2016 Season‎ > ‎

2016-10-16

Description of new formula

As a reminder, the notes are below the ratings.

1 Clemson 0.843396
2 Alabama 0.809234
3 Texas A&M 0.651288
4 Michigan 0.620264
5 Ohio St. 0.578105
6 Tennessee 0.543208
7 Western Michigan 0.523740
8 Boise St. 0.463546
9 Houston 0.456013
10 Florida St. 0.442683
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11 Nebraska 0.414323
12 North Carolina 0.412355
13 Washington 0.387936
14 Louisville 0.378739
15 West Virginia 0.342838
16 Penn St. 0.332553
17 Utah 0.327565
18 Pittsburgh 0.308431
19 Oklahoma 0.307465
20 Stanford 0.299198
21 Navy 0.297097
22 Arkansas 0.296366
23 Auburn 0.289963
24 Washington St. 0.287774
25 South Florida 0.287113
26 Wake Forest 0.285787
27 Arizona St. 0.282690
28 Florida 0.273780
29 Wisconsin 0.261680
30 Troy 0.244195
31 Colorado 0.243894
32 Appalachian St. 0.226405
33 Baylor 0.224204
34 Southern California 0.210158
35 Virginia Tech 0.207795
36 U. Miami 0.204157
37 Georgia Tech 0.180475
38 Central Michigan 0.176679
39 Memphis 0.170290
40 Minnesota 0.169739
41 North Carolina St. 0.159971
42 Air Force 0.158683
43 Iowa 0.148475
44 San Diego St. 0.147934
45 Oklahoma St. 0.146693
46 LSU 0.143063
47 Brigham Young 0.139243
48 Georgia 0.137969
49 Toledo 0.132687
50 Wyoming 0.122091
51 Maryland 0.114277
52 Ole Miss 0.106509
53 UCLA 0.096181
54 Vanderbilt 0.081626
55 Kentucky 0.080028
56 Cal (Berkeley) 0.077979
57 Idaho 0.074868
58 Old Dominion 0.072873
59 Eastern Michigan 0.068017
60 Tulsa 0.056113
61 TCU 0.039368
62 Akron 0.028249
63 Northwestern 0.026758
64 Middle Tennessee 0.026177
65 Indiana 0.014838
66 Louisiana Tech 0.013897
67 Kansas St. 0.005070
68 Southern Mississippi -0.005099
69 Connecticut -0.007870
70 Western Kentucky -0.008159
71 Georgia Southern -0.011357
72 Syracuse -0.011673
73 Colorado St. -0.019926
74 Boston College -0.021182
75 Texas -0.021797
76 Cincinnati -0.023188
77 Texas Tech -0.026967
78 Tulane -0.033875
79 Central Florida -0.048656
80 Temple -0.051672
81 Oregon St. -0.054797
82 Missouri -0.058356
83 Purdue -0.063997
84 Texas-San Antonio -0.070557
85 Oregon -0.075876
86 Ohio -0.076702
87 South Alabama -0.076806
88 Army -0.079098
89 South Carolina -0.081886
90 Duke -0.091061
91 Mississippi St. -0.093891
92 East Carolina -0.107735
93 Virginia -0.111527
94 Arkansas St. -0.115993
95 New Mexico -0.117783
96 Utah St. -0.122143
97 Louisiana-Monroe -0.126898
98 Illinois -0.127325
99 Arizona -0.128678
100 UNLV -0.144899
101 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.145189
102 North Texas -0.148209
103 Rutgers -0.162994
104 Southern Methodist -0.173253
105 Hawaii -0.179302
106 Ball St. -0.180468
107 New Mexico St. -0.185042
108 Texas St. -0.232027
109 Michigan St. -0.237627
110 Georgia St. -0.240020
111 Florida International -0.267694
112 Marshall -0.271913
113 Notre Dame -0.283245
114 Northern Illinois -0.293403
115 Kent St. -0.304716
116 Bowling Green -0.315359
117 Massachusetts -0.316606
118 Kansas -0.336451
119 UNC-Charlotte -0.338379
120 San Jose St. -0.352919
121 Miami U. -0.355990
122 Nevada (Reno) -0.376383
123 UTEP -0.426646
124 Iowa St. -0.430453
125 Fresno St. -0.441206
126 Buffalo -0.547879
127 Rice -0.573621
128 Florida Atlantic -0.636923
The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced by certain losses, and it gives too much weight to that one week.  These teams have been given the minimum rating as opponents (not above) in place of their actual rating.  These are only teams with at least one FBS/I-A win.  More teams are added to this list as teams have more losses relative to (usually, the one) win, then others are dropped later in the year.
Buffalo
Charlotte
Georgia St.
iowa St.
Massachusetts
Miami U.
Northern Illinois
San Jose St.
UTEP

The following also had off-the-charts (weak) strengths of schedules that had to be adjusted:  This usually is only an issue early in the year.
Army 
Baylor
Nevada (Reno)
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