tenCarlin Economics

     and Science     

This is the home page of Alan Carlin's personal Website, featuring his applications of environmental economics and science by public policy issueclimate science, transportation economics, and economic development to address public policy issues.  The publications are listed in reverse chronological order.  The remaining parts of his resume can be downloaded hereA much more extensive website in a more dynamic blog format and containing a continuing series of new posts concerning climate science and economics can be found here.  This describes some of the most policy relevant aspects in as simple terms as possible in addition to containing all of the features of this Website.  A number of the publications listed on this Website are discussed in more detail in my 2015 book entitled Environmentalism Gone Mad listed below and available for purchase here.


Ph.D., Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA

B.S., Physics, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA


Senior Operations Research Analyst, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, 1974 to 2010

Director, Implementation Research Division, USEPA, 1971-74

Economist, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, 1963-71.

Publications in Reverse Chronological Order

Environmentalism Gone Mad: How a Sierra Club Activist and Senior EPA Analyst Discovered a Radical Green Energy Fantasy, 2015, Stairway Press, Mount Vernon, WA. Available for purchase from book Webpage. 

Modern Environmentalism: A Longer Term Threat to Western Civilization, Energy and Environment, Vol. 24, No. 6, 2013, pp. 1063-72. Abstract and first page

The Increasing Need for Research on Geoengineering Approaches to Reducing Potential Global Cooling, in Yu. A. Izrael, A. G. Ryaboshapko, and S. A. Gromov, editors, Investigation of Possibilities of Climate Stabilization Using New Technologies, Proceedings of International Scientific Conference, “Problems of Adaptation to Climate Change” (Moscow, 7–9 November 2011), Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, 2012, pp. 24-34.

A Multidisciplinary, Science-Based Approach to the Economics of Climate Change, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 8, No. 4, April, 2011, pp. 985-1031.

Comments on Draft Technical Support Document for Endangerment Analysis for Greenhouse Gas Emissions under the Clean Air Act, unpublished report prepared for the US Environmental Protection Agency but not representing the Agency's views, final version dated March 16, 2009.  Designed to be printed double-sided.  PDF file size is 4MB.  Press coverage includes the following: CBSNews, NYTimes, Wall Street Journal news and opinion, and  London TelegraphAbstract and additional information on climate science.  For commentary on a September NYTimes story see here.

Why a Different Approach Is Required if Global Climate Change Is to Be Controlled Efficiently or Even at All, Environmental Law and Policy Review, Vol. 32, Issue 2, Spring, 2008, pp. 685-757.  Abstract

Risky Gamble, Environmental Forum, Vol. 24, No. 5, September/October, 2007, pp. 42-7.  Abstract

Global Climate Change Control: Is There a Better Strategy than Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions?, University of Pennsylvania Law Review, Vol. 155, No. 6, June, 2007, pp. 1401-97Abstract

Implementation and Utilization of Geoengineering for Global Climate Change Control, Sustainable Development Law and Policy , Vol. 7, No. 2, Winter, 2007, pp. 56-58. Abstract

The New Challenge to Cost-Benefit Analysis: How Sound Is the Opponents' Empirical Case?  Regulation, Fall 2005, pp. 18-23.

Measures of Mortality Risks (with W. Kip Viscusi and John K. Hakes), 1997  Abstract  Full Text: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 14, No. 3, May/June, 1997, pp. 213-33.  Earlier report to EPA.

Cost Savings from the Use of Market Incentives for Pollution Control (with Robert C. Anderson, Albert M. McGartland, and Jennifer B. Weinberger),  1997, in Richard F. Kosobud and Jennifer M. Zimmerman (editors), Market-Based Approaches to Environmental Policy: Regulatory Innovations to the Fore, Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, 1997, pp. 15-46. 

EPA Comments on Proposed NOAA/DOI Regulations on Natural Resource Damage Assessment, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., October, 1994.  Abstract:

Environmentally Responsible Energy Pricing (with W. Kip Viscusi, Wesley A. Magat, and Mark Dreyfus), 1994Abstract   Full text: Energy Journal, Vol. 15, No. 2, April, pp. 23-42.  An earlier version of the report is available here. The full report on which both are based can be found here.

The United States Experience with Economic Incentives to Control Environmental Pollution, Report No. 230-R-92-001, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., July, 1992.  Abstract

Environmental Investments: The Cost of Cleaning Up (with Paul F. Scodari and Don H. Garner), 1991.  Full text: Environment, Vol. 34, No. 2, March, pp. 12-45.

Environmental Investments: The Cost of a Clean Environment, A Summary (with the assistance of the Environmental Law Institute), 1990, Report No. EPA-230-90-084, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., December. Abstract

Environmental Investments: The Cost of a Clean Environment, Report of the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency to the Congress of the United States, 1990, Report No. EPA-230-90-083, November.  Republished with previous entry by Island Press, Washington, D.C. and Covelo, CA, 1991. Abstract

“Introduction,” in Thomas D. Crocker (editor), in Economic Perspectives on Acid Rain Control, Butterworth, Stoneham, MA, 1984.

Benefits of Pollution Control, March 1974.  Full text: Philip L. White and Diane Roberts (editors), Environmental Quality and Food Supply, Futura Publishing Company, Mt. Kisco, New York, pp. 39-47.

The Grand Canyon Controversy; or, How Reclamation Justifies the Unjustifiable, 1973.  Full text: in Alain C. Enthoven and A. Myrick Freeman (editors), Pollution, Resources, and the Environment, W. W. Norton, New York, 1973, pp. 263-270. Absract and order info.

Environmental Problems: Their Causes, Cures and Evoluton Using Southern California Smog as an Example (with George Kocher), Report R-640-CC/RC,The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, May, 1971.  Abstract and order info.

Water Resources Development in an Environmentally-Conscious Era, 1971.  Full text: Water Resources Bulletin, Vol. 7, No. 4, April, 1971, pp. 221-223. Reprinted in Charles J. Meyers and A. Dan Tarlock (editors), Selected Legal and Economic Aspects of Environmental Protection, Foundation Press, Mineola, New York, 1971, pp. 53-56.

Marginal Cost Pricing of Airport Runway Capacity (with R. E. Park), 1970.  Full text: American Economic Review, Vol. LX, No. 3, June, ppl. 310-9.  Reprinted in Peter Forsyth, Kenneth Button, and Peter Nijkamp (editors), Air Transport Classics in Transport Analysis. Edward Elgar Publishing, Northampton, MA, 2002, pp. 491-5000.  Abstract and order info.

A Model of Long Delays at Busy Airports (with R. E. Park), 1970, Journal of Transport Economcis and Policy, Vol. IV, No. 1, January, pp. 37-62.  Abstract and order info.

The Efficient Use of Airport Runway Capacity in a Time of Scarcity (with R. E. Park), 1969, Report R‑5807‑PA, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, August.  Abstract and order info.

Alternative Development Strategies for Air Transportation in the New York Region, 1970‑1980 (with H. S. Campbell, S. L. Katten, T. F. Kirkwood, D. M. Landi, R. E. Park, L. Rounnau, and A. J. Rolfe), 1969, Report RM‑5815‑PA, The RAND Corporation, August.

An Economic Re-Evaluation of the Proposed Los Angeles Rapid Transit System (with Martin Wohl), 1968, Paper P-3918, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA.  Abstract and order info

The Economics of Transport Development, 1968, in United Nations Development Programme, Fund of the United Nations for the Development of West Irian, A Design for Develop­ment in West Irian, United Nations, New York, pp. 162‑170.

The Grand Canyon Controversy: Lessons for Federal Cost-Benefit Practices, 1968,.  Full text: Land Economics, Volume XLIV, No. 2, May, pp. 219‑227.  Reprinted in Charles J. Meyers and A. Dan Tarlock (eds.), Water Resource Management, Foundation Press, Mineola, New York, 1971, pp. 459‑468.  Earlier version printed in U.S. Congress, Senate, Committee on Interior and Insular Affairs, Central Arizona Project, Hearings before Subcommittee, 90th Congress, 1st Session, May 2‑5, 1967, pp. 507‑514.  Also in House Committee on Interior and Insular Affairs, Colorado River Basin Project, Hearings before Subcommittee, 90th Congress, 1st Session, March 13‑17, 1967, pp. 611‑618.  Abstract and order info.

Vehicle Safety: Why the Market Did Not Encourage It and How It Might Be Made To Do So, 1968, Report RM‑5634‑DOT, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, April.  Abstract.


Indian Transportation: A Sectoral Approach to Developmental Constraints, 1967, The Journal of Development Studies, July, pp. 414‑439.  Abstract and order info.


Project versus Program Aid: From the Donor's Viewpoint, 1967, The Economic Journal, March, pp. 48‑58.  Reprinted in Stephen Spiegelglas and Charles J. Welsh (ed.), Economic Develop­ment: Challenge and Promise, Prentice‑Hall, Englewood Cliffs, 1970, pp. 350‑359.  Also in Gustav Ranis (ed.), The United States and the Developing Economies, Revised Edition, W. W. Norton, New York, 1973, pp. 158‑171.  Abstract and order info.


The Grand Canyon Controversy--1967: Further Economic Comparisons of Nuclear Alternatives” (with William E. Hoehn), Senate Hearings, op. cit., pp. 489‑497 and House Hearings, pp. 619‑625.  Abstract and order info.


Is the Marble Canyon Project Economically Justified? (with William E. Hoehn) 1967, printed in U.S. Congress, House, Committee on Interior and Insular Affairs, Lower Colorado River Basin Project, Hearings before Subcommittee, Part II, May 9‑18, pp. 1497‑1512.  Abstract and order info.

Mr. Udall's ‘Analysis’: An Unrepentant Rejoinder (with William E. Hoehn), 1966, ibid., pp. 1521‑1535.  Abstract

Review of "Aspects of Economic Development and Policy" by B. K. Madon, American Economic Review, September, pp. 900-902.  

A Possible U.S. Policy towards Indian Transportation: An Illustration of Improved Sectoral Policies, 1965, Report RM‑4379‑AID, The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, June.  Abstract and order info.


An Evaluation of U.S. Government Aid to India, June 1964 (partial text through Chapter 2).  Abstract.