PERiLS template


1. Past-presentWest WV loopGFS 300 mb N.A. analysisLast 2 days CONUS RAP analysesLast 2 days N.A. precipitable waterGulf Coast surface obsRegional soundingsGulf Coast visible loop
2. Synoptic overviewN.A. 300 mb GFS forecastCONUS GFS 4-panel forecastRegional GFS Td/winds:  Southern Plains Regional GFS  925 mb winds: Southern PlainsRegional GFS  CAPE/hodos: Southern Plains
3a. Short fuse: Model comparisonsForecast 500 mb heights/winds Forecast Td/windsForecast 925 mb windsForecast MSLP/precipRegional reflectivity: Southern PlainsRegional CAPE/hodos: Southern Plains click for point soundingsHREF: Southeast dBZ paintballsHREF: Southeast UH paintballsSREF: Southern Plains Prob CAPESREF: Southern Plains Prob STP SREF: Southern Plains POP
3b. Medium range: Model comparisonsDeterministic 300 mb N.A. comparisonEnsemble 500 mb members CONUSEnsemble clustersEnsemble MSLP comparisonEnsemble Td comparisonEnsemble CAPE members SoutheastEnsemble 850 wind comparisonNCAR FV3-CAM to D8 ensembleNCAR MPAS-CAM to D5 ensemble
4. Guidance for dummiesall SPC outlooksCSU GEFS ML severe probabilitiesCIPS GEFS-analog severe probabilities