Revision requested

• "Right to education: Forced migration and child education outcomes" revise and resubmit World Bank Economic Review (with S. Rozo)

Selected peer-reviewed articles (published or forthcoming)

• "Landmines: the local effects of demining" Journal of Public Economics Vol. 247, 105399 (with M. Prem and M. Purroy)

Featured in: VoxTalks Economics, El Espectador, FocoEconómico, Faculti

• "A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement" forthcoming at The Journal of Human Resources (with M. Guerra, M. Prem and P. Rodríguez)

• "Health Workforce Reallocation in the Aftermath of Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" Labour Economics Vol. 94, 102710, 2025 (with C. Mora-García, M.Prem and P. Rodriguez-Lesmes)

Featured in: VoxDev

• "Climate change, natural resources, and conflict" forthcoming at Economic Policy (with. O. Vanden Eynde)

Featured in: VoxDev

• "How peace saves lives: Evidence from Colombia" World Development Vol. 176, 106529, 2024 (with S. Perilla, M. Prem and M. Purroy)

• "Peaceful Entry: Entrepreneurship Dynamics during Colombia's Peace Agreement" Journal of Development Economics  Vol. 113119, 2023 (with M. Prem, C. Bernal and M. Ospina)

• "The rise and persistence of illegal crops: evidence from a naive policy announcement" The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 105 (2): 344–358, 2023 (with M. Prem and D. Mejía)

Featured in: VoxDev, El Tiempo, Semana, LSE blog (English), LSE blog (Spanish), FocoEconómico, La Silla Vacía

• "The Human Capital Peace Dividend" The Journal of Human Resources Vol. 58 (3) 962-1002, 2023 (with O. Namen and M. Prem)

• "Selective Civilian Targeting: The Unintended Consequences of Partial Peace" Quarterly Journal of Political Science  Vol. 17(3): 317-354, 2022 (with M. Prem, A. Rivera and D. Romero)

Featured in: LSE blog (English), LSE blog (Spanish), Chicago Policy Review, Vision of Humanity, Foco Económico, La Silla Vacía, El Espectador, Opinión Caribe

• "The Real Winner's Curse" American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 65(1): 52-68, 2021 (with L. Fergusson, P. Querubín and N. Ruiz) (Online appendix)

Featured in: FocoEconómico, La Silla Vacía

• "Brothers or Invaders? How Crisis-driven Migrants Shape Voting Behavior" Journal of Development Economics Vol. 150, 02636, 2021 (with S. Rozo). (Replication material)

Featured in: VoxDev

• "Measuring the size and growth of cities using nighttime light" Journal of Urban Economics Volume 125 (September): 103254, 2021 (with R. Ch. and D. Martin). (Replication material and online appendix)

• "Citizens from 13 countries share similar preferences for COVID-19 vaccine allocation priorities" Proceedings of the National Academy of Science September 21, 2021 118 (38) e2026382118, 2021 (Full list of authors following the link)

• "Self-selection into corruption: Evidence from the lab", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Volume 192: 799-812, 2021 (with. P. Brassiolo, R. Estrada and G. Fajardo)

• "The Perils of Top-down State Building: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives", American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, Vol. 12(3): 1-43, 2020 (with D. Acemoglu, L. Fergusson. J. Robinson and D. Romero)

Featured in: VoxDev, VoxEu

• "End-of-Conflict Deforestation: Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement", World Development, Vol. 129: 1048-52, 2020 (with M. Prem and S. Saavedra). (Replication data and code)

Featured in: FocoEconómico, Vision of Humanity, La Silla Vacía I, La Silla Vacía II

• "Inequality, Crime, and the Long Run Legacy of Slavery"  Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 159:  539-552, 2019 (with P. Buonanno).

• "Endogenous Taxation in Ongoing Internal Conflict: The Case of Colombia", American Political Science Review, Vol 112(4): 996-1015, 2018 (with R. Ch, A. Steele and J. Shapiro)

Featured in: VoxEU

• "Beyond Divide and Rule: Weak Dictators, Natural Resources and Civil Conflict", European Journal of Political Economy Vol. 53: 205-221, 2018 (with G. De Luca and P. Sekeris)

Featured in: FocoEconómico

• "Does the Unemployment Benefit Institution affects the Productivity of Workers? Evidence from the field", Management Science Vol. 63(11), p. 3691-3707, 2017 (with M. Blanco and P. Dalton). (Replication material and online appendix)

Featured in: FocoEconómico

• "The Crime Kuznets Curve", Journal of Quantitative Criminology Vol. 33(4): 753-782, 2017 (with P. Buonanno and L. Fergusson).

Featured in: IADB Blog (English), BID Blog (Spanish)

• "The Need for Enemies", Economic Journal Vol. 126 (593): 1018-1054, 2016 (with L. Fergusson, J. Robinson and R. Torvik). (Replication material)

Featured in: FocoEconómico I, FocoEconómico II, La Silla Vacía

• "Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Crash of Ponzi Schemes", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 131: 263-275, 2016 (with. D. Cortés and J. Santamaría).

Featured in: FocoEconómico

• "True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why" Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 59(5): 794-823, 2015 (with B. Oppenheim, A. Steele and M. Weintraub).

• "Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" Review of Economic Studies Vol. 80 (4): 1384-1421, 2013 (with O.Dube). (Replication material and online appendix)

(click here for additional -older- publications and for publications in Spanish)

Working Papers

• "Hidden Casualties: Landmines, Maternal Stress, and Neonatal Health" (with C. Duran, M. Prem and M. Purroy), submitted

• "Fear to Vote: Explosions, Salience, and Elections" (with F. Coy, S. Perilla, M. Prem and M. Purroy), submitted

Featured in: FocoEconómico

• "The perils of using remote sensing data: the case of forest cover"  (with L. Fergusson and S. Saavedra)

• "Sunlight Disinfects? Free Media in Weak Democracies" (with L. Fergusson and M. Vela)

Featured in: FocoEconómico, IADB Blog (English), BID Blog (Spanish), La Silla Vacía

• "The environmental impact of civil conflict: The deforestation effect of paramilitary expansion in Colombia" (with L. Fergusson and D. Romero)

Featured in: La Silla Vacía

• "Don't Make War, Make Elections: Franchise Extension and Violence in XIX-Century Colombia" (with L. Fergusson)

Featured in: FocoEconómico I, FocoEconómico II, FocoEconómico III, IADB Blog (English), BID Blog (Spanish)

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