Giovanni Mastrobuoni
Honorary Professor of Economics
Research fellow IZA
PhD in Economics, Princeton University
Research Fields
Public Economics, Labor Economics, Economics of Crime, Applied Econometrics
Contact Information
Collegio Carlo Alberto
Piazza Arbarello 8
10122 Torino, Italia
E-mail: giovanni.mastrobuoni_at_carloalberto.org
giovanni.mastrobuoni_at_unito.it
Department of Economics
University of Essex
Publications - refereed
Migration at Sea: Unintended Consequences of Search and Rescue Operations in the Central Mediterranean Sea (forthcoming American Economic Journal: Economic Policy), with Claudio Deiana and Vikram Maheshri
Leave the Door Open? Prison Conditions and Recidivism (American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2022, 14(4), 200-233), with Daniele Terlizzese (WP version)
Silence of the Innocents: Undocumented Immigrants' Underreporting of Crime and their Victimization Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2020, 39 (4), 1214-1245 , with Antonio Nicolo' and Stefano Comino (WP version)
The Race Between Deterrence and Displacement: Theory and Evidence from Bank Robberies, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2021; 103 (3): 547–562 with Vikram Maheshri (WP version)
Crime is Terribly Revealing: Information Technology and Police Productivity, The Review of Economic Studies, 2020, 87(6), 2727-2753 (WP version)
Partners in Crime: Evidence from Recidivating Inmates, with Pierre Rialland, Italian Economic Journal, 2020
Police Disruption and Performance: Evidence from Recurrent Redeployment Within a City, Journal of Public Economics, August 2019, 176, 18-31. (WP version)
Does Immigration Increase Crime? Migration Policy and the Creation of the Criminal Immigrant. Cambridge University Press, 2019, with F. Fasani, P.. Pinotti and E. Owens
Optimising Criminal Behavior and the Disutility of Prison, with David Rivers, The Economic Journal, April 2019, 129(619): 1364-1399 (WP version)
Invalid Ballots and Electoral Competition, with Gani Aldashev, Political Science Research and Methods, 7(2), April 2019 , pp. 289-310. (WP version)
Rationalizable Suicides: Evidence from Changes in Inmates' Expected Sentence Length, with Nadia Campaniello and Theo Diasakos Journal of the European Economic Association, April 2017, 15 (2): 388-428. (WP version)
Returns to Education in Criminal Organizations: Did Going to College Help Michael Corleone?, with Nadia Campaniello and Rowena Gray, October 2016, Economics of Education Review, 58, 242-258. (WP version)
The Value of Connections: Evidence from the Italian-American Mafia, The Economic Journal, 125(586), 256-288, August 2015. (WP version)
Legal status and the criminal activity of immigrants, with Paolo Pinotti, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 7(2), 175-206, April 2015. (WP version)
Price As a Signal of Product Quality: Some Experimental Evidence, with Franco Peracchi, and Alex Tetenov, Journal of Wine Economics 9(2): 135-152, 2014, . (WP version)
Political Economy of the Social Security Disability Insurance: Theory and Evidence of Gubernatorial Learning, with Radha K. Iyengar, IZA Journal of Labor Policy 3:16, 2014.
Beneath the Surface: the Decline in Gender Injury Gap, with Tiziano Razzolini, Roberto Leombruni, and Mario Pagliero, Labour Economics, 30, 2014, . (WP version)
The Incapacitation Effect of Incarceration: Evidence from Several Italian Collective Pardons , with Alessandro Barbarino, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 6(1), February 2014, 1-37, Online appendix . (WP version)
Centralized vs. Decentralized Police Hiring in Italy and the US, with Paolo Buonanno, in Lessons from the Economics of Crime, Ed. P. Cook, S. Machin, O. Marie and G. Mastrobuoni, MIT Press, Cambridge, 2013 .
Crime Economics in Its Fifth Decade, with Philip Cook, Stephen Machin, Olivier Marie, in Lessons from the Economics of Crime, Ed. P. Cook, S. Machin, O. Marie and G. Mastrobuoni, MIT Press, Cambridge, 2013.
Organized Crime Networks: an Application of Network Analysis Techniques to the American Mafia, Review of Network Economics, Issue 3, September 2012, with Eleonora Patacchini. (WP version)
The Role of Information for Retirement Behavior: Evidence Based on the Social Security Statement, Journal of Public Economics, Volume 95, Issues 7-8, August 2011, Pages 913-925. (WP version)
Labor Supply Effects of the Recent Social Security Benefit Cuts: Empirical Estimates Using Cohort Discontinuities, Journal of Public Economics, Volume 93, Issues 11-12, December 2009, Pages 1224-1233 (an extended WP Version)
Heterogeneity in Intra-Monthly Consumption Patterns, Self-Control, and Savings at Retirement, with Matt Weinberg, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 1(2): 163–89, August 2009. (WP version)
The Euro Changeover and Its Effects on Price Transparency and Inflation, with Wioletta Dziuda, Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 41(1), 101-129, February 2009. (WP version)
Public Pensions in Italy and Germany: A Comparison based on Panel Data, Rivista di Politica Economica, October 2000
Working Papers
Strategic Bureaucratic Opacity: Evidence from Death Investigation Laws and Police Killings, November 2023, with Elda Celislami and Stepen Kastoryano
The Perverse Effect of Flexible Work Arrangements on Informality, December 2022, with Edoardi di Porto, Pietro Garibaldi and Paolo Naticchioni
Police Patrols and Crime, March 2018, with Jordi Blanes i Vidal
Criminal Discount Factors and Deterrence (Reject and Resubmit Review of Economic Studies, with David Rivers, February 2016
Police and Crime: Evidence from Dictated Delays in Centralized Police Hiring, with Paolo Buonanno, Feb 2012
The Relative Utility Hypothesis With and Without Self-reported Reference Wages, with Adrian de la Garza, Atsushi Sannabe, and Katsunori Yamada, November 2010
Do Social Security Recipients Smooth Consumption Between Checks? Evidence Using New Data With Variation in Pay Dates, with Matt Weinberg, January 2010
Non-refereed publications
Advances in the econometrics of crime, with Paolo Pinotti, Advances in the Econometrics of Crime, with Paolo Pinotti, in Encyclopedia of Criminology and Criminal Justice, (Eds.) Bruinsma, Gerben, Weisburd, David (Eds.) Springer Verlag Publishers, 2014.
Micro Modeling of Retirement Decisions in Germany, with A. Börsch-Supan, R. Schnabel and S. Kohnz in "Social Security and Retirement around the World: Micro-Estimation," NBER, Jonathan Gruber and David A. Wise, editors, Chicago University Press, 2004
Do Social Security Statements Affect Knowledge and Behavior?, Center for Retirement Research at Boston College Issue in Brief, April 2011
Costi diretti e indiretti dell'evento rapina, with Laura Santariello, Pietro Scabellone, Bancaria Editrice, 2010
Work-in-Progress
Criminal Careers and Criminal Firms, with Emily Owens
Migration and Wealth, with Enrico Moretti
The Signalling Value of Education, with Santiago Oliveros and Patrik Nolan
Hyperbolic Consumption and Health, with Matt Weinberg
Informational Costs vs. Myopia: Evidence from the Social Security Statement
Old papers
The Social Security Earnings Test Removal. Money Saved or Money Spent by the Trust Fund?, August 2006
Does Social Cohesion Affect Mortality?, March 2003
In the Media (I should update this more often)
La seule bonne parade serait d’augmenter lamigration légale. Une solution moins risquée pour lesmigrants.. , Nov. 12, 2021, Le Monde
Fact check: Is sea rescue a pull factor for refugees?, June 7, 2021, Deutsche Welle
Buone intenzioni, effetti negativi: migranti e soccorso nel Mediterraneo, April 5, 2021 Il Sole 24 Ore
Immigrati irregolari: vittime senza voce, Lavoce.info, 23 October 2020
Die nicht beabsichtigten Folgen der Seenotrettung von Migranten, Neue Zuercher Zeitung, December 13, 2019
High-Seas Rescues Put Migrants in Harm's Way, Bloomberg. November 25, 2019
Furti e rapine: a sventarli ci pensa l’intelligenza artificiale! Altalex, May 2019
Missing Link: Predictive Policing – die Kunst, Verbrechen vorherzusagen, Heise, May 19, 2019
L'operazione Strade Sicure, soldi spesi bene, Econopoly, IlSole24Ore, June 1, 2018
The best mafia bosses used their BRAINS rather than their brawn: Study finds each year spent at school earned mob members 8% more income, The Daily Mail, December 13, 2017
Why the best mob bosses relied on brains, not brawn, The Times, December 13, 2017
When crime pays: mobsters who spent more time at school earned more money, The Conversation, December 11, 2017
How to Rob Banks, According to Economics, Quarz, June 1, 2017
The Italian Job, Marginal Revolution, May 29, 2017
Odd Lots: Stay in School, Even if You're Planning to Join the Mob, Bloomberg, January 2017
Wiseguys: Mobsters who went to college made more moolah than their less-educated mafia pals, Quartz, July 12, 2016
Even For Mobsters Getting A College Degree Pays Off, Fortune, July 9, 2016
Mafia criminals' income 'boosted by education', BBC News, June 14, 2016
Longer jail sentences do deter crime, but only up to a point, The Economist, March 29, 2016
Clever crooks get more money than dim-witted criminals, university study shows, Clacton Gazette, March 22, 2016
Mobster U: Even the Mafia benefits from more school, The Globe and Mail, March 22, 2016
BBC Essex Radio with Peter Holms, March 12, 2016 (Minute 14.30)
Refugees and Resources, Martin Sandbu, Fianancial Times, September 10, 2015
The Simplest Fix to Social Security, CNBC, August, 2015
Mafia neighbours are bad for business, new report finds, The Guardian, August 3, 2015
Carcere: verso una riforma condivisa. Il modello Bollate, l'Espresso, May, 2015
La Jihad fa «scuola» in carcere, Il Sole 24 Ore, January 17, 2015
Preso!, Wired, Dec 2014/Jan 2015
Il carcere aperto aumenta la sicurezza, Il Sole 24 Ore, May 29, 2014
Key Crime: le nouveau policier, AgoraVox.fr, 11 February, 2014
Interview with il Mattino, January 25, 2013
Mario, l’udinese che "prevede" le rapine, Messaggero Veneto, October 21, 2013
Keycrime, L'algoritmo che prevede dove e quando avverranno le rapine, Panorama, September 4, 2013
Indulto e amnistia non sono l'unica soluzione, linkiesta.it, October 13, 2013
Decreto carceri, è tutta una questione di selezione, LaVoce, June 25, 2013
La galera è un deterrente ma soltanto alla terza volta, La Stampa, June 22, 2013
46.000, L'Internazionale, October, 2012
Scontare la pena ma non in una galera, La Voce, September 28, 2012
Moot Loot: Stats Show Crime Doesn't Pay--for Most Bank Robbers, Scientific American, June 2012
Is pardoning prisoners the best way to keep jail costs low?, Economic Logic, April 2012
The path from knowledge to better decision making is not a straight one, Nudge, 2011
Social Security Statements Increase Knowledge, planadviser, April 12, 2011
Più immigrati più crimine? dipende dalla politica, La Voce, June 29, 2010
E oggi paghiamo l'indulto, La Voce, May 8, 2008
Dopo l'indulto colpi in banca raddoppiati, La Stampa, September 5, 2007
Gli scarcerati per clemenza costano il doppio dei detenuti, Il Giornale, September 5, 2007
Crimini e misfatti a un anno dall'indulto, La Voce, September 4, 2007
It's the euro's fault many Europeans say, NYT, January 23, 2006