After careful thinking, you decide to not take a risk and pick the cards.
You pick your cards, with a few good resources, you feel good.
Later, your friend is just 6 spaces away from finishing the game. Knowing that it is really hard to roll a 6, on your turn, you pick more cards.
To your absolute horror, your friend miraculously rolls a 6 and beats you at your own game.
You think to yourself, Maybe I should have taken a risk and rolled the dice.