Winter weather Forecast 2011 / 2012 - One of the most severe in modern times ?

******************************************   Wednesday July 20th 2011 – Winter 2011 / 2012 Forecast for the UK & Northern Hemisphere in general   ********************************************** 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Part 1…Introduction

 

 

Before I proceed with the main content……………..

 

 

PART OR MY ENTIRE FORECAST COULD TURN OUT TO BE “WELL OFF THE MARK!!!”

 

Note……….My forecast is primarily constructed by the analysis of the Moons declinations and phases over the following 9 months…………Also, the transit of Mercury over the following 9 months is also taken into consideration along with the monthly squares between the Moon and Uranus / Saturn………the position of certain other cosmic bodies over the following 9 months have also been taken into account

 

The eruptions of volcanoes in 2010 and all those up to the time of writing - July 2011 - have also been taken into consideration.

 

Eruptions taking place after this forecast is posted will only serve to make any cooling throughout the winter of 2011 / 2012 far more evident.

 

My monthly “snapshots” and general overview can be seen towards the end of this article – Part 3…The “snapshots” will run from September 2011 through to March 2012

 

The “snapshots” have been formulated with the analysis of Moon declinations and phases only!

 

The overview takes into account all of the other phenomena as seen above!

 

Some suggestions concerning other parts of the northern-hemisphere will be included in the forecast.
 

(My suggested Christmas 2011 forecast can be seen in the Overview and general comments section towards the bottom of Part 3……I give relatively good detail, and my reasoning for reaching my conclusion)

 

This forecast was posted on page 68 of the tpuc forum http://www.tpuc.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=16873&start=670  on Wednesday July 20th 2011

 

Part 2 – as seen directly below – contains a collection of my extracts or articles related to this article in one way or another.

 

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...

 

Part 2……Extracts / articles – for reference purposes

 

 

1……   https://sites.google.com/site/crabtreescompendiumofesoterica/home/page-6-new-world-order-illuminati-shadow-government-and-their-agendas/page-8-astrophysical-and-geophysical-and-related-phenomena/page-9-predictions    Nov 5th 2008

Global and UK general Weather/Climate predictions 2008 to 2030 (+/- 3 years)…..

I expect more severe winters with more coldness and snow as we move towards 2030

 

I expect that most of the winters from 2009 to 2030 to be more severe than the winters of 1947 and 1962 to 1963......2012 to 2014 could see very severe UK WINTERS

 

2……   http://www.tpuc.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=4&t=14695   May 9th 2010……………………

Since 2006 I have made various predictions (some were placed on the MySun forum - the internet forum administered by the Sun newspaper, and all or most can be found on various pages and in attachments on my web-site ) relating to global financial / political events and astrophysical, geophysical, meteorological and climate events.

 

Some of the predictions that I have made relate to the very high probability of an impending Ice Age.

 

Below is an extract from page 9 – Predictions page - which I posted on March 1st 2010

 

2010: The “so-called” (The I.P.C.C brief definition of global warming is that it is man-made, I – and various others – realize and understand that global warming and cooling happens naturally and is a cyclic phenomenon.) global warming stabilizes and the first phase of the “real” global cooling begins. 2010 to 2017: Moderate global cooling with temperatures matching those during many of the years from 1941 to 1983. 2017 to 2022: There will be a brief global warming, with a 2-year temperature peak akin to the temperatures that were monitored during the 1931 to 1940 and the 2000 to 2007 warm periods. 2022 to 2050: The second and most severe stage of global cooling will begin, with a great and very rapid cooling with temperatures very quickly falling, and will resemble the average temperature that was monitored in the1800s. (NOTE: The Little Ice Age was a time of cooler climate in most parts of the world. Although there is some disagreement about exactly when the Little Ice Age started, records suggest that temperatures began cooling around 1250 A.D. The coldest time was during the 16th and 17th Centuries. By 1850 the climate began to warm. Data from the internet shows that the average global temperature in 1890 was 56.5 Fahrenheit (13.61 Celsius) and the average global temperature in 2009 – 2010 was/is 58.1 Fahrenheit (14.5 Celsius) Therefore 1890 was a full 1.11 Celsius degrees colder than the global average of 09 and 2010, and this was despite the fact that the global average temperature had been warming from1850 through to 1890.) (I have used my personal Ephemeris data and public domain historical climate data to construct this paragraph) © Richard Crabtree Friday 29th January 2010 EXTRACT FROM A PAPER THAT I PRODUCED IN JANUARY 2010

 

Not too long ago NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration – discovered that instead of the approximate number of 10,000 underwater volcanoes (see this one of many links that you can follow) http://oceantoday.noaa.gov/underwatervo ... lcome.html

that they thought that there was, the figure, as they discovered, was in fact in excess of around 3 million – and the number is growing!

 

Underwater volcanoes / vents warm the oceans of our planet. Warm water evaporates and rises. The water evaporation is “seeded” by volcanic ash / particles emissions (and positive – ionisation - and cosmic rays emitted by the galactic centre, the Sun and “faults” all over our planet). The “seeded” particles form (even) more clouds than are “usual”. The clouds produce (more than usual) heavy rain or snows fall (as has been witnessed over the last few years across the globe, and which has been referenced on my web-site and in many other information sources).

The sulphur from the volcanic emissions mixes with the water molecules. This produces particles of sulphuric acid (which are highly reflective to the infra-red –heat - emissions from the Sun).

 

The combination of the factors that I have mentioned, more sulphur particles, more ash, more ionisation, more cloud and more rain or snow, are all, in my observation and that of various others, a major contribution to global cooling...NOT global warming.

 

CLIMAP (Climate Long Range Investigations Mapping and Prediction) tracked ice volume over the last 500,000 years, and they discovered that they began or ended abruptly at around every 11,500 years.

 

It has also been observed that the global climate becomes cooler and wetter about every 179 years. This cycle is caused by the Suns retrograde (clockwise motion) around the centre of the solar system. The retrograde motion is caused by the gravitational pull of the planets in our solar system, especially Saturn and Jupiter which happen to be in the same quadrant of the solar system every 179 years. In turn, this produces magnetic changes on our planet. This cycle causes abrupt and extreme changes in the global climate. At every other beat of this cycle, a “Little Ice Age” event occurs on Earth.

 

Approximately, every 360 years, a little ice age event occurs on Earth. Every little ice age is part of a larger 1,440 year cycle. This 1,440 year cycle brings dramatic and rapid changes in climate and global glacier expansion. The global climate became very cold around 4,200 years ago, 2,800 years ago and 1,400 years ago.

 

Which means, if my research is correct, that the next beat of the 1,400 year cycle is due now!

 

Assuming that I am correct, this now means that the following cycles are converging together: 179 years – 360 years – 1,440 years and 11,500 years.

 

As most of those reading this may understand, Earth changes have been escalating over the last several years (I give LINKS to this type of information on various pages on my web-site).

 

As we approach 2012 to around 2020 or there about, we will all experience more and more dramatic astrophysical, geophysical and metrological phenomena.

 

My own personal daily monitoring of the cosmic aspects (and historical research) that has been mentioned above, and information that I research from many sources, indicate, to me at least, that we are entering into a prolonged period of rapid global cooling!

 

I humbly suggest that we are, as I type these words, experiencing the first stages of an Ice Age.

 

Whether “Little” or “Full Blown”

 

3……   http://www.tpuc.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=16873&start=350   Monday December 27th 2010

11...The northern-hemisphere and parts of the southern -hemisphere to become even colder than of late, and events such as floods, landslides, torrential rain, “sink holes”, localised heat-waves (mid to equatorial latitudes), tornadoes in “unusual areas” and other extreme meteorological phenomena to occur more frequently than of late.

 

4……   http://www.tpuc.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=16873&start=640   Sunday June 26th 2011

I’m hoping to post my “fleshed out” suggestions / forecasts for the coming winter sometime over the next 5 or 6 weeks or so jg……

 

I posted the basics of my winter 2011 / 2012 forecast back in August 2010 on page 14, but I’m just waiting a while longer to see precisely how many more volcanic eruptions there will be over the next month or so before I add more detail to the forecast…………………..

 

Also (in relation to the reply above), on June 11th 2008 I posted the following predictions on my website (this can be seen on page 12)

http://www.tpuc.org/forum/viewtopic.php ... &start=110  

(10) There WILL be a steady rise in Earth-quake and volcanic activity around the Earth.......Especially in the Northern Hemisphere at between 30 and 45 degree latitudes

(19) There will be steady (at first) rise in Global weather phenomena such as heat- waves, hurricanes, gales, storms, heavy-snow fall (especially around 2013) torrential rain and floods up to 2012/2013 and possibly beyond

 

As can be seen in several of my posts over the last few years, sulphur dioxide emissions from volcanic eruptions can also cause sunlight reflection in the atmosphere…………..the ash particulates from volcanic ash “seed” water molecules which produce more cloud which produce more rainfall / snowfall………..the sulphur dioxide combined with the “ash” induced extra cloud makes for extra cooling and precipitation conditions across the planet.

 

Other factors will be involved with cooling over the next several years – one of which will be the declination of the Moon over the southern hemisphere as from December 2011 through to August 2014 (You can discover more about this particular phenomena by conducting your own research)

 

Regarding the winter of 2011 / 2012……………………………………..

 

Before I give more detailed information of what I believe will occur for winter 2011 / 2012 over the following few weeks, I will say the following……………………..

 

I humbly suggest that the winter of 2011 / 2012 will be even more severe than the winter of 2010 / 2011……….I suggest that there will be even more RECORD breaking snowfall and freezing temperatures for the whole of the UK, Ireland, western/central Europe, Asia and parts of the North American continent.

 

Similarly to late November and December 2010, I am expecting to see easterly air flows (north-easterlies through to south-easterlies) start to predominate in the UK …..this will be caused by high pressure systems in the areas of Iceland through to the northerly areas of Europe and Siberia……………Except that this coming winter will probably produce longer lasting high pressure systems in the areas described – longer lasting than the high pressure systems of late 2010 and early 2011.

 

I also humbly suggest that the winter of 2011 / 2012 will start even earlier than the winter of 2010 / 2011……I suggest rapidly cooling conditions as from around mid-September 2011.

 

I also suggest that people will find the winter of 2011 / 2012 much harder to cope with, more so than the recent winters, because of the likelihood of electrical failures, food, fuel and cash shortages……the reason for these shortages will become more evident as from June 27th 2011 through to September 1st 2011.
 

(5)……   http://www.tpuc.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=16873&p=158394&hilit=pws#p158394   Tue Oct 5th 2010

 

Overview from 2010 through to 2050

 

2010 to 2017: Moderate global cooling with temperatures matching those during many of the years from 1941 to 1983.

 

2017 to 2022: There may be a brief global warming, with a 2-year temperature peak akin to the temperatures that were monitored during the 1931 to 1940 and the 2000 to 2007 warm periods.

 

2022 to 2050: The second and most severe stage of global cooling will begin, with a great and very rapid cooling with temperatures very quickly falling, and will resemble the average temperature that was monitored in the1800s

 

Unlike Jonathan Powell and Ray Anthony of Positive Weather Solutions (PWS), and various other main-stream professional or amateur forecasters, I forecast that the northern hemisphere winters (inclusive of those in the UK) will become generally more severe after 2010 / 2011.

 

I also forecast that the following winters of 2011 / 2012 and 2012 / 2013 will be as severe or even worse than the coming winter of 2010 / 2011 in the northern hemisphere.

 

I also suggest that the summer of 2011 may be much like the summer of 1816 (Known as “Poverty Year, Year There Was No Summer”) when global average temperatures decreased about 0.4–0.7 °C (0.7–1.3 °F). 

 

 

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………...

 

Part 3…… My monthly “snapshots” and general overview.

 

The “snapshots” have been formulated with the analysis of Moon declinations and phases only!

 

(My “snapshots” first – then my overview / final comments last – the overview and comments have been formulated with all available data at hand at the time of writing)

 

General speaking - a snapshot of September through to December 31st 2011 weather for the UK (some suggested likely scenarios / NOTE:  …… denotes a different  set of events  / time period)

 

September 2011 - some suggested weather scenario’s for the UK……most settled period from around the 4th up to around the 12th, probably cold mornings on the 2nd – 3rd - 4th  - 10th , any precipitation around at this time will probably fall from midnight to noon, western areas of the UK may see SW to W breezes from the 5th through to around the 10th, ……from around the 12th up to around the 19th may begin to set the trend of what may be a severe winter for the UK in general, probably cold mornings on the 11th – 12th – 13th, any precipitation around at this time may probably fall during the day light hours then disperse as midnight draws near, winds may probably increase in strength around the 12th and become colder through to around the 19th, as the 19th approaches winds will probably turn more W then NW with a more noticeable wind chill than was experienced up to around the 10th……the 19th up to around the 30th may probably see a big deterioration in weather conditions, any precipitation in this period may probably fall between noon to midnight, this will probably be the most unsettled period of September, the coldest mornings will probably be the 18th -  19th – 20th  - 21st – 26th – 27th – 28th, all of the days in this period will probably be very cold, blizzard  (or heavy rain/sleet) conditions are possible from the 26th to the 30th in northern parts of the UK down to around the Hull region, the winds in this time period may be predominantly from a northerly direction with north-westerly’s or north-easterlies depending where pressure systems are, there is the possibility that high pressure may build to the north or north-east of the UK in this period – should this be the case then the more likely areas that may experience NE to SE blizzard ( or heavy rain/sleet) conditions would be from the north-Yorkshire area down to Kent.

 

 

 October 2011 - some suggested weather scenario’s for the UK……the two most unsettled time periods for October will likely be from the 1st to around the 4th – then from around the 19th to around the 31st, the coldest mornings will probably be the 3rd – 4th – 5th – 11th – 12th – 13th – 16th – 17th – 18th – 19th – 20th – 21st – 25th – 26th – 27th,the coldest time frame will probably be from around the 16th to around the 28th……any snow fall in the 2nd to 16th time period will probably occur in more westerly parts of the UK……S to SW veering more to W / NW winds will probably be experienced as from the 2nd through to around the 18th……snow  (or rain / sleet) is more likely in northern areas from the 19th to around the 22nd then southern areas are more likely to see snow from around the 23rd to the end of the month (should snow not be experienced at all during these time frames then cold rain or sleet will probably be seen), night time blizzard conditions may be seen around the midlands to the London areas around the 26th – or heavy  overnight rain/sleet at least

 

 

November 2011 - some suggested weather scenario’s for the UK…… the two most unsettled time periods for November will likely be from the 1st to around the fourth then from the 18th to months end……the coldest mornings are likely to be on or around the 2nd,5th, 10th,13th,18th, 23rd and 25th……the greatest risk period for snow/sleet/rain is likely to occur from the 12th to months end with an even greater risk as from the 25th to the 30th……Any snow/sleet/rain in the period shown is likely to fall overnight, generally speaking, between the 24th and the 30th, and from noon to midnight from the 18th to the 24th……Any snow fall etc.is more likely to affect the southern parts of the UK as from on or around Sunday the 20th to the 30th, and early in the month on or around the 5th……Any snowfall etc is more likely to affect the western , northern and eastern areas from the 5th through to the 23rd……..the greatest chance of blizzards occurring will likely be around the 1st, 14th,23rd and the 27th…….Any precipitation of any kind is more likely to fall as “day” precipitation on and within two days either side of the 10th…….The 5th may bring sever cold in many areas of the UK

 

 

December 2011 -some suggested weather scenarios for the UK…… the most unsettled time period for December will likely be on or around the 18th through to months end, and the 11th, 12th and 13th……the coldest mornings are likely to be on or around the 4th, 10th, 18th, and 22nd to 26th……heavy snow fall will be more likely to occur as from the 18th through to the 26th or near – the heaviest snowfalls in this time period may be more likely to occur in the southern areas of the UK, becoming more widespread as from the 26th……northern/western and eastern areas may be more at risk from snowfall as from the 4th through to the 18th……blizzards may be more likely to occur on or around the 4th, should this be the case, then blizzard conditions are more likely to occur from midnight to noon, and especially in south-westerly areas of the UK – then other periods for possible blizzard conditions are likely to be on or around the 11th, 18th, 22nd and 25th……there is a very good chance that Christmas Day will be white, especially  from Hull down  to the whole southern coast, with the more southerly areas probably bearing the biggest brunt……northerly areas are more likely to be affected by snow fall from the 10th to the 17th, with possible blizzards in Scotland on or around the 11th

 

 

January2012 -some suggested weather scenarios for the UK…… the most unsettled time periods for January are likely to be on or around the 7th/8th then 16th through to months end with the most unsettled time in this period as from the 16th to the 26th……the coldest mornings are likely to be on or around the 3rd, 6th, 9th,16th, 23rd and 28th……heavy snow is more likely to occur from the 16th through to the 26th with easterly and southerly areas of the  UK probably seeing the heaviest snowfalls in this period……northern/western/eastern areas of the UK will very probably be more at risk of snowfall from the 1st through to the 13th……the most likely times for blizzards to occur will probably be on or around the 4th, 7th,18th , 22nd and 28th……

 

 

February2012 -some suggested weather scenarios for the UK…… the coldest mornings are likely to be on or around the 4th, 8th, 15th and 21st …… the most unsettled time periods for February by far are likely to be from the 14th through to month’s end, with the worst of this period being from the 14th to around the 23rd, with the likelihood of heavy snowfall from the Norwich latitude down to southern coasts…..western/northern and eastern areas of the UK will probably be more prone to snowy conditions from the 1st through to around the 10th……the likelihood of blizzards to occur will probably be  on or around the 4th, 10th/11th, and 18th/19th , with southerly regions probably seeing the worst of any blizzard conditions around the 18th/19th, and mid-latitudes of the UK on or around the 10th, with Scotland and northern England on or around the 4th – and possibly through to the 10th

 

 

March 2012 -some suggested weather scenarios for the UK…… the most unsettled time period for March is likely to be from the 14th through to around the 24th, then the 2nd, 3rd, 29th and 30th……the coldest mornings are likely to be on or around the 3rd, 8th to 10th, 15th, 21st/22nd/23rd  and 29th……the most precipitation will probably occur from the 14th through to around the 25th……snow in the northern areas of the UK is more likely from the 1st to around the 7th……snow for the middle latitude of the UK is more likely around the 6th to the 13th……snow for the more southerly/easterly and westerly areas of the UK is more likely from the 14th to the 24th……snow for the UK in general is more likely from the 24th to the 31st……blizzard conditions are more likely around the 2nd to 3rd, 7th to 11th,19th to 23rd and the 29th to 31st……NOTE…if snowfall doesn’t occur on the dates shown, then sleet or rain are likely……one of the windiest periods is likely be from around the 19th to around the 24th.

 

 

Overview ……………………………
 

(Have you noticed how spring came early this year, and how cool the summer has been to date – generally speaking…And have you noticed how the weather has been autumnal recently…And have you noticed how all manner of plants have bloomed early, and have produced their fruit – in some case up to around 1 month early, and did you notice how the seasons of 2010 were also not “as they should be”……………….Mother Nature knows what’s to come!!!)

 

 

(1)……I suggest the winter of 2011 / 2012 will be more severe than the previous three successive winters, with well below average temperatures.

 

(2)……I suggest that a general and rapid cooling trend will begin on or around Monday September 12th 2011, with  frosts, then continuing the trend into October and beyond

 

(3)……I suggest that the early stages of winter 2011 / 2012 will begin in a similar fashion to that of 2010 / 2011, i.e., November will show its  “teeth” of winter - only earlier than the November 22nd blast of last year

 

(4)……I suggest that unlike last winter, when the anticyclones in the areas of Ice Land / Green Land/Siberia were relatively short lived, that one or more anticyclones will build in these areas – but this time will last for a longer period of time……or one may possibly continue for several weeks.

 

(5)……I suggest that the first anticyclone of winter 2011 / 2012 may start to become evident on or around November 13th 2011…..Should a anticyclone occur around this time, then it may persist for several weeks at least, should this scenario not occur around this time, then an anticyclone may occur on or around December 10th 2011, if not at all at this time, then January 6th may finally bring about an anticyclone.

 

(6)……Last year I suggested that the winter of 2010 /2011 would break snowfall and cold temperature records in areas of the northern-hemisphere , I also suggested that various areas of the northern-hemisphere would have the most severe/cold winter for at least 100 years – it eventually turned out that was indeed the case – BUT…………….

 

(7)……I now suggest that the winter of 2011 / 2012 will be longer lasting than the winter of 2010 / 2011……it will break more cold temperature/snowfall records than the winter of 2010 / 2011…….it will be colder than the months of November/December were in 2010 / 2011……it will produce more snowfall than last winter, but not only in the months of November/December – like that which occurred last year , but also throughout January, February and into March 2012.

 

(8)……I suggest that the winter proper of 2011 / 2012 could well begin as early as late September or October 2011…….The potential that this could occur is quite high according to my own research and analysis.

 

(9)……I suggest that amongst the areas at risk for severe cold and heavy and prolonged snowfall will be the Highlands of Scotland (again) and the areas of south-eastern England (again)……These were two of the areas most affected last winter – but although I suggest more of the same this winter, the difference will be, I suggest, it will be colder and the snowfall will be heavier and longer lasting in these two areas.

 

(10)……Other areas of the UK will also be harder hit than last year I suggest, but probably not quite as severe as the two areas mentioned above.

 

(11)…..Ireland, which broke several winter records last year, will be even more affected this winter – I suggest.

 

(12)……I also suggest that the western areas and mid/northern areas will also be inundated with heavy snowfall, but again – probably not as severe as the areas seen in (9) above

 

(13)……The USA and continental Europe/Asia will not escape the wintery onslaught that I expect to occur…….These areas, I suggest, will also have heavy and prolonged snowfall with many areas experiencing cold temperatures colder than last winter. 

 

(14)……I suggest that this winter, across the northern-hemisphere generally, could well be the most severe for……150years at least.

 

(15)……I suggest that temperatures in parts of Scotland could fall below minus 28C, and temperature in other parts of the UK could well fall below minus 21C, temperatures in parts of continental Europe / USA / Asia could fall below minus 30C.

 

(16)……I suggest that snowfall depths / accumulations could reach at least 3FT in various areas of the UK, but especially in  Scotland and southern areas of England………..this would be without the additional help of drifting / blizzard conditions……..drifting / blizzard conditions could see snowfall depth’s in some areas of the UK, of 12 FT or more .
 

(17)……I suggest that December 25th - Christmas day – 2011 has all the ingredients for being a “White Christmas”….

 

The Moon reaches it southerly most point (Southern Declination – SD) on Friday December 23rd, in Perigee on Thursday 22nd and becomes “New” on December 24th at 7-06pm – “Christmas Eve”…..The Moon is also square with Uranus on the 24th and with Saturn on the 26th…….There is also an alignment between Saturn, Earth and Jupiter on the 25th, and a square between the Sun and Uranus on the 22nd and the winter solstice takes place on the 21st……Also, Venus squares with Jupiter on the 21st and the Sun conjuncts with Pluto on the 28th

 

In addition, Mercury forms a “square” with Earth at 9-14pm on Thursday December 22nd, and continues to be “near square” through to the 25th / 28th

 

Also, I expect a change to occur in the polarity of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) around the 24th to the 27th, and there is the possibly of some type of solar activity – flares, filaments, coronal –holes and a CME – occurring around this time frame

 

(Some of the phenomena that is associated with one, some or all of the cosmic events, as seen above, are earthquakes – volcanic eruptions – extra magma flow/volume – very strong winds/gales/tornadoes/hurricanes/ - land slips/landslides – sink holes – avalanches – extra snow/sleet/hail/rain fall / electrical - lightening – thunder storms / – droughts – flooding / tsunamis   – disturbances to the magnetosphere/geomagnetism – telluric currents {electrical current fields of planet Earth})

 

Mercury, the New Moon and the Perigee will provide the cooling from the 22nd through to the 28th……The Perigee and the expected sector boundary crossing (SBC) of the IMF, and any disturbance of the Sun (as seen above), will provide the “agitation” to atmospheric currents – and consequently any speeding up of wind flow.

 

Because of the Moons SD on the 23rd of December (the Moons declination being a major “player” in determining which area of the UK - or the rest of the northern-hemisphere for that matter) experiences, in this case the southern areas, the most precipitation) I would suggest that the area of the UK from Hull on the east-coast across to Southport on the west-coast down to Eastbourne on the south-east coast across to Lands’ End on the south-west coast will stand a greater chance of experiencing a White Christmas more so than areas north of Hull and Southport.

 

 

(Any snowfall over the Christmas period, i.e. Christmas Eve through to Boxing Day, is more likely to produce the heavier or greater amounts overnight as opposed to the hours between 9am and 9pm or thereabouts (this will also apply to any type of precipitation that may fall other than snow, i.e. sleet, freezing rain  / rain or hail)

 

(Precipitation of any kind from December 24th through to January 1st 2012 will tend to occur mainly overnight, but as the 1st of January approaches, the tendency will be for the timing of any precipitation to start to fall more towards mid-night and continuing more towards noon the following day….…as an example, snow on Christmas Eve would fall as from around 9pm then cease around 9am on Christmas Day, but on December 31st – the snow would begin, at say 11pm, then cease at around 11am on January 1st 2012) 

 

 

Although I suggest that snowfall (should any occur at all) should be more prominent in the areas and the time frame indicated above, this is not to imply that snowfall will not occur in other areas of the UK not alluded to…it’s just that my data indicates that the southern portion of the UK stands the better chance of experiencing a 2011 White Christmas.

 

 

General comments…………………………
 
 

(Have you noticed how spring came early this year, and how cool the summer has been to date – generally speaking…And have you noticed how the weather has been autumnal recently…And have you noticed how all manner of plants have bloomed early, and have produced their fruit – in some case up to around 1 month early, and did you notice how the seasons of 2010 were also not “as they should be”……………….Mother Nature knows what’s to come!!!)

 

As many are well aware, the previous three winters have all been progressively colder with increasing snowfall.

 

There are various reasons for this, but one of the major players in this scenario has been escalating volcanic eruptions.

 

This year alone, July 2011, there have been at least 48 confirmed eruptions   http://www.volcano.si.edu/world/find_eruptions.cfm

 

As can be seen earlier in this article, sulphur dioxide emissions from volcanic eruptions can cause sunlight reflection in the atmosphere…………..the ash particulates from volcanic ash “seed” water molecules which produce more cloud which produce more rainfall / snowfall………..the sulphur dioxide combined with the “ash” induced extra cloud makes for extra cooling and precipitation conditions across the planet.
 

(Also, cosmic rays - from the galactic centre, generally speaking – are also a big factor in “seeding” cloud formation, since this form of radiation penetrates more deeply into the solar system – and consequently our atmosphere, during years of low solar activity – i.e. sunspots, solar flares, CMEs and coronal holes etc……But during the years of high solar activity, a stronger solar wind helps to keep out cosmic radiation…….Whenever there are instances of strong solar winds – as seen above, a phenomenon termed “Forbush decrease” occurs……A “Forbush decrease ”is a rapid decrease in galactic cosmic ray intensity… It occurs due to the magnetic field of the ionised solar wind sweeping some of the galactic cosmic rays away from Earth……An increase in Auroras and / or severe Ionospheric disturbance are often marked by Forbush decrease)

 

The volcanic part of the global cooling equation along with my own study of Moon  / Earth and planet interactions and the consequences of such (and other studies of different phenomena) have lead me to determine that the winter of 2011 / 2012 in the northern hemisphere is very likely to be one of the most severe in modern times.

 

Should my thinking regarding this scenario be correct, then many people across the planet will suffer greatly.

 

Financial events are continuing to become ever grimmer as each day goes by.

 

This fact, along with a my hypothesised severe winter scenario, could be the cause of great misery – heating / lighting disruptions, food shortages, travel disruption on a grand scale and so on  could well become the norm this winter……..Deaths, especially amongst old people, could rise dramatically compared to previous winters.

 

Should this winter pan out the way that I expect it to, then it will beautiful and awesome, but also deadly!!!

 

…………………………………………………………………………………….

 

You may find the links below interesting……………..

 

Winter of 2010–2011 in Europe   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_of_2010%E2%80%932011_in_Europe

 

“A Dalton Minimum could sneak up on us announced”…………………

"NOAA is inflating their Sunspot count by counting specks," says Al Morris. "To get a more scientific count that compares to the old Wolf Sunspot number please review the Landscheidt website."

http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/50

 

 

Latest Satellite Surface Current Forecast for North Atlantic - Loop Current - Gulf Stream   (Animation)

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/ofs/viewer.shtml?-natl-cur-0-small-rundate=latest

Latest Surface Temperature Forecast

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/ofs/viewer.shtml?-natl-temp-0-small-rundate=latest

 

 

 

Final words…………….

 

Although I endeavour to analyse my own data correctly I make mistakes.

 

I repeat that which I wrote at the top of this article………….

 

PART OR MY ENTIRE FORECAST COULD TURN OUT TO BE “WELL OFF THE MARK!!!”

 

 

Richard Crabtree Wednesday July 20th 2011

Richards’s reasons for stockpiling / hoarding / prepping – finances etc.

(Please note that I, Carole Crabtree, am typing this information on behalf of Richard Crabtree as he dictates to me…I am helping Richard because he doesn’t have access to his computer…most, if not all, of the information seen below comes from Richards’s memory and thoughts generally)  

For many years Richard has given provable science based information relating to possible and/or probable scenarios /situations that could well be (and have been in the past) calamitous for the world – or at least for several nations (or certain nations) on our planet

Richard has also produced many predictions relating to the scenarios /situations, mentioned above, over the years…most of his predictions have been very accurate, and this fact is evidenced in several places on the internet, and can be verified by several local people

The types of “possible/probable calamitous scenarios/situations” that Richard informs about are: Financial/economic collapse, Earth-changing events (meteorological, geophysical and astrophysical related), and geopolitical events (please note – that the “main-stream” way of thinking is often at odds with the “alternative” way of thinking…Richards view on many topics is of the “alternative” variety – meaning he “thinks for himself” as opposed to being “force-fed dogma and propaganda” from “main-stream” sources – whether from media, science based, political and other sources)

Because of Richards (and many others) proven track record of accurately (or close to accurate) predicting events of the nature seen above, and because of his many years of personal observations of the mentioned events, he has freely given information to anyone asking about survival under certain conditions – and survival incorporates the actions of the stock-piling (prepping) of foodstuffs – and especially certain foodstuffs which include non-perishables such as dried foods, tinned foods, jarred foods, herbs, spices and so on

Richard has his own (or had his own) stockpile of foods stuffs and many other survival items that has taken him many years to accumulate – and at a relatively high financial cost to himself. Richard has stockpiled many items for the use of his family and for himself (and friends in need – and swapping etc) in the event that there will be no shops etc to buy goods from (this type of situation could last for days, months or years) should certain situations of a calamitous or dire nature occur in the near to mid-term future. Richard has bulk-bought for decades (and he is well known for bulk buying locally – by his family, his friends, various market stall holders etc, various shop owners and various others) whenever there were/are bargains to be had, and/or whenever he had/has the cash to do so. He does not “socialise” by going to pubs etc, but instead prefers to spend any available money that he possesses on useful and sensible items such as food, and other items that will be useful /needed in the event of the said items becoming scarce in the future – or on his family  

Richard has financed his stockpile of “survival items” from money when he worked for a living, to money he now receives from welfare benefits – which at this time amounts to £216-30 per fortnight, and which comes from his entitlement of ESA (employment and support allowance) and from periodically selling various items that he has acquired over the years, items such as precious metals/jewellery, antiques (he used to buy and sell antiques etc years ago), collectables objects etc, and many other general items and tools etc.

Richard does not keep his money in Banks (apart from a small amount, usually around £30/£50, with which to pay for bills relating to direct-debits etc.) or other financial institutions because of their factual reputation of deceiving, and stealing from their customers – and the global population generally, and from their reputation of corrupting various institutions and groups. Consequently, Richard usually carries what available money that he has in his wallet and pockets as he is very aware that there are individuals close to his home who are very capable of burglary (or worse). Carrying all his money with him also helps in the event that if he comes across bargains, and provided he has the necessary amount of money with him (and if he thinks that he can afford it), he can then make a purchase. Carrying paper money, as opposed to credit cards etc, also makes it far easier to haggle – many market traders etc much prefer to deal in ready cash, and Richard has saved a lot of money over the years by haggling, and especially so when making bulk-buys. (When Richard was interviewed on the day in question he had just over £500 plus coins in his wallet and pockets apparently – Richard wasn’t aware as to exactly how much he had at the time…this sum of money was from his ESA payment, and from items that he had sold over the previous weeks leading up to his interview on the day in question…from Richards memory of that day, which is patchy, he seems to think that the interviewers found it unusual that he was carrying that amount, but Richard thinks that he explained why he was carrying that amount – ie, that he didn’t trust Banks and that he always, or usually, carried all of his money with him wherever he went).





Richards’s health issues and related


(Please note that I, Carole Crabtree, am typing this information on behalf of Richard Crabtree as he dictates to me…I am helping Richard because he doesn’t have access to his computer…most, if not all, of the information seen below comes from Richards’s memory and thoughts generally)


Richard has had health problems for many years. He has COPD, diabetes, osteoarthritis, is susceptible to chest related illnesses, is susceptible to blood clots and he, among many others, was exposed to poisonous/toxic dusts/substances while working for Premier Waste Management years ago. In the summer of 2009 he was exposed to asbestos; this fact is well known and is documented by several concerned parties, of which two are the local medical practice and the HSE. Some of the symptoms/manifestations of his illnesses are weakness in limbs, dizziness/ vertigo, pains in his eyes and throughout his body generally, breathlessness, forgetfulness, clouded thinking/disorientation/confusion, insomnia, stress and he is very susceptible to dehydration


External circumstances such as noisy and violent neighbours (not violent towards Richard – yet), living in the flat directly above him and in homes within yards from Richards home have caused Richard much anxiety, sleepless nights and stress over the last 8 years or so. On at least one occasion (possibly twice) Richard was admitted to Bishop Auckland Hospital with severe chest/breathing problems after being disturbed by the violent actions of those living above him at that time. When at home, Richard is constantly on alert and waiting for the next episode to happen. The local police are well aware of this ongoing situation, as are Richards’s landlords – Dale and Valley Homes, various local residents and other parties. Richard has asked the police and his landlords to rectify this ongoing situation for years, but they appear to be nothing about it (one of the recent episodes involved fighting in the communal area of Richard and his closest neighbours flat, and the communal security door was severely damaged – the police were also called to this incident (this incident was witnessed by several local residents). The security door has still not been repaired at the time of writing, and this is just another thing that Richard has to worry about – ie, a feeling of being very vulnerable in his own home


For around a year and a half there have also been family situations that Richard and I (Carole) have found very upsetting. These ongoing situations have caused us both to lose sleep, and have added to the already stressful lives that we both live – and the heath of us both has been affected due to these particular issues


Several people, family and friends, have commented about Richards health-look over the months, and he has been offered help to keep his home clean and tidy – by our daughter, and by myself (he has recently undergone an operation at Darlington Memorial Hospital). But he insists on doing it himself, even though he very often doesn’t feel well enough (he doesn’t want to put more pressure on us needlessly – as he sees it). He often doesn’t know whether he’s coming or going or what day it is – he sometimes leaves home but forgets to take certain foods with him (and water/sea salt, which are a “big-must” in Richards life) that help with his condition, and often his wallet, keys etc - and this is the direct result of all that has been written about further above


Richard does not agree with the use of pharmaceutical drugs and medicines due to their overall toxic effect on the human body, so consequently he uses alternative remedies which involve the use of natural substances such as a certain sea-salt, herbs, spices, tinctures, certain fruits and vegetables and so on. He has informed our family, his friends, and various others over the years as to the usefulness of these alternative remedies. Richard is fairly well known locally for his dealings and views on alternative therapies and health, and because of his general knowledge in this area, along with his views concerning a very possible collapse of global society as we now know it, he has amassed a large amount of food and health enhancing substances should “the muck hit the fan” as he puts it. The foodstuffs etc that Richard has stored over the years is for the benefit of his family, himself, for close friends (should the need arise) and for others, again- should the need arise



Items seized by police on Wednesday August 27th 2014 – their possible sources and the approximate price that Richard possibly paid (note – Richard has no receipts for most, if not all, of the seized items seen further below – also see General Notes and Comments at the end of the itemized list)

(Please note that I, Carole Crabtree, am typing this information on behalf of Richard Crabtree as he dictates to me…I am helping Richard because he doesn’t have access to his computer…most, if not all, of the information seen below comes from Richards’s memory and thoughts generally)

After 2 weeks of trying to remember all of the items that were seized on the day above, and with a few notes that he found in his wallet and elsewhere at his home, Richard has finally concluded that the list of items, as seen below, are those of which were seized – Richard says that they may be more or less items seized (some of the items have been stored for years) than can be seen below, but to the best of his knowledge and memory he says that he is fairly sure that the list should be a close itemized assessment

1…Acer lap-top computer (and some private data that was lying beside the lap-top)

2…approximately 13 to 17 packs (10 times 50gram small packets to 1 pack) of Turners and/or Drum cigarette smoking tobacco (acquired lawfully as gifts or purchased). Most of the packs were in Richards’s bedroom and 3 of the packs were on Richards couch)

3…large carrier bag filled with cigarette boxed tips, cigarette smoking papers, cigarette hand rollers

4…large black bin-liner of interesting/collectable newspapers and comics

5…medium seized black Backpack

6…about half a pack (probably contained 20 or 24 cans originally) of Carling Lager

8…several jars of assorted honey from kitchen

9…several jars of mussels from kitchen

The following items were either tinned or jarred or bottled or in tubs of some kind, or in packets of some kind, and were probably seized from either my living room or bedroom

10…honey

11…baked beans

12…peanut butter

13…pickled beetroot

14…tomatoes

15…pastes/spreads

16…pasta/spaghetti

17…sardines

18…mackerel

19…herring

20…stewing steak / tinned meat (various makes/various preparations/contents)

21…cider vinegar

22…large black bin liner of black peppercorns

23…carriers of various spices, and/or herbs

24…large packs of spices (possibly Turmeric and Ginger and Cayenne Pepper ? and possibly from 124-126 Gladstone Street, Darlington)

25…potatoes / some large tins, some smaller tins

26…large bag of Danival sea-salt – 4 kg of fine and 26 kg of course (most were possibly from 37 Broughton St, Edinburgh and some from “Pauline” the herbalist at Durham indoor market – now retired)

27…various cooking oils

28…approximately 2 to 3 year’s supply of toilet rolls (Morrison’s and B&M Bargains – from floor to ceiling and approximately two to four large packets deep, and similarly wide)

29…porridge oats (probably Asda)

30…snack pots (famous brand – can’t remember the name)

31…noodles

32…several packs of tea light candles

33…bicarbonate of soda

34…dark chocolate biscuits

35…water filters

36…potato powder

37…assorted bars of chocolate

38…pickled eggs

39…jars of sea food

40…crab meat

General Notes and Comments

1…the Acer lap-top was purchased a few years, but Richard still can’t find the receipt at the time of writing, and he can’t remember where he bought it from

2…most of the smoking tobacco was bought by Richard in good faith over the last 2 or 3/4 years or so, and 3 packs had been given to him as presents from old clients of Richard (Richard was/is a qualified Holistic Therapist but he hasn’t taken clients for many years because of his health issues). Assuming there were 17 packs (minus 3 gifts) it has cost Richard at least £1,750 and as much as £2,100.If the packs were Turners (most likely because they were cheaper to buy), then Richard has paid around £125 to £150 per single pack, if the packs were Drum, then Richard says it cost him around £150 – and he thinks that he remembers buying at least 1 pack of Drum within the last two years, but he isn’t certain. The packs that he actually paid for were bought from tobacconists apparently (whether shop, market stall or other retailing outlet) in either Sunderland and/or Newcastle. Various acquaintances of Richard have apparently bought the tobacco for him from one or both of the two cities mentioned. Richard paid around £125 per 1 pack of Turners a few years ago, but the price had gone up to around £150 per pack around a year or so ago apparently

3…the contents of the large carrier bag filled with cigarette boxed tips, cigarette smoking papers, cigarette hand rollers were definitely bought from John Boughy (or Arthur ?) -  both are market stall holders on Crook Market

4…the Danival sea salt was definitely bought from Scotland via internet, and/or from a retired herbalist who owned a shop/stall in Durham indoor market

5…most, if not all of the foodstuffs were bought from most, some or all of the following retail outlets

…Market stalls,car boot sales and/or indoor/outdoor table-top sellers selling from the following places……Durham City…Darlington…Sunderland… Houghton-le-Spring… Barnard Castle… Consett… Stanley…Crook…Bishop Auckland…Stockton… Chester Le Street…Sedgefield… Hexham

…Shops – mostly in Crook…Bishop Auckland…Durham City…Darlington…some of the shops that various foodstuffs were bought from were Heron Frozen Foods Ltd Bishop Auckland … Poundland (?) Bishop Auckland… Morrisons Bishop Auckland…. Asda Bishop Auckland

6…Richard seems fairly certain that all of the pickled beetroot was bought at Morrisons Bishop Auckland

7…the noodles, spaghetti and pasta were bought at Morrisons, Asda or from market stalls

8…the tinned meats, seafood, tomatoes were bought from various market stalls etc and various shops

9… Richard seems fairly certain that all of the baked beans were bought at Morrisons Bishop Auckland

10…the candles were probably bought at Asda or  Morrisons earlier this year as Richard seems to remember that they were good value for money and he was doing heating experiments (flowerpot heaters) at the time

11…the potatoes, some large tins, some smaller tins, were possibly bought from one of several shops in Bishop Auckland or Darlington and/or market stalls etc

12…the snack pots were bought from one or all three of the following places Richard believes - he thinks that they were on special offer at the time – whether earlier this year, last year or the year before… Co-op,Crook… Morrisons Bishop Auckland… Asda Bishop Auckland

13… all of the spices and herbs etc were bought at many different towns and from many different types of retailers – some of them are probably years old…Richard has paid different prices for the jars/packets of spices – from full price in supermarkets (Asian types and other) etc, to as little as 25p (especially when bought in bulk) from all of the other retail outlets as detailed further above

14…everything else came from many different sources and from several different places, Richard has paid full price in shops/supermarkets, and as little as 20p per jar/tin/can/packet etc to £1 on average, but generally speaking he has very regularly paid much cheaper prices on many items at many retail outlets (as seen further above) as opposed to the well-known supermarket brand names

15…on several occasions Richard has bulk-bought with various friends who were with him, and who often bulk-bought at the same time – these particular friends can easily verify this, and Richard has had their permission to mention their names should he decide to. Once saying this, because of his embarrassment at the situation he now finds himself in, he prefers not to name names at this time

16…Richard is very well known for his bulk-buying episodes over the years, especially so from most of his (my) family, and from several friends and acquaintances. Various food retailers, George Bolam Butchers (originally at Ferryhill) for example, were very aware of Richards bulk-buying sprees over 20 years ago. As time has gone by though, through to the present day, Richard is finding it increasingly difficult to find the money to “stock up”. He has lived on welfare benefits for several years, and most of his benefits have been spent on “family prepping” as he often calls it. He has also sold a lot of his personal possessions to finance his everyday food/prepping spending, and the few of his only pleasures – smoking herbs mixed with tobacco (although he shouldn’t be smoking at all), a daily single can of cheap supermarket lager and probably his biggest material pleasure – doing his health related and metaphysical research/articles etc on the internet

17…many people apparently find stock-piling for possible future hard times either very funny – or ridiculous. Richard, and many others, would (and do), on the other hand, consider the “act of prepping” as being aware that possible future times may not turn out as nice as they now may seem, and without a supply of food etc to see you through for days, or even years possibly  – you die. And as Richard points out to any interested party…

“Financial collapses are by design – as are all wars. Austerity measures are killing people. Governments are intent on taking us to war with Syria and others. The global economy is rapidly going-down-the-shute. Prepping? Who wants prepping! Well I certainly do for one.”   






Richards’s noisy and violent neighbours - and his lack of sleep and general stress / health issues


(Please note that I, Carole Crabtree, am typing this information on behalf of Richard Crabtree as he dictates to me…I am helping Richard because he doesn’t have access to his computer…most, if not all, of the information seen below comes from Richards’s memory and thoughts generally)


In other notes related to the incident on Wednesday August 27th 2014 you will read that Richard has had health problems for many years. He has COPD, diabetes, osteoarthritis, is susceptible to chest related illnesses, is susceptible to blood clots and so on. In these other notes you will also see that some of the symptoms/manifestations of his illnesses are weakness in limbs, dizziness/ vertigo, pains in his eyes and throughout his body generally, breathlessness, forgetfulness, clouded thinking/disorientation/confusion, insomnia, stress and he is very susceptible to dehydration


Here is an extract from some of the other notes mentioned… “External circumstances such as noisy and violent neighbours (not violent towards Richard – yet), living in the flat directly above him and in homes within yards from Richards home have caused Richard much anxiety, sleepless nights and stress over the last 8 years or so. On at least one occasion (possibly twice) Richard was admitted to Bishop Auckland Hospital with severe chest/breathing problems after being disturbed by the violent actions of those living above him at that time. When at home, Richard is constantly on alert and waiting for the next episode to happen. The local police are well aware of this ongoing situation, as are Richards’s landlords – Dale and Valley Homes, various local residents and other parties. Richard has asked the police and his landlords to rectify this ongoing situation for years, but they appear to be nothing about it (one of the recent episodes involved fighting in the communal area of Richard and his closest neighbours flat, and the communal security door was severely damaged – the police were also called to this incident (this incident was witnessed by several local residents). The security door has still not been repaired at the time of writing, and this is just another thing that Richard has to worry about – ie, a feeling of being very vulnerable in his own home.”


Before reading the rest of the notes further below, please be aware that around 6 or 7 years ago Lynn Hanson and Steve Green – both Tenancy Enforcement Officers for Dale and Valley Homes – advised Richard to keep written records (a diary) of all incidents involving noisy and violent neighbours – whether living directly above him, or in the immediate area to his home. Lynn, Steve and various polices officers had also advised Richard to call the police in the event of disturbances etc. Richard has kept notes for many years of all of the disturbances that he has witnessed (and that various others have also witnessed), and there have been many such disturbances, sometimes several times a week, but throughout the years - at least once a week. Most of Richards written records were/are held on his computer - which at the moment the police are holding. Richards notes stored on his computer can be seen in his diary, and these notes are highlighted in red typescript.


The neighbours involved here, and/or their/his family members, throw cigarette ends and various other items onto the communal garden and onto the lawn area and paths at the rear of Richards home. Richard has also seen and heard people throwing pebbles at the windows of the flat above his, Chris and Tara shouting from their windows, Chris howling like a dog from his windows, Chris screaming or shouting  at people from his windows (Steve Green witnessed this on at least one occasion). Richard has also received a letter from the Refuse & Recycling team, dated August 4th 2014, – Durham County Council – implying that he (Richard) puts food waste etc into the recycling bins – when in fact it is Tara and Chris that have filled the bins with inappropriate waste. The tenants in the flat above Richards flat have also been the cause, one way or another, of a fair amount of damage to the shared communal area of the two flats involved


Some recent events involving Chris Bowes and Tara Brown – the two tenants living in the flat directly above Richards flat…


On Friday September 19th at 6-40am Richard heard Tara screaming and a lot of noise from the flat above. At 6-47am Chris was shouting at Tara to “pack her gear up and F…Off” – then he slammed the communal door and left. At 3-55pm both of them arrived home - Chris carrying a large case of Fosters lager. From around 11pm noise levels began increasing in the flat above – sounds of rapid and heavy footsteps and the odd bump etc. At around 12 midnight loud voices could be heard, then around 12-10am on Saturday September 20th screaming, shouting and things being knocked over or thrown about could be heard. This situation became more audible over the next half hour (Richard could hear Tara crying and screaming, from what appeared to be in the communal entrance area, and she appeared to be talking about going to hospital, and she needed clothes to wear?). At this time, 12-40am, Richard phoned 999 and asked for the police to call. The police arrived around 12-55am and left around 1-22am. One of the police officers asked Richard if the damage to the communal door had just happened, and Richard said that particular damage had happened last week (Richard was mistaken – the communal door damage had in fact happened in the incident that had taken place on


At 6-15pm on Friday August 29th 2014 Richard heard drunken voices coming from the flat above him. At 6-26pm Chris shouted at Tara “if you’re going to start then F…Off” At 6-47pm Tara was shouting and screaming and loud voices could be heard shouting and swearing from around the communal hall area and outside in or around the garden area. The communal door had been badly damaged – the outer and inner door handles were severely twisted and there was glass from the communal security door all over the communal hallway floor and a large rock, or something similar, was on the floor about two feet from Richards entrance door– Richard phoned 999, the police arrived at 6-56pm. Liza, Chris’s sister arrived at 7-03pm. From Richards’s memory the police were in or around the flat above for around 1hour 20minutes. At 9-53pm Chris was shouting threats at someone outside from the communal garden (I, Carole, also this witnessed this)


At 8-53am on Monday September 1st 2014 or Monday September 8th (Richard can’t remember which) Richard phoned Dale and Valley Homes and spoke to Janan Kay (Neighbourhood Officer) and reported the disturbance and the damage (see page one) that took place on Friday August 29th. Janan told Richard that she hadn’t been made aware of the damage prior to his phone call. Richard asked her if the police hadn’t informed Dale and Valley Homes, and Janan seemed sure that they hadn’t. Janan did say that someone else had reported a disturbance the previous Friday in the same area. Richard also told Janan about the loud music and voices coming from the top flat in the corner end of Richards street, and that he had been told about a convicted heroin addict, Steward Johnson, living at that address – Janan said that she would inform Steve Green about it


On September 11th at 6-37am there was a lot of angry voices and swearing coming from the flat above Richards. On September 18th there was shouting and swearing between 6-27pm and 6-40pm. There have been various other loud incidents over the last few weeks, but unfortunately Richard can’t find his notes regarding these other incidents.


Over the years Richard has also asked at least one the tenants that live in the flat above him to secure the communal door and garden gate whenever they leave the property (this issue has also been discussed with various members of Dale and Valley Homes several times over the years) or before they go to bed at night. The gate and door are often left open or unlocked when the tenants above leave the property or go to bed. Richard is very conscious of security issues because he’s had various items stolen from his garden etc – again, Dale and Valley Homes and the local police force are well aware of this fact


Richard finds it very stressful living under the conditions written about above. When he is at home he is constantly on alert and waiting for the next incident to happen, and when he is away from his home he is constantly worrying about what he’s going to go home to. Richards health has suffered over the years from these types of disturbances alone, and not including all of the other stressful things that he’s had to deal with – and especially so over the last year or so. Dale and Valley Homes and various individuals in the local police force are well aware of Richards’s health situation – and have been for years, but no one from these groups appears to be concerned about what happens to him apart from his family and friends