Bank of Italy - Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy Department
Via Nazionale 81, 0100 Roma
+39 - 06/47922726
cristina.conflitti@bancaditalia.it
conflitti.c@gmail.com
Web: https://sites.google.com/site/conflitticristina/
Education:
09/2007- 09/2012: Ph.D. in Economics at ECARES (Supervisor Prof. David Veredas), Université Libre de Bruxelles
09/2010-12/2010: Visiting Scholar (with Prof. Allan Timmermann), University of California, San Diego
09/2006-09/2007: Master Advance in Economics and Statistics ‘Cum Laude’ at ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles (in English)
09/2000-12/2004: Degree in Statistics and Economics ‘Summa Cum Laude’ at Università La Sapienza in Rome
Present position :
November 2015 – Present: Bank of Italy, Economist-statistician Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy Department
Directorate General for Economics, Statistics and Research – Rome, Italy
Previous position :
Economist – statistician at the Bank of Italy, Market Operation Department
Teaching Assistant for the course ‘Graduate Econometrics II’, Prof. Domenico Giannone, Université Libre de Bruxelles
Teaching Assistant for the course ‘Question Approfondie d’econometrie’, Prof. Domenico Giannone, Université Libre de Bruxelles
Consultancy as expert econometrician at DG ECFIN European Commission
Research Analyst and Economist at the European Central Bank, Department of Economics and Department of International Relations
Internship at the European Central Bank, Department of Statistics
Internship at the Italian Ministry of Economic and Finance
Operator for National CENSUS 2001, Rome
Research interest :
Applied Econometrics, Time Series Analysis, Forecasting
Research and Publications:
"New Facts on Consumer Price Rigidity in the Euro Area" (with Guatier et al.), 2024, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 16(4), 386-431
"Public debt management and Maastricht treaty: an empirical analysis of deficit smoothing for Italy" (with Bernardo Maggi) , 2022, book chapter,, 135-152.
"What's behind firms' inflation forecasts? (with Roberta Zizza) , Empirical economics, 2020, SpringerLink, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01958-5
"Oil price pass-through into core inflation" (with Matteo Luciani) , The Energy Journal, 2019, Vol.40 Issue 6
“Optimal Combination of Survey Forecast” (with Christine De Mol and Domenico Giannone), International Journal of Forecasting , Vol. 31(2015), 1096-1103
“Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey of Professional Forecasters” Journal of Business Cycle and Measurement Analysis, Volume 2011 Issue 2
“Is the euro advantageous? Does it foster European feelings? Europeans on the euro after five years" - CONFLITTI Cristina, and JONUNG Lars. EUROPEAN ECONOMY. ECONOMIC PAPERS. 313. March 2008
Working papers:
"Consumer Price Stickiness in the Euro Area During an inflation surge", (with Guatier et al.) mimeo
"Price setting during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic", (with Henkel et al.), ECB Occasional Paper 2023/24, 2023
"New facts on cosumer price rigidity in the euro area "; ECB Working PAPER SERIES No 2669 - 2022
"Inflation measurement and its assessment in the ECB's monetary policy strategy review"; ECB OCCASIONAL PAPER SERIES No 265 - 2021
“Firms’ inflation expectations and pricing strategies during Covid-19”, (with Bottone, M, M Riggi and A Tagliabracci) -Questioni di Economia e Finanza , n. 619 - 2021
"What's behind firms' inflation forecasts? (with Roberta Zizza) - Questioni di Economia e Finanza n.465 - 2018
"Oil prices and inflation expectations" (with Riccardo Cristadoro) - Questioni di Economia e Finanza n.423 - 2018
Vox article: " Oil prices do not affect inflation expectations after all", https://voxeu.org/article/oil-prices-do-not-affect-inflation-expectations-after-all
"Oil price pass-through into core inflation" (with Matteo Luciani) - Questioni di Economia e Finanza n.405 - 2017
"Oil price pass-through into core inflation" (with Matteo Luciani) - FED Discussion Series 2017 - 085
"Opinion Surveys on the euro. A Multilevel Multinomial Logistic Analysis"- ECARES WP2009-015 ECORE WP 2009-49
Referre activity
Empirical economics, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Applied Statistics, Journal of Money Credit and Banking, Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis
Languages
Italian (mother tongue), English (fluent), French (fluent), Portuguese (good)
Conferences and seminars
September 2019, MMF 50th Anniversary Conference
June 2019, 2019 IJCB Conference
May 2019, FED Cleveland: Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019
August 2017 EEA-ESEM Lisbon
August 2017 WinE EEA-ESEM Lisbon
April 2011 : European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
February 2011: Banque de France, Paris, France
January 2011: Bank of Canada, Ottawa, Canada
October 2010: 30th CIRET Conference “Economic Tendency Surveys and Services Sector”, New York, USA
February 2010: ENTER Jamboree 2010, Université Toulouse 1, Toulouse, France.
June 2009 : 4th Brussels Waseda Seminar on Time Series and Financial Statistics, Brussels, Belgium
February 2009: ENTER Jamboree 2009, UCL, London, UK.
June 2008: ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium.