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  • Marking one's own homework It is a good number of years since it was found that treatment programmes appeared to do better when evaluated by those who were actually running them. This is not ...
    Posted 13 Mar 2017, 05:54 by Robert Forde
  • Sex offender treatment "Emperor's new clothes" An article in the British Psychological Society's magazine The Psychologist for March 2016 questioned yet again the evidence for effectiveness of UK sex offender treatment programmes. In practice, these ...
    Posted 2 Mar 2017, 04:21 by Robert Forde
  • Parole risk assessment flawed Blowing my own trumpet for a change!My doctoral thesis on the use of risk assessment in lifer parole hearings has been available online from 1 December 2014. It was ...
    Posted 24 Feb 2017, 10:14 by Robert Forde
  • OK, NOW it's official! Some time ago I posted on this site details of a study, led by NOMS researchers, which showed that post-treatment assessments after sex offender "treatment" programmes bore no relation ...
    Posted 5 Nov 2014, 12:20 by Robert Forde
  • Correction Apologies for the delay - I have been offline for some months, due to complete incompetence on the part of BT, my service provider. Now I am back online I must ...
    Posted 13 Jun 2014, 06:46 by Robert Forde
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Purpose of this site

This website is intended for all who have an interest in forensic psychology — the application of psychology to legal problems, particularly criminal trials and quasi-judicial tribunals, such as parole hearings. The main purpose is to present findings of psychological research and to interpret them for non-psychologists. I have tried to update the site regularly, as this is a fast-developing field, but other activities have prevented me from doing so in recent months. I hope to resume regular contributions this year (2017).

If you have an interest in psychology a good place to start is the British Psychological Society (BPS) website. This will also enable you to subscribe to the Society's journals, to download publications such as ethical guidelines, to find psychologists practising in a field of your choice (including expert witnesses). You can also sign on to receive regular deliveries by email of the BPS Research Digest, a useful guide to recent developments in psychological research.

From July 2009 a new legal registration scheme for psychologists was introduced, and misconduct investigations will in future be carried out by the Health and Care Professions Council (HCPC), which regulates the new scheme.

Lösel and Schmucker again

posted 23 Feb 2017, 08:21 by Robert Forde   [ updated 23 Feb 2017, 08:54 ]

Elsewhere on this site (see "The effectiveness of offending behaviour programmes") I gave details of a 2005 review by Lösel and Schmucker, which claimed to find evidence of effectiveness for sex offender treatment programmes. There appeared to be numerous flaws in that review, which rendered the claim unsustainable.

In a more recent review, involving stricter criteria, the same authors reviewed sex offender treatment programmes again. This time they found no evidence for effectiveness in programmes that were conducted in prison. For programmes conducted in the community they found a small effect of about 6%. The authors suggested that some prison-based programmes did show some effect; it was the overall effect which was zero.

There remains a difficulty: if the overall effect was zero among prison-based programmes, but some did better, then logically some must have done worse. It is natural to find that there is variation in the data when conducting a study of this sort, but it is a mistake to conclude that the "better" studies were effective and the "worse" studies can somehow be explained away (with the implication that they weren't being run properly and might have done better if they were). For the same reason, the fact that some community-based programmes appeared to show a treatment effect may also be unreliable.

The authors noted that there were very few randomized controlled trials (RCTs) among the studies which they included in their review. As noted elsewhere, RCTs provide the strictest test of any treatment, and are mandatory in other fields such as medicine and pharmaceutical treatments. None of the RCTs in this review showed any treatment effect. Furthermore, as with their 2005 review, studies only showed a treatment effect if they were evaluated by the people conducting them (that is, if they were "marking their own homework"). Again as with the earlier review, studies only showed a treatment effect if they involved small numbers (less than 50). Again, this is classically what one would expect if the results were affected by a "bound for publication" bias.

Altogether, although the authors describe the results as "promising", it is very difficult to see how this study provides any support for the use of sex offender treatment programmes based on cognitive-behavioural approaches.These programmes have been undergoing evaluation, and showing allegedly "promising" results for 20 years or more. One may reasonably ask how long we have to wait before this promise is fulfilled, or we are entitled to decide that such programmes are ineffective. The truth is that when high quality studies are conducted there is no treatment effect.

Given the costs of these programmes to correctional systems throughout the Western world, and the fact that they tend to starve other approaches of funding, is it time for a change of policy?


posted 13 Jun 2014, 06:41 by Robert Forde   [ updated 13 Jun 2014, 06:42 ]

posted 3 Jan 2012, 05:35 by Robert Forde   [ updated 3 Jan 2012, 05:38 ]


posted 18 Jun 2011, 03:40 by Robert Forde   [ updated 18 Jun 2011, 04:18 ]

posted 21 Dec 2010, 09:56 by Robert Forde   [ updated 8 Feb 2011, 04:33 ]

posted 7 Jul 2010, 12:28 by Robert Forde   [ updated 7 Jul 2010, 13:02 ]

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