Dr Joshy Z. Easaw Economics Section, Cardiff Business School Cardiff University, Aberconway Building Colum Drive, Cardiff CF10 3E Email address: EasawJ1@cardiff.ac.uk Short Bio: Educated at the universities of Oxford, Essex, Glasgow and Leicester. Previously held tenured (permanent) positions at the universities of Bath and Swansea. Teach courses at undergraduate and postgraduate (Masters and PhD) levels in Macroeconomics, Development Economics, Financial Economics and Political Economy. Successfully completed six PhD supervision in the areas of macroeconomic, political economy and development economics. My PhD students are currently employed in academia (University of Manchester, Taiwan and China) and as professional economist (World Bank)
Research interests:
i. Macroeconomic Theory and Modelling: Bounded rationality Microfoundations of how households form subjective macro (or aggregate) expectations: Professional forecasters’ inattentiveness Households forming expectations through ‘social learning’ in a spatial context. Spatial volatility and its impact on convergence.
ii. Political Economy and Development Economics: Recent and Selected Publications: with R. Golinelli, (2021), "Professionals Inflation Forecasts: The Two Dimensions of Forecaster Inattentiveness." Oxford Economic Papers DOI: 10.1093/oep/gpab012, forthcoming with Saeed Heravi, (2020) "Public opinion as Nowcast: consistency and the role of news uncertainty". Journal of Mathematical Sociology. DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2020.173237 with E. Clark, (2007) “Optimal Access Pricing for Natural Monopoly Networks when Costs are Sunk and Revenues are Uncertain” European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 178 (2), pp. 595-602 with S. Heravi,
(2004) “Evaluating Consumer Sentiments as Predictors of UK Household
Consumption Behavior. Are they Accurate and Useful?” , International
Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 20, pp 671-681.
Awards and Research Projects: Recent Working Papers and Presentations: - Easaw, Joshy & Golinelli, Roberto, 2014. “Inflation Expectations and the Two Forms of Inattentiveness,” Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2014/21, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Easaw Joshy, 2015. "Dual Role of Democracy" Presentation Cardiff Political Philosophy Seminar Series, 30th April 2015
- Easaw, Joshy, Heravi, Saeed and Dixon, Huw, 2015, "Professionals’ Forecast of the Inflation Gap and its Persistence" Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/13, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Easaw, Joshy, 2015, "Household Forming Inflation Expectations: Why Do They ‘Overreact’?" Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/14, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Easaw, Joshy, Golinelli, Roberto and Heravi, S, 2016, "Inflation Expectations, Inattentiveness and Uncertainty", presentation International Forecasting Symposium, June 2016, Spain.
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