PUBLICATIONS & FORTHCOMING PAPERS 

Wage Cyclicality and Labor Market Sorting 

AER:Insights, 2022

Mismatch Cycles, with I. Baley and R. Ulbricht

Journal of Political Economy, 2022

Coverage: Marginal Revolution

CURRENT RESEARCH

The (Unequal) Job Security Scars of Displacement, with Olivier Marie and Agnieszka Markiewicz 

R&R - Journal of Public Economics

Displaced workers experience sizable and persistent losses in job security. Eligibility for a lump-sum transfer significantly offsets these losses, attenuating the wage cost of job loss.

The Illusion Cyclicality in Entry Wages, with Inês Black

R&R - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics

We provide evidence that the high cyclicality of new hires' wages is explained by workers switching occupations. 

Labor Market Beliefs and the Gender Wage Gap, with Christine Braun

Labor market beliefs play an important role in the gender wage gap, but matter little for the gender differences in welfare.

Information Frictions in Education and Inequality 

When the college premium is low, the share of college graduates in a school-district is negatively associated with the college enrollment rate of high-school students.This is consistent with a model featuring imperfect information and local learning.

Self-insurance in Turbulent Labor Markets, with I. Baley, C. Mantovani, A. Sepahsalari

The risk of human capital obsolescence decreases reemployment wages and increases savings and unemployment duration.