2016 Season‎ > ‎

2016-10-23

Description of new formula

As a reminder, the notes are below the ratings.

1 Alabama 0.987490
2 Clemson 0.790401
3 Michigan 0.713001
4 Western Michigan 0.638651
5 Texas A&M 0.596383
6 Boise St. 0.595475
7 Tennessee 0.540207
8 Ohio St. 0.517541
9 Louisville 0.511897
10 Penn St. 0.488209
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11 Nebraska 0.458506
12 North Carolina 0.454209
13 West Virginia 0.432409
14 Utah 0.403927
15 Auburn 0.401043
16 Florida St. 0.390422
17 Washington 0.389085
18 Wisconsin 0.382986
19 Oklahoma 0.378339
20 Washington St. 0.368272
21 Houston 0.355191
22 Colorado 0.349154
23 Florida 0.321163
24 Navy 0.318819
25 Appalachian St. 0.316726
26 Troy 0.313221
27 Pittsburgh 0.292613
28 Virginia Tech 0.288947
29 Toledo 0.258564
30 Wake Forest 0.253370
31 Baylor 0.242929
32 South Florida 0.234738
33 Stanford 0.233511
34 Arkansas 0.233156
35 Southern California 0.223305
36 LSU 0.216298
37 Minnesota 0.204058
38 Arizona St. 0.202795
39 Georgia Tech 0.174194
40 San Diego St. 0.167792
41 Wyoming 0.165945
42 U. Miami 0.165564
43 Maryland 0.162951
44 Temple 0.160616
45 Kentucky 0.155493
46 Tulsa 0.150196
47 Oklahoma St. 0.141040
48 Memphis 0.123632
49 Vanderbilt 0.121341
50 Middle Tennessee 0.118523
51 Western Kentucky 0.112825
52 Georgia 0.109829
53 Air Force 0.104872
54 Iowa 0.104503
55 Northwestern 0.091562
56 Brigham Young 0.090933
57 Central Michigan 0.085028
58 Cal (Berkeley) 0.080968
59 Louisiana Tech 0.074940
60 North Carolina St. 0.071161
61 Ole Miss 0.070101
62 Akron 0.063998
63 Kansas St. 0.046972
64 Syracuse 0.041192
65 TCU 0.033142
66 UCLA 0.032242
67 Colorado St. 0.028759
68 Georgia Southern 0.021224
69 Central Florida 0.020382
70 Eastern Michigan 0.011571
71 Old Dominion 0.005823
72 Southern Methodist 0.001569
73 Idaho -0.002368
74 Southern Mississippi -0.018417
75 Cincinnati -0.021806
76 Indiana -0.039565
77 North Texas -0.052356
78 Tulane -0.053827
79 South Carolina -0.054765
80 Ohio -0.057896
81 Texas Tech -0.069354
82 Texas -0.086238
83 Boston College -0.087322
84 Connecticut -0.092581
85 Arkansas St. -0.093466
86 Duke -0.095416
87 New Mexico -0.101238
88 Missouri -0.105852
89 Hawaii -0.110580
90 Oregon St. -0.110748
91 Utah St. -0.111910
92 South Alabama -0.115574
93 Purdue -0.117302
94 Army -0.117541
95 Arizona -0.123248
96 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.131767
97 Mississippi St. -0.150375
98 Oregon -0.150671
99 Illinois -0.168388
100 East Carolina -0.186085
101 Virginia -0.186464
102 Texas-San Antonio -0.188867
103 Louisiana-Monroe -0.204493
104 New Mexico St. -0.211348
105 Ball St. -0.217849
106 UNLV -0.227839
107 Georgia St. -0.248680
108 Rutgers -0.252101
109 UNC-Charlotte -0.261043
110 Marshall -0.307385
111 Michigan St. -0.307617
112 Notre Dame -0.307925
113 UTEP -0.314983
114 Texas St. -0.315025
115 Northern Illinois -0.317092
116 Florida International -0.318423
117 Kent St. -0.365412
118 Miami U. -0.371385
119 Kansas -0.392917
120 Iowa St. -0.403738
121 Nevada (Reno) -0.421423
122 San Jose St. -0.426418
123 Massachusetts -0.439881
124 Bowling Green -0.462445
125 Rice -0.467606
126 Fresno St. -0.552610
127 Florida Atlantic -0.599580
128 Buffalo -0.741823
The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced by certain losses, and it gives too much weight to that one week.  These teams have been given the minimum rating as opponents (not above) in place of their actual rating.  These are only teams with at least one FBS/I-A win.  More teams are added to this list as teams have more losses relative to (usually, the one) win, then others are dropped later in the year.
Buffalo
East Carolina
iowa St.
Marshall
Massachusetts
San Jose St.
Texas St.

The following also had off-the-charts (weak) strengths of schedules that had to be adjusted:  This usually is only an issue early in the year.
Baylor
San Diego St.
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