2016 Season‎ > ‎

2016-10-09

Description of new formula

As a reminder, notes are below.  

1 Michigan 0.688208
2 Texas A&M 0.678215
3 Clemson 0.671644
4 Tennessee 0.648422
5 Alabama 0.613505
6 Ohio St. 0.427281
7 Washington 0.370697
8 Boise St. 0.366982
9 Western Michigan 0.358654
10 Wake Forest 0.346518
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11 Penn St. 0.340322
12 Navy 0.337534
13 Houston 0.323515
14 Arizona St. 0.321780
15 Florida St. 0.302133
16 Wisconsin 0.297630
17 West Virginia 0.280096
18 Virginia Tech 0.274209
19 Stanford 0.260219
20 Nebraska 0.245599
21 Utah 0.243119
22 North Carolina 0.235872
23 Air Force 0.234376
24 Louisville 0.230095
25 Auburn 0.226574
26 U. Miami 0.216316
27 North Carolina St. 0.215640
28 Georgia 0.212477
29 Baylor 0.212052
30 Maryland 0.209806
31 Florida 0.209020
32 Pittsburgh 0.189951
33 Troy 0.189651
34 Arkansas 0.184996
35 South Florida 0.180902
36 Oklahoma 0.180845
37 Appalachian St. 0.176880
38 San Diego St. 0.153506
39 Washington St. 0.146800
40 Ole Miss 0.143973
41 Southern California 0.139289
42 Wyoming 0.129826
43 Central Michigan 0.128045
44 Colorado 0.126142
45 Cal (Berkeley) 0.121619
46 Oklahoma St. 0.120480
47 UCLA 0.118061
48 South Alabama 0.109730
49 Brigham Young 0.105017
50 Indiana 0.088617
51 LSU 0.078306
52 Minnesota 0.075190
53 Toledo 0.074266
54 Georgia Tech 0.071884
55 Memphis 0.067737
56 Kansas St. 0.066629
57 Kentucky 0.063343
58 Tulane 0.062401
59 Old Dominion 0.060229
60 Tulsa 0.051069
61 Middle Tennessee 0.048095
62 Iowa 0.041270
63 TCU 0.026718
64 Central Florida 0.023380
65 Akron 0.019190
66 Eastern Michigan 0.012305
67 Ohio 0.011886
68 Southern Mississippi 0.009318
69 Texas Tech 0.004794
70 Connecticut -0.011188
71 Colorado St. -0.011808
72 Boston College -0.023777
73 Missouri -0.024977
74 Oregon St. -0.029009
75 Mississippi St. -0.030668
76 Georgia Southern -0.033025
77 Purdue -0.038461
78 Idaho -0.045447
79 Cincinnati -0.047435
80 Northwestern -0.051250
81 Louisiana Tech -0.054126
82 Duke -0.055358
83 Texas -0.058729
84 Louisiana-Lafayette -0.060558
85 Texas-San Antonio -0.065531
86 Arizona -0.072224
87 East Carolina -0.073513
88 Vanderbilt -0.078258
89 Rutgers -0.078510
90 Virginia -0.080242
91 South Carolina -0.083378
92 Army -0.092232
93 Hawaii -0.100550
94 Oregon -0.106729
95 Texas St. -0.109885
96 Michigan St. -0.125874
97 Kent St. -0.138186
98 New Mexico St. -0.138447
99 Utah St. -0.141483
100 Syracuse -0.143352
101 Georgia St. -0.149778
102 Temple -0.156171
103 Western Kentucky -0.164200
104 Ball St. -0.177836
105 Nevada (Reno) -0.180452
106 Louisiana-Monroe -0.188147
107 Illinois -0.195541
108 North Texas -0.196920
109 Southern Methodist -0.199081
110 Arkansas St. -0.200718
111 UNC-Charlotte -0.202210
112 UNLV -0.214239
113 Notre Dame -0.224428
114 Massachusetts -0.226985
115 New Mexico -0.228209
116 Northern Illinois -0.244413
117 Florida International -0.258881
118 Kansas -0.266168
119 Marshall -0.286707
120 Bowling Green -0.305711
121 Buffalo -0.336167
122 Iowa St. -0.395167
123 Fresno St. -0.408566
124 San Jose St. -0.420460
125 UTEP -0.422120
126 Florida Atlantic -0.431996
127 Miami U. -0.471569
128 Rice -0.525976
The following list is a normal function of my formula, but it's still something I consider worth noting.  If I don't adjust these ratings, very large negative numbers are produced by certain losses, and it gives too much weight to that one week.  These teams have been given the minimum rating as opponents (not above) in place of their actual rating.  These are only teams with at least one FBS/I-A win.  More teams are added to this list as teams have more losses relative to (usually, the one) win, then others are dropped later in the year.
Buffalo
Iowa St.
Massachusetts
North Texas
UTEP

The following also had off-the-charts (weak) strengths of schedules that had to be adjusted:  This usually is only an issue early in the year.
Army 
Baylor
Memphis
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