Added: July 20, 2013 – Last updated: April 2, 2016


Author: Folasade O. Abigun

Title: Trend of Crime in Ibadan (1999-2008)

Subtitle: -

Journal: Scottish Journal of Arts, Social Sciences and Scientific Studies

Volume: 13

Issue: 1

Year: July 2013

Pages: 40-53

ISSN: 2047-1278 – Find a Library: Open Access Journal

Language: English

Keywords: Modern History, 20th Century, 21st Century | African History: Nigerian History | Prosecution: Statistics


Link: No More Available Online


Abstract: »The paper examines the trend of crime in Ibadan between 1999 and 2008. The prevalence rate of crime incidence was determined and the future incidence was predicted till 2050. Crime data indicating type and year of occurrence of crime was retrieved from Police record from 1999 to 2008. The Z score of categories of crime recorded for the period of study was calculated for a comparison across categories. Annual incidence of various categories of crime was presented in a table and analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used in verifying the significance of the observed variation in annual incidence of crime. Linear regression analysis was used in verifying the relationship between year and incidence of crime and for prediction of future incidences of crime till 2050. Crime incidence was taken as a quotient of population figure in order to establish the annual prevalence rates in the study area. The study observed an increase in crime trend in Ibadan with crime of acquisition having the highest crime magnitude. Crime incidence of between 238 and 307 occurred per 1000 population in Ibadan within the period of study. The study suggested an overhauling of police mechanisms of crime control and community initiatives.« (Source: Scottish Journal of Arts, Social Sciences and Scientific Studies)


  1. Introduction (p. 41)
  2. Study Area (p. 42)
  3. Research Methodology (p. 44)
  4. Results and Discussion (p. 44)
    4.1 Categories of Crime (p. 44)
    4.2 Annual Reported Crime Categories in Ibadan (1999 - 2008) (p. 45)
    4.3 Trend and Prevalence Rates of Crime in Ibadan (199-2008) (p. 47)
    4.4 Predicted Incidence of Crime (2008 - 2050) (p. 49)
  5.0 Conclusion (p. 50)
  Acknowledgements (p. 51)
  References (p. 52)

Wikipedia: History of Africa: History of Nigeria / Ibadan | Crime statistics