Working Papers

Causal Narratives (with Constantin Charles)

reject and resubmit, Econometrica

(Supplemental Material)

(Previous Version)

Media coverage: Financial Times

Noisy Foresight (with Anujit Chakraborty

revise and resubmit, Journal of the European Economic Association

The Common Good and Voter Polarization (with John G. Matsusaka)

conditionally accepted, Journal of the European Economic Association

Political Parties as Drivers of U.S. Polarization: 1927-2018 (with Nathan Canen and Francesco Trebbi)

revise and resubmit, Journal of Political Economy

Senate 2D Ideologies; Senate 1D Ideologies; House 1D Ideologies  

Future Self-Proof Elicitation Mechanisms (with Anujit Chakraborty)