Revision requested

• "Health Workforce Reallocation in the Aftermath of Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" revise and resubmit Labour Economics (with C. Mora-García, M.Prem and P. Rodriguez-Lesmes)

Published and forthcoming

• "Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" Review of Economic Studies Vol. 80 (4): 1384-1421, 2013 (with O.Dube). (Replication material and online appendix)

• "The rise and persistence of illegal crops: evidence from a naive policy announcement", The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 105 (2): 344–358, 2023 (with M. Prem and D. Mejía)

• "The Perils of Top-down State Building: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives", American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Vol. 12(3): 1-43, 2020 (with D. Acemoglu, L. Fergusson. J. Robinson and D. Romero)

• "The Need for Enemies", Economic Journal Vol. 126 (593): 1018-1054, 2016 (with L. Fergusson, J. Robinson and R. Torvik). (Replication material)

• "Does the Unemployment Benefit Institution affects the Productivity of Workers? Evidence from the field", Management Science Vol. 63(11), p. 3691-3707, 2017 (with M. Blanco and P. Dalton). (Replication material and online appendix)

• "The Real Winner's Curse", American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 65(1): 52-68, 2021 (with L. Fergusson, P. Querubín and N. Ruiz) (Online appendix)

• "Endogenous Taxation in Ongoing Internal Conflict: The Case of Colombia", American Political Science Review, Vol 112(4): 996-1015, 2018 (with R. Ch, A. Steele and J. Shapiro)

• 🆕 "A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement" forthcoming The Journal of Human Resources (with M. Guerra, M. Prem and P. Rodríguez)

• "The Human Capital Peace Dividend" The Journal of Human Resources Vol. 58 (3) 962-1002, 2023 (with O. Namen and M. Prem)

• "Citizens from 13 countries share similar preferences for COVID-19 vaccine allocation priorities", Proceedings of the National Academy of Science September 21, 2021 118 (38) e2026382118, 2021 (Full list of authors following the link)

• "Measuring the size and growth of cities using nighttime light", Journal of Urban Economics Volume 125 (September): 103254, 2021 (with R. Ch. and D. Martin). (Replication material and online appendix)

• "Brothers or Invaders? How Crisis-driven Migrants Shape Voting Behavior" Journal of Development Economics Vol. 150, 02636, 2021 (with S. Rozo). (Replication material)

• 🆕  "Peaceful Entry: Entrepreneurship Dynamics during Colombia's Peace Agreement" Journal of Development Economics  Vol. 113119, 2023 (with M. Prem, C. Bernal and M. Ospina)

• "Selective Civilian Targeting: The Unintended Consequences of Partial Peace", Quarterly Journal of Political Science  Vol. 17(3): 317-354, 2022 (with M. Prem, A. Rivera and D. Romero)

• "Self-selection into corruption: Evidence from the lab", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Volume 192: 799-812, 2021 (with. P. Brassiolo, R. Estrada and G. Fajardo)

• "Inequality, Crime, and the Long Run Legacy of Slavery"  Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 159:  539-552, 2019 (with P. Buonanno).

• "Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Crash of Ponzi Schemes", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 131: 263-275, 2016 (with. D. Cortés and J. Santamaría).

• "End-of-Conflict Deforestation: Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement", World Development, Vol. 129: 1048-52, 2020 (with M. Prem and S. Saavedra). (Replication data and code)

• 🆕 "How peace saves lives: Evidence from Colombia" forthcoming World Development (with S. Perilla, M. Prem and M. Purroy)

• "The Crime Kuznets Curve", Journal of Quantitative Criminology Vol. 33(4): 753-782, 2017 (with P. Buonanno and L. Fergusson).

• "True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why" Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 59(5): 794-823, 2015 (with B. Oppenheim, A. Steele and M. Weintraub).

• "Beyond Divide and Rule: Weak Dictators, Natural Resources and Civil Conflict", European Journal of Political Economy Vol. 53: 205-221, 2018 (with G. De Luca and P. Sekeris)

• "Colombia: Democracy, Violence, and the Peacebuilding Challenge", Conflict Management and Peace Science Vol. 35(6): 581-586, 2018 (with T. Flores)

• "Predicting Politicians' Misconduct: Evidence from Colombia", Data & Policy 2022;4:e41. doi:10.1017/dap.2022.35 (with J. Gallego and M. Prem)

• "Colombia: Dealing with Conservation", Science Letters Vol. 354(6309): 190, 2016 (with N. Clerici, J. Richardson, F. Escobedo, J. Posada, M. Linares and A. Sanchez) 

Book

A Modern Guide to the Economics of Crime (co-edited with P. Buonanno and P. Vanin), Edward Elgar Publishing

Recent book chapters

• "Colombia: Democratic but Violent?" in Felipe Valencia (Ed.) Roots of Underdevelopment: A New Economic (and Political) History of Latin America and the Caribbean. Forthcoming (with L. Fergusson).

• "The Changing Nature of the Economics of Crime" in Buonanno,  P., Paolo Vanin and Juan Vargas (Eds.) A Modern Guide to the Economics of Crime. (with P. Buonanno and P. Vanin).

• "Unbundling the Relationship between Economic Shocks and Crime" in Buonanno,  P., Paolo Vanin and Juan Vargas (Eds.) A Modern Guide to the Economics of Crime.  (with E. Ferraz and R. Soares).

• "Pandemic Corruption: Insights from Latin America" in Bandiera, O. Erica Bosio and Gian Carlo Spagnolo (Eds.) Procurement in Focus: Rules, Discretion, and Emergencies.  Chapter 10, p. 101-110 (with J. Gallego and M. Prem).

(click here for additional -older- publications and for publications in Spanish)

Working Papers

• 🆕 "Right to education: Forced migration and child education outcomes" (with S. Rozo), submitted 

• "Do explosions shape voting behavior?" (with F. Coy, S. Perilla, M. Prem and M. Purroy), submitted

• "Landmines: the local effects of demining" (with M. Prem and M. Purroy), submitted

• "The perils of using remote sensing data: the case of forest cover",  (with L. Fergusson and S. Saavedra)

• "Sunlight Disinfects? Free Media in Weak Democracies" (with L. Fergusson and M. Vela)

• "The environmental impact of civil conflict: The deforestation effect of paramilitary expansion in Colombia" (with L. Fergusson and D. Romero)

• "Don't Make War, Make Elections: Franchise Extension and Violence in XIX-Century Colombia" (with L. Fergusson)

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