. 0.149400
48 Vanderbilt 0.148659
49 Kansas St. 0.119731
50 South Carolina 0.118330
51 Iowa 0.114352
52 Louisiana Tech 0.110314
53 Southern Methodist 0.098453
54 Syracuse 0.096304
55 Northwestern 0.092335
56 Brigham Young 0.086645
57 Maryland 0.085252
58 U. Miami 0.082695
59 Ohio 0.080247
60 North Carolina St. 0.072993
61 Georgia 0.072606
62 Memphis 0.069122
63 Air Force 0.062610
64 Indiana 0.057725
65 Southern Mississippi 0.057672
66 Cal (Berkeley) 0.056651
67 Old Dominion 0.056119
68 Texas 0.026089
69 Colorado St. 0.025577
70 Boston College 0.024778
71 Ole Miss 0.021461
72 Texas Tech 0.020066
73 UCLA 0.007933
74 Georgia Southern 0.006283
75 Army -0.006053
76 TCU -0.014477
77 Central Florida -0.014527
78 Idaho -0.020233
79 Central Michigan -0.021748
80 New Mexico -0.030239
81 Oregon -0.034014
82 South Alabama -0.036014
83 Cincinnati -0.044334
84 Arkansas St. -0.046654
85 Akron -0.069204
86 Eastern Michigan -0.081181
87 Mississippi St. -0.083432
88 North Texas -0.101575
89 Texas-San Antonio -0.114513
90 Tulane -0.116122
91 Duke -0.117017
92 East Carolina -0.129721
93 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.130482
94 Oregon St. -0.136120
95 Purdue -0.151097
96 Notre Dame -0.164685
97 Utah St. -0.172178
98 Arizona -0.172403
99 Missouri -0.173810
100 Hawaii -0.199964
101 Kent St. -0.208721
102 Connecticut -0.209218
103 Michigan St. -0.215602
104 Ball St. -0.220494
105 Illinois -0.227519
106 New Mexico St. -0.228167
107 Virginia -0.232123
108 Rutgers -0.238704
109 Miami U. -0.244768
110 UNC-Charlotte -0.261169
111 Louisiana-Monroe -0.269758
112 Northern Illinois -0.294712
113 Georgia St. -0.303145
114 UTEP -0.306096
115 Texas St. -0.314573
116 Nevada (Reno) -0.354670
117 UNLV -0.358938
118 San Jose St. -0.360983
119 Massachusetts -0.362275
120 Kansas -0.376197
121 Florida International -0.381948
122 Marshall -0.392243
123 Bowling Green -0.398745
124 Iowa St. -0.412078
125 Rice -0.443409
126 Buffalo -0.470798
127 Fresno St. -0.615561
128 Florida Atlantic -0.655137
The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced by certain losses, and it gives too much weight to that one week.  These teams have been given the minimum rating as opponents (not above) in place of their actual rating.  These are only teams with at least one FBS/I-A win.  More teams are added to this list as teams have more losses relative to (usually, the one) win, then others are dropped later in the year.
Buffalo
iowa St.
Marshall
Massachusetts
Missouri
Texas St.

The following also had off-the-charts (weak) strengths of schedules that had to be adjusted:  This usually is only an issue early in the year.
(This was the first week in which this was not necessary, although San Diego St. was close to the cutoff.  This will most likely not be mentioned again this year.)
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