Emin Dinlersoz
Welcome to my personal web page. I am a Principal Economist at the
Center for Economic Studies (CES).
My work focuses on economic research, data analysis, and data product development. My research areas include firm and industry dynamics, entrepreneurship, technology adoption, firm financing, and industrial and labor relations.
I am one of the developers of the Business Formation Statistics and the team lead at CES on data collection and research on technology use by firms (Tech Stats).
Recent working papers
"Tracking Firm Use of AI in Real Time: A Snapshot from the Business Trends and Outlook Survey", with Kathryn Bonney, Cory Breaux, Catherine Buffington, Lucia Foster, Nathan Goldschlag, John Haltiwanger, Zachary Kroff, Keith Savage.
"Starting Up AI", with Can Dogan and Nikolas Zolas, March 2024.
"AI Adoption in America: Who, What, and Where", with Erik Brynjolfsson, Lucia Foster, Zachary Kroff, J. Frank Li, Kristina McElheran, and Nikolas Zolas, Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, October 2023. Published version
"The Local Origins of Business Formation", with Timothy Dunne, John Haltiwanger, and Veronika Penciakova, July 2023.
"On The Role of Trademarks: From Micro Evidence to Macro Outcomes", with Nathan Goldschlag, Mehmet Yorukoglu, and Nikolas Zolas, March 2023.
"Business Applications as Economic Indicators", with Jose Asturias, John Haltiwanger, and Rebecca Hutchinson. CES Working Paper CES-21-09, May 2021.
"Automation and the Workforce: A Firm-Level View from the 2019 Annual Business Survey", with Daron Acemoglu, Gary Anderson, David Beede, Catherine Buffington, Eric Childress, Lucia Foster, Nathan Goldschlag, John Haltiwanger, Zachary Kroff, Pascual Restrepo and Nikolas Zolas, prepared for NBER CRIW Conference Volume on Technology, Productivity, and Economic Growth, April 2022.
"Advanced Technologies Adoption and Use by U.S. Firms: Evidence from the Annual Business Survey", with Nikolas Zolas, Zachary Kroff, Erik Brynjolfsson, Kristina McElheran, David Beede, Catherine Buffington, Nathan Goldschlag, and Lucia Foster. CES Working Paper CES-20-40, December 2020.
"Leverage over the Life-Cycle and Implications for Firm Growth and Shock Responsiveness", with Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Henry Hyatt, and Veronika Penciakova, NBER Working Paper 25226, September 2019.
Work in progress
"Technifying Ventures", with Yoshiki Ando, Jeremy Greenwood, and Ruben Piazzesi.
"The Modes of Entry: Employer versus Non-Employer Business Formation", with Zachary Kroff and Adela Luque.
"Are Potential Entrepreneurs Overconfident?", with Yueyuan Ma.
"Pre-Entry Uncertainty, Learning, and Business Formation", with Ying Feng and Yueyuan Ma.
"Machine Learning Exit: High-Frequency Prediction of Business Failure using Micro Data", with Mishal Ahmed, Can Dogan, and Nikolas Zolas.
"Financial Structure and Volatility of Privately-Owned Firms", with Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Veronika Penciakova, and Vincenzo Quadrini.
Papers describing administrative/survey data
"Early-Stage Business Formation: An Analysis of Applications for Employer Identification Numbers", with Tim Dunne, Javier Miranda, John Haltiwanger, Kim Bayard, and John Stevens. version: February 2018.
"Measuring the Effect of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: The Small Business Pulse Survey", with Catherine Buffington, Carrie Dennis, Lucia Foster and Shawn Klimek. CES Working Paper CES-20-16 version: May 2020.
"Small Business Pulse Survey Estimates by Owner Characteristics and Rural/Urban Designation", with Catherine Buffington, Daniel Chapman, Lucia Foster, James Hunt, Shawn Klimek. CES Working Paper CES-21-24, 2021.