Revision requested
"Right to education: Forced migration and child education outcomes" revise and resubmit World Bank Economic Review (with S. Rozo)
Selected peer-reviewed articles (published or forthcoming)
"Landmines: the local effects of demining" Journal of Public Economics Vol. 247, 105399 (with M. Prem and M. Purroy)
Featured in: VoxTalks Economics, El Espectador, FocoEconómico, Faculti
"A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement" forthcoming at The Journal of Human Resources (with M. Guerra, M. Prem and P. Rodríguez)
"Health Workforce Reallocation in the Aftermath of Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" Labour Economics Vol. 94, 102710, 2025 (with C. Mora-García, M.Prem and P. Rodriguez-Lesmes)
Featured in: VoxDev
"Climate change, natural resources, and conflict" forthcoming at Economic Policy (with. O. Vanden Eynde)
Featured in: VoxDev
"How peace saves lives: Evidence from Colombia" World Development Vol. 176, 106529, 2024 (with S. Perilla, M. Prem and M. Purroy)
"Peaceful Entry: Entrepreneurship Dynamics during Colombia's Peace Agreement" Journal of Development Economics Vol. 113119, 2023 (with M. Prem, C. Bernal and M. Ospina)
"The rise and persistence of illegal crops: evidence from a naive policy announcement" The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 105 (2): 344–358, 2023 (with M. Prem and D. Mejía)
Featured in: VoxDev, El Tiempo, Semana, LSE blog (English), LSE blog (Spanish), FocoEconómico, La Silla Vacía
"The Human Capital Peace Dividend" The Journal of Human Resources Vol. 58 (3) 962-1002, 2023 (with O. Namen and M. Prem)
"Selective Civilian Targeting: The Unintended Consequences of Partial Peace" Quarterly Journal of Political Science Vol. 17(3): 317-354, 2022 (with M. Prem, A. Rivera and D. Romero)
Featured in: LSE blog (English), LSE blog (Spanish), Chicago Policy Review, Vision of Humanity, Foco Económico, La Silla Vacía, El Espectador, Opinión Caribe
"The Real Winner's Curse" American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 65(1): 52-68, 2021 (with L. Fergusson, P. Querubín and N. Ruiz) (Online appendix)
Featured in: FocoEconómico, La Silla Vacía
"Brothers or Invaders? How Crisis-driven Migrants Shape Voting Behavior" Journal of Development Economics Vol. 150, 02636, 2021 (with S. Rozo). (Replication material)
Featured in: VoxDev
"Measuring the size and growth of cities using nighttime light" Journal of Urban Economics Volume 125 (September): 103254, 2021 (with R. Ch. and D. Martin). (Replication material and online appendix)
"Citizens from 13 countries share similar preferences for COVID-19 vaccine allocation priorities" Proceedings of the National Academy of Science September 21, 2021 118 (38) e2026382118, 2021 (Full list of authors following the link)
"Self-selection into corruption: Evidence from the lab", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Volume 192: 799-812, 2021 (with. P. Brassiolo, R. Estrada and G. Fajardo)
"The Perils of Top-down State Building: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives", American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Vol. 12(3): 1-43, 2020 (with D. Acemoglu, L. Fergusson. J. Robinson and D. Romero)
"End-of-Conflict Deforestation: Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement", World Development, Vol. 129: 1048-52, 2020 (with M. Prem and S. Saavedra). (Replication data and code)
Featured in: FocoEconómico, Vision of Humanity, La Silla Vacía I, La Silla Vacía II
"Inequality, Crime, and the Long Run Legacy of Slavery" Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 159: 539-552, 2019 (with P. Buonanno).
"Endogenous Taxation in Ongoing Internal Conflict: The Case of Colombia", American Political Science Review, Vol 112(4): 996-1015, 2018 (with R. Ch, A. Steele and J. Shapiro)
Featured in: VoxEU
"Beyond Divide and Rule: Weak Dictators, Natural Resources and Civil Conflict", European Journal of Political Economy Vol. 53: 205-221, 2018 (with G. De Luca and P. Sekeris)
Featured in: FocoEconómico
"Does the Unemployment Benefit Institution affects the Productivity of Workers? Evidence from the field", Management Science Vol. 63(11), p. 3691-3707, 2017 (with M. Blanco and P. Dalton). (Replication material and online appendix)
Featured in: FocoEconómico
"The Crime Kuznets Curve", Journal of Quantitative Criminology Vol. 33(4): 753-782, 2017 (with P. Buonanno and L. Fergusson).
Featured in: IADB Blog (English), BID Blog (Spanish)
"The Need for Enemies", Economic Journal Vol. 126 (593): 1018-1054, 2016 (with L. Fergusson, J. Robinson and R. Torvik). (Replication material)
Featured in: FocoEconómico I, FocoEconómico II, La Silla Vacía
"Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Crash of Ponzi Schemes", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 131: 263-275, 2016 (with. D. Cortés and J. Santamaría).
Featured in: FocoEconómico
"True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why" Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 59(5): 794-823, 2015 (with B. Oppenheim, A. Steele and M. Weintraub).
"Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" Review of Economic Studies Vol. 80 (4): 1384-1421, 2013 (with O.Dube). (Replication material and online appendix)
(click here for additional -older- publications and for publications in Spanish)
Working Papers
"Hidden Casualties: Landmines, Maternal Stress, and Neonatal Health" (with C. Duran, M. Prem and M. Purroy), submitted
"Fear to Vote: Explosions, Salience, and Elections" (with F. Coy, S. Perilla, M. Prem and M. Purroy), submitted
Featured in: FocoEconómico
"The perils of using remote sensing data: the case of forest cover" (with L. Fergusson and S. Saavedra)
"Sunlight Disinfects? Free Media in Weak Democracies" (with L. Fergusson and M. Vela)
Featured in: FocoEconómico, IADB Blog (English), BID Blog (Spanish), La Silla Vacía
"The environmental impact of civil conflict: The deforestation effect of paramilitary expansion in Colombia" (with L. Fergusson and D. Romero)
Featured in: La Silla Vacía
"Don't Make War, Make Elections: Franchise Extension and Violence in XIX-Century Colombia" (with L. Fergusson)
Featured in: FocoEconómico I, FocoEconómico II, FocoEconómico III, IADB Blog (English), BID Blog (Spanish)