Research


Publications


The North Korean Economy (in English)

  • The Possibility of Economic Reform in North Korea (with Keun Lee and Insook Lee), Journal of Contemporary Asia, Vol. 39, No. 2, 2009, 279-294.
  • Financial Sector Reform in Transition Economies: Implications for North Korea (co-edited with Cheng Hoon Lim), IMF and SNU Press, 2009. 9. 

The Soviet Economic System

  • Shortages and the Informal Economy in the Soviet Republics: 1965–1989 (with Y. Shida), Economic History Review, Vol. 70, Issue 4, 2017, pp. 1346-1374.
  • Corruption and Growth in a Partially Centralised Economy (with Mark Harrison), Journal of Economic History Vol. 66. No. 1, 2006, pp. 1-41 (lead article)
  • Informal Economy Activities of Soviet Households: Size and Dynamics, Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 31, No. 3, September 2003, 532-551.
  • Causes of Repressed Inflation in the Soviet Consumer Market: Retail Price Subsidies, the Siphoning Effect, and the Budget Deficit, Economic History Review, Vol. 55, No. 1, 2002, 105-127.
  • The Income, Savings and Monetary Overhang of Soviet Households, Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 27, No. 4, December 1999, 644-668.
  • Soviet Household Saving Function, Economics of Planning, Vol. 30, No. 3, 1997, 181-203.

 

The Informal Economy During Transition

  • The Unofficial Market in Russia in Handbook of the Russian Economy edited by M. Alexeev and W. Shlomo, Oxford University Press, 2013.
  • Informal Economy and Growth of Small Enterprises: Evidence from Russian Regions (with Y. Kang), Economics of Transition Vol. 17. No. 2, 2009, 351-376.
  • The Dynamics of Moonlighting: What is happening in the Russian Informal Economy? (with A. Guariglia), Economics of Transition, Vo. 14, No. 1, 2006, pp. 1-45 (lead article)
  • Poverty and Informal Economy Participation in Transition Countries: Evidence from Romania, Economics of Transition, Vo. 13, No. 1, 2005, 163-186.
  • Russian Households Participation in the Informal Economy: Evidence from VTsIOM Data, Economics of Transition, Vol. 10, No. 3, 2002, 685-713.
  • The Informal Economy and the Duration of Entrepreneurship in Russia (with Kyung Hyun Koo), Comparative Economic Studies (비교경제연구), 2010, 129-156.

 

Political Economy of Transition

  • Political Economy of Private Firms inChina (with Di Guo, Kun Jiang, and Chenggang Xu), Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 42, No. 2, 2014, pp. 286-303.
  • Policy Responsiveness in Post-communist Europe: Public Preferences and Economic Reform (with Andrew Roberts), The British Journal of  Political Science, 2011, Vol. 41,819-839.
  • The Political Economy of Reforms: Empirical Evidence from Post-communist Transition in the 1990s (with Jukka Pirtilla), Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 34, No. 3, 2006, pp. 446-466.
  • Economic Experience and Market Commitment in the 1996 Russian Election (with S. Sidorenko), Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 51, No. 3, 1999, 467-482.

    Macroeconomics of Transition

    • Modeling Inflation in Poland: A Structural Cointegration Approach, Eastern European Economics, Vol. 46, No. 6, 2008, 63-72.
    • Equilibrium Real Effective Exchange Rates in Transition Economies (with Iikka Korhonen), Economic Systems, Vol. 29, No. 2, 2005, pp.144-162
    • Money, Barter and Inflation in Russia (with Jukka Pirtilla), Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 32, No. 2, 2004, 297-314. 

     

        Household and Enterprise Behaviour During Transition

    • Interaction among New Firm Formation, Privatization, and Business Environment in Transition Countries." (with Jong-Kyu Lee and Youngho Kang), Seoul Journal of Economics, Vol. 30 (2), 2017
    • Financial Systems and EnterpriseRestructuring in Eastern Europe (with J. Park), Eastern European Economics, Vol. 54, 2016, 503-520.
    • Ownership Structure and Firm Performance: Evidence from the Chinese Corporate Reform (withYoung-Sam Kang), China Economic Review, Volume 23, Issue 2, 2012. 471–481.
    • Earnings Uncertainty, Precautionary Saving, and Moonlighting in Russia (with A. Guariglia), Journal of Population Economics, Vol. 18, No. 2, 2004, 289-310.
    • The Gender Wage Gap and Wage Arrears in Russia: Evidence from the RLMS (with Chris Gerry and Carmen Li), Journal of Population Economics, Vol. 18, No.2, 2004, 267-288.
    • Wage Arrears and Precautionary Savings in Russia (with A. Guariglia), Economics of Transition, Vol. 11, No.3, September 2003, 463-491.
    • The Effects of Consumption Variability on Saving: Evidence from a Panel of Muscovite Households (with A. Guariglia), Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics Vol. 65, No.3, July 2003, 357-77.

    Economic Growth and others

              l   Immigration and economic growth: do origin and destination matter? (with Youngho Kang), Applied Economics, Vol. 50, Issue 46, 2018, pp. 4968-4984. 

    • Social Capital and Entrepreneurial Activity: A Pseudo-panel Approach (with Youngho Kang), Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 97, Jan. 2014, 47-60.
    • Big Businesses and Economic Growth: Identifying a Binding Constraint for Growth with Country Panel Analysis (with Keun Lee, Young-Yoon Park, and Elias Sanidas), Journal of Comparative Economics, Vo. 41, Issue 2, 2013, 561-582..
    • Both Institutions and Policies Matter but Differently for Different Income Groups of Countries: Determinants of Long-run Growth Revisited (with Keun Lee), World Development, Vol. 37, No. 3, 2009, 533-549.
    • The Studies of Economic Systems of Comparative Economics: Beyond Economics of Transition, Journal of Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. 7, March,  2012, 11-21.

    북한 경제와 체제이행

    저서와 논문

    • 북한과 동북아 경제, 네트워크 개발 전략』 (편저), 이조, 2019. 
    • 중국의 대북무역과 투자단둥시 현지 기업 조사(김병연정승호), 서울대 출판문화원, 2015.
    • 『개성공단(김병로, 김병연, 박명규 외 8인), 진인진, 2015.
    • 북한경제에서의 시장과 정부,(김병연·양문수), 서울대 출판문화원, 2012.
    • 남북한 경제통합(이장로,김병연양운철 편), 한울, 2015.
    • 남북통합지수, 2008-2013: 변동과 함의, (김병연·김병로·박명규·정은미), 서울대학교 통일평화연구원, 2013.
    • 북한국제화 2017, (박명규·전재성·김병연·장용성·송영훈), 서울대학교 통일평화연구원, 2013.
    • 연성복합통일론』 (박명규 외 8), 서울대 출판문화원, 2010.
    • 남북통합지수, 1980-2008서울대학교출판부, (김병연·김병로·박명규·정은미), 2009. (2010년 학술원 우수도서 선정)
    • 북한경제성장의 결정요인포스리경영경제연구, 2011, 63-81.
    • 북한의 체제이행과 남북경제통합·통일 모형경제논집, 2009.3
    • 북한의 국민소득추정치와 평가수은북한경제, 2008

    북챕터

    • 김정은 체제의 북한 경제, 『북한의 오늘 II(윤영관 편저), 늘품플러스, 2019.
    • 체제전환국의 금융개혁 사례” 북한의 금융(한국수출입은행), 오름, 2016.
    • 통계를 이용한 북한 경제 이해(문성민김병연김영훈최지영김석진), 한국은행, 2014.
    • 통일한국의 경제비전” 통일한국의 국가상과 한중협력(배정호 외), 통일연구원, 2014.
    • 김정은 시대 북한의 경제” 북한의 오늘(윤영관 편저), 늘품플러스, 2014.
    • 체제전환국의 경제성장 요인 분석북한 경제개혁에 대한 함의(정형곤,김병연, 이재완,방호경,홍이경), 대외경제정책연구원, 2014.
    • 통계를 이용한 북한경제 이해(문성민김병연, 김영훈최지영김석진), 한국은행, 2014.
    • 대북정책균형있는 포용정책 추진” 한국외교 2020 어디로 가야하나(윤영관 편저), 늘품플러스, 2013.
    • 북한의 시장화 현황과 경제체제의 변화전망, (정형곤·김병연·이석), 대외경제정책연구원, 2012.
    • 체제이행의 경제학개념과 모델” 남북한 경제통합 연구북한 경제의 개혁 및 이행 전략(이석 편), KDI, 2012.
    • "남북한 화폐통합” 통일한국정부론(임도빈·김병섭 편저), 나남신서, 2012.
    • 북한경제의 시장화비공식화 가설평가를 중심으로”, 7·1경제개선관리조치 이후의 북한 경제와 사회계획에서 시장으로』 윤영관·양운철 편저도서출판 한울2009.
    • 러시아 비공식부문이 정부 재정수입에 미치는 영향”, 비교경제연구김민정김병연,박정수, 2008.
    • “사회주의 경제개혁과 체제이행의 정치적 조건”, 비교경제연구김병연, 2005. 9
         한국 경제와 사회
    • 서울대 경제학자 8인이 말하는 한국경제 (정운찬, 김병, 김세직, 김영식, 박상인, 이정민, 이철희, 주병기), 율곡출판사, 2017. 2
      • 복지정치의  얼굴  (안상훈,김병연,장덕진한규섭강원택), 2015. 1
      • 당신은 중산층입니까  (강원택김병연안상훈이재열,최인철), 2014. 9
      • 한국형 시장경제체제  (이영훈이근이건범김주훈김창욱김정근이명헌이철희,김낙년김선빈김병연) , 2014. 12
      • 『한국사회와 기업의 경쟁력』, (병연이재열김광억전재성홍기현),서울대출판문화원, 2012 (2012년 학술원 우수도서 선정)
      •   "포스코와 한국경제서지적실증적 분석을 중심으로", 경영사학, 2011, 5-49.
      • 애덤 스미스가 본 사회통합과 경제성장경제인을 중심으로”, 현상과인식김병연, 2007. 6
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