Adam Isen


I am an economist in the Office of Tax Analysis at the U.S. Department of the Treasury.  My research interests are in labor and public economics.  Please click here for my CV and see below for working and published papers.  I can be reached at   

Working Papers

The Effect of High-Skilled Immigration Policy on Firms: Evidence from H-1B Visa Lotteries, with Kirk Doran and Alexander Gelber (revise and resubmitJournal of Political Economy)

The Effect of Pension Income on Elderly Earnings: Evidence from Social Security and Full Population Data, with Alexander Gelber and Jae Song (revise and resubmitQuarterly Journal of Economics)

The Effect of Youth Employment on Crime: Evidence from New York City Lotteries, with Judd Kessler, Sarah Tahamont, and Alexander Gelber

Dying to Know: Are Workers Paid Their Marginal Product?, (new version coming soon)

Published Papers

A Day Late and a Dollar Short: Liquidity and Household Formation among Student Borrowers, with Sarena Goodman and Constantine Yannelis (accepted, Journal of Financial Economics)

Parental Resources and College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery Wins, with George Bulman, Robert Fairlie, and Sarena Goodman (forthcomingAmerican Economic Review)

Income Responses to the Affordable Care Act: Evidence from the Premium Tax Credit Notch, with Brad Heim, Gillian Hunter, Ithai Lurie, and Shanthi Ramnath (forthcoming, Journal of Health Economics)

Un-Fortunate Sons: Effects of the Vietnam Draft Lottery on the Next Generation's Labor Market, with Sarena GoodmanAmerican Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2020, 12, 182-209

The Relationship Between Season of Birth, Temperature Exposure, and Later Life Well-Being, with Maya Rossin-Slater and Reed Walker, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2017, 114, 13447-13452

Every Breath You Take - Every Dollar You'll Make: The Long-Term Consequences of the Clean Air Act of 1970, with Maya Rossin-Slater and Reed Walker,  Journal of Political Economy, 2017, 125, 842-902

The Effects of Youth Employment: Evidence from New York City Summer Youth Employment Program Lotteries, with Alexander Gelber and Judd Kessler, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2016, 131, 423-460

Do Local Fiscal Spillovers Exist? Evidence from Counties, Municipalities, and School DistrictsJournal of Public Economics, 2014, 110, 57-73

Child Schooling and Parental Behavior: Evidence from the Head Start Impact Study, with Alexander Gelber, Journal of Public Economics, 2013, 101, 25-38 

Women’s Education and Family Behavior: Trends in Marriage, Divorce and Fertility, with Betsey Stevenson in Demography and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, 2010 

On Inferring Demand for Health Care in the Presence of Anchoring and Selection Biases, with Jay Bhattacharya, Berkeley Electronic Press Forum for Health Economics & Policy, Vol. 12 (2), 2009

“Insurance and New Technology” with Mark Pauly in The Economics of New Health Technology, Oxford University Press, 2009