The Pitfalls of Reasoning Models in Factual Tasks: Lessons from DeepSeek R1 and OpenAI O1
Large Language Models (LLMs) have made remarkable strides in natural language understanding, offering everything from chatbots that mimic human conversation to sophisticated tools that can compose essays, explain scientific concepts, or provide programming help.
At their core, these models rely on patterns in huge text datasets to predict the most likely next word or phrase, allowing them to emulate reasoning, discuss complex ideas, and even generate creative narratives.
However, these models can sometimes go astray when it comes to factual accuracy—especially around real-world events or numbers. In this post, we’ll explore the pitfalls of LLMs that appear to “reason” about factual content but end up mixing up or misrepresenting critical details, using two example models: R1 and O1.
I chose the 2020 election because it’s both controversial and well-documented, making it the perfect test to see how a model’s “reasoning” handles a high-stakes but firmly established factual event.
When “Reasoning” Goes Wrong: A Look at R1
The R1 model is heralded for its strong reasoning abilities. It can weave together threads of logic, recall context, and draw connections between concepts—at least superficially.
However, it made a glaring mistake when asked about the 2020 U.S. presidential election: it claimed that Joe Biden won the popular vote but did not secure the most electoral votes.
In reality, the 2020 election results are well-documented: Biden received 306 electoral votes to Trump’s 232, meaning Biden won both the popular vote and the Electoral College.
Why did R1 stumble so badly?
A likely cause is that R1 latched onto a familiar narrative in U.S. elections: occasionally, a candidate wins the popular vote yet loses the electoral vote (as happened in 2000 and 2016). Despite R1’s adeptness at “reasoning,” it incorrectly blended that general scenario with the 2020 election’s specifics.
This phenomenon illustrates our prodigal problem with hallucination, where an LLM conjures plausible-sounding but incorrect statements (Refer to my earlier post on this topic).
Now, let’s go with the examples from the Attached Screenshots (and… The Bigger Issue)
Screenshot 1:
R1 tried to summarize the 2020 U.S. presidential election, stating that Joe Biden won the popular vote but lost the electoral vote—an outright contradiction of reality. It conflated an often-cited scenario in U.S. politics (popular vote winners losing elections) with what happened in 2020