Adam Isen


I am an economist in the Office of Tax Analysis at the U.S. Department of the Treasury.  My research interests are in labor and public economics.  Please click here for my CV and see below for working and published papers.  I can be reached at   

Working Papers

The Effect of Pension Income on Elderly Earnings: Evidence from Social Security and Full Population Data, with Alexander Gelber and Jae Song (revise and resubmitQuarterly Journal of Economics)

Parental Resources and Children's College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery Wins, with George Bulman, Robert Fairlie, and Sarena Goodman 

Un-Fortunate Sons: Effects of the Vietnam Draft Lottery on the Next Generation's Labor Market, with Sarena Goodman

The Effect of High-Skilled Immigration Policy on Firms: Evidence from H-1B Visa Lotteries, with Kirk Doran and Alexander Gelber, NBER Working Paper 20668 

Dying to Know: Are Workers Paid Their Marginal Product?, (new version coming soon)

Published Papers

Every Breath You Take - Every Dollar You'll Make: The Long-Term Consequences of the Clean Air Act of 1970, with Maya Rossin-Slater and Reed Walker, NBER Working Paper 19858, Forthcoming, Journal of Political Economy.

The Effects of Youth Employment: Evidence from New York City Summer Youth Employment Program Lotteries, with Alexander Gelber and Judd Kessler, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2016, 131, 423-460 (earlier version circulated as NBER Working Paper 20810)

Do Local Fiscal Spillovers Exist? Evidence from Counties, Municipalities, and School DistrictsJournal of Public Economics, 2014, 110, 57-73

Child Schooling and Parental Behavior: Evidence from the Head Start Impact Study, with Alexander Gelber, Journal of Public Economics, 2013, 101, 25-38 (earlier version circulated as NBER Working Paper 17704)

Women’s Education and Family Behavior: Trends in Marriage, Divorce and Fertility, with Betsey Stevenson in Demography and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, 2010 (earlier version circulated as NBER Working Paper 15725)

On Inferring Demand for Health Care in the Presence of Anchoring and Selection Biases, with Jay Bhattacharya, Berkeley Electronic Press Forum for Health Economics & Policy, Vol. 12 (2), 2009 (earlier version circulated as NBER Working Paper 13865)

“Insurance and New Technology” with Mark Pauly in The Economics of New Health Technology, Oxford University Press, 2009