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Mr. Rahmatullah Hazara is famous Scholar and Intellectual of Pakistan. He has expertise in Current Social and Political Issues and has written many Articles in Different Newspapers and also been presented research papers relevant to his subject "International Relations" in seminars and conferences. He is known an expert in South Asian Studies. After 9/11 this world suffers in threat of "terror" and "terrorism", and this made Mr. Rahmatullah to focus more to know and understand people about the causes and impacts of all the changing scenario in brad spectrum of historical and all other scientific thinking.

His Book in Urdu "osama aur rai aama" ( Osama and public opinion) is his major research based work, which is extraordinary appreciated by people.

Mr. Rahmatullah Hazara is seeking for global peace and social justice through his writings. More on Wikipedia








AL-QAEDA’S

SUCCESS STORY!

by Rahmatullah Hazara

Whether we agree with this view or not, but it is a fact now that though Al-Qaeda has been facing wrath of the U.S. and its allies since 9/11, but it is achieving its target one by one even after devastation of its command and control system and subsequent eviction of its key leaders from Afghanistan. The incident of 9/11 unearthed the fact that the actual bellicosity was between the Neo-Cons and Al-Qaeda and its related Jehadi groups. Besides the robust political, diplomatic, military and economic resources and prowess available at their hands, the Neo-cons not only lost its war against Jehadi forces, but they have contributed in severely damaging reputation of Bush Administration and Republican Party. It is also evident from the fact that no political pundit is ready to tarnish his own reputation by predicting the success of Republican Party’s Presidential nominee in the coming election, except any big surprise in the war on terror. The Bush’s job approval ratio is constantly sliding downward and touched its lowest ebb.

The performance of the U.S. and coalition forces in the war on terror can easily be gauged from the fact that at the start of the campaign, the U.S. was in position of marginalizing and isolating those countries who did not join the coalition forces. Even he did not spare to divide U.S’s closest ally European States into Old & New Europe. But at the moment, the U.S. itself is marginalized and isolated in its war on terror campaign as its allies are leaving the “coalition of willing” one by one. The U.S. did not avoid making the U.N.O. irrelevant, but today anxiously seeking its relevance and legitimacy. Similarly, at the start of the war on terror, the policy of hot-pursuit was carried out against Al-Qaeda’s leaders, but now the heavy security arrangements and restricted movements of coalition leaders looks like that they themselves are victims of hot-pursuit.

Besides the political and military fronts, the economic cost is also robust and devastative, as nearly three trillion dollars have been spent since 9/11, still the U.S. Officials claim that Al-Qaeda’s capability to attack at mainland America is in-tact. Though the U.S. tried its level best to cripple financially Al-Qaeda, but the U.S. itself is facing budget deficit and economic recession which is intensifying with each passing day. The devaluation of dollar as international currency is another problem which is beyond the control of Bush Administration. The Iraqi oil and other resources were about to be made an asset for the U.S. but due to strict resistance offered by the Jehadi forces plus chaos and turbulence, today Iraq is turning into a liability. Due to global political instability, global economic recession is unmanageable. President Bush is requesting his oil-rich Gulf States especially Saudi Arabia to do more for stabilizing the international oil prices which has hit record high and experts are showing their concern that it will touch the 200 dollars per barrel at the end of this year.

With the defeat of its arch rival Neo-Cons, Al-Qaeda focused its attention in attacking and defeating the U.S. allies in the war on terror and Jose Maria Aznar the then Spanish Prime Minister was the first casualty who lost in the election at the hands of his rival Socialist Party, who bitterly criticized the policy of Aznar by sending Spanish troops in Iraq to support the coalition forces. This target was achieved with Madrid train bomb blast in which more than 192 people killed and many more injured. As a result, the new Government immediately pulled their troops out of Iraq. Another Bush ally British Prime Minister Tony Blair lost his job and credibility because he blindly followed the dotted lines drawn by the Bush Administration in the war on terror. Though Tony Blair managed to alleviate the out cry and reservations of the general public due to the body bags of their soldiers coming back from war zones of Iraq & Afghanistan, but the suicide attacks of 7/7 turned the table of power against him. Replacing him, the new Prime Minister Gordon Brown decreased the number and role of British troops in Iraq. Thereafter, President Bush has to face the defeats of his allies Polish President and Australian Prime Minister John Howard.

Then political climate changed against President Pervez Musharaf, the last stalwart of U.S. President. The “Operation Silent” of Lal Masque at Islamabad, provided Al-Qaeda with golden opportunity to exploit the situation in his favour. Prior to that though Al-Qaeda and Pakistan Military were at head-on collision but Al-Qaeda was unable to use its terrorist activities as a tool in diverting the wrath of the general public against the Musharaf regime. But the scandals of excessive force and use of lethal (allegedly chemical) weapons against the inmates of Lal Mosque severely tarnished the reputation of President Musharaf which caused major uproar amongst the general public. That crucial time was exploited by Al-Qaeda in creating chaos and sense of insecurity amongst the general public. The announcement of general elections provided another advantage to Al-Qaeda for furtherance of its objective. The deal between PPP and Government not only seriously damaged the reputation of Benazir Bhutto, but it also legitimized the attacks on pro-Musharaf politician at this charged atmosphere. The suicide attack on Benazir Bhutto was the continuance of attacks on former political allies of Musharaf (PMLQ). After eight years of self-imposed exile, the return of Benazir to Pakistan was portrayed by local and international Media as political supporter of President Musharaf and perpetuator of U.S’s policies in the war on terror. It is interesting to note that after Iraq, the epicenter of suicide attacks was Afghanistan, but the impacts and intensity was clearly felt in Pakistan. At one time, it seemed that Al-Qaeda’s centre of activities after Iraq was not Afghanistan but Pakistan. In spite of wave of terrorism and suicide attacks the public reaction of suicide attacks was against President Musharaf, while those committed this act are enjoying immunity.

After bringing down the level of cooperation between two Bs (Bush & Blair) in the war on terror, Al-Qaeda was ready to confront their third ally B (Benazir). Though the target killings of formers were out of the reach of Al-Qaeda due to strict security measures, Benazir was an easy target during her election campaign. Now the real political show was between Musharaf allied parties and anti-Musharaf allied parties. As a result of a deal, PPP was believed to be the future political supporter of President Musharaf and guarantor of war on terror campaign.

As Benazir Bhutto was the lynch-pin of the future set-up, therefore, on the one hand she was to be protected by the supporters of war on terror, while on the other hand the opposition of war on terror has to target her by hook or by crook. No other political leader was enjoying such special security arrangements during the election campaign, as did Benazir Bhutto with bullet proof vehicles and jammers by the Government. In this confrontation, Al-Qaeda and its allies succeeded by assassinating her, as a result, Bush and Musharaf nexus became more feeble and fragile. It is noteworthy to mention here that though Al-Qaeda carried out similar failed but fatal attacks against Gen: Musharaf, but at this political juncture the assassination of President Musharaf would not be as much fruitful as it did in the case of Benazir Bhutto. PPP Government is now on defensive position and preoccupied with protecting the fragility of that nexus, instead of intensifying the political and military campaign of war on terror. Al-Qaeda accomplished his mission, now the rest will be accomplished by anti-Musharaf political forces. The assassination of Benazir Bhutto provided an opportunity to Al-Qaeda and its related groups to reinvigorate their file and ranks. The Bush Administration is applying every tactics at their hands for survival of President Musharaf, whose position is very dangerous because some political parties are seeking his removal through impeachment and trial. Though President Bush and his allies faced political defeats, but President Musharaf’s fate is uncertain

A number of political pundits are predicting that President Musharaf cannot survive after October(second term of Bush Administration), but body language of PPP leaders and Government are constantly giving the impression that the remaining of President Musharaf in power is indispensable for PPP Government. Because once President Musharaf is removed from power, the burden of war on terror campaign will be born by PPP Government, for which she is unwilling to take the responsibility. It is interesting to note that in the beginning only a section of theologists under the leadership of Jamat-e-Islami were opposing the war on terror, but with the passage of time mistakes of the Coalition forces and Musharaf regime plus the successful strategic moves of Al-Qaeda deviated the opinion of majority of general public in Pakistan. Now, the supporters of war on terror are nominal and are avoiding expressing their views openly in the Pakistani society.

At the moment, there is hardly any influential segment of society, who can openly and vehemently support the war on terror campaign and oppose Al-Qaeda/T.T.P. and related Jehadi forces’ activities in the country. The Journalists have also played their pivotal role by criticizing the war on terror campaign. They are constantly moulding the public view that militancy grown in Pakistan due to war on terror campaign, which means that before 9/11 militancy was non existent in Pakistan. In support of their views, they have argued that targeting the militants’ hideouts whenever collateral damage occurred, the victims’ family members become suicide bombers against them. Though this argument also applies on the family members of those killed in suicide attacks carried out by these militants, but these Journalists are unable to present facts and figures that how many family members of those killed sought revenge from these militants.