Changes to the Department of Education could lead to services being reallocated to various other departments and to the states. Photo by Andy Feliciotti on Unsplash 

by Eleanor Kerrfinger

Once the dust settled from the political upheaval and military revolt in the power center of Guinea-Bissau, it was clear that not only the internal dynamics of the country, but also the geopolitical relations were profoundly affected by the events.

The military coup happened amidst the political tensions getting higher by the day and civil unrest. It is a clear indication of the return of military regimes in West Africa and a step backward for democratic governance in Guinea-Bissau. The country, which has a very poor history of coups and political instability, is now pointing in the direction of political reforms and economic recovery. This action has caused widespread alarm among those living in Guinea-Bissau and in the international community, especially with the possibilities of disorder and a humanitarian crisis that is coming.

One of the immediate ramifications of the coup is the unpredictability of international relationships. The new government, which is military-led, may find it difficult to keep up with the demands of partners and donors who have provided foreign aid to Guinea-Bissau, especially concerning human rights and governance. Governments and international communities, such as the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), The African Union, and the United Nations may strategize their partnerships differently, resulting in fewer engagements or support.

Further, the intervention has effects on drug trafficking in the area. Guinea-Bissau has been pinpointed as a major point of a transshipment route for cocaine trafficked from South America to Europe. With the instability resulting from the military takeover, this problem can continue to grow as the criminal networks will have free rein to take advantage of the government’s weakened state, making security and governance in the country deteriorate even more.

While the international community has been critical but prudent in its condemnations, the restoration of democracy has generally been called for by some countries. The geopolitical interests of the different players, however, create a complex scenario. Consequently, the surrounding countries remain alert as they could experience a shift in power dynamics and be affected too. The issue of coups and counter-coups that has been West African politics for the last 30 years is significant in this regard.

In brief, the military takeover in Guinea-Bissau marks a crucial moment in its history, not only domestically but also internationally. The globe actors involved in this intricate political chess are never far away from the actual consequences of their actions, which are first and foremost for the people of Guinea-Bissau and, secondly, for the West African region at large. Consistent efforts in the field of diplomacy and pacing the situation will go a long way to bringing back peace, stability, and democratic processes in this troubled land.

Stakeholders that come from both local and international events need to be aware of the fact that in such circumstances, a peaceful solution that is in line with the people’s will and preserves the region’s solidarity is of utmost ​‍​‌‍​‍‌​‍​‌‍​‍‌importance.

International relations became front and center recently as President Donald Trump and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia. This meeting highlights the ongoing relationship between the United States and Saudi Arabia. The meeting has generated mixed reactions worldwide as people consider the potential benefits and the concerns it raises.

One of the biggest concerns raised by critics is the human rights record of Saudi Arabia. Under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the kingdom has come under fire for its actions, such as the brutal killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Yemen. Many worry that a meeting with Trump could give the Crown Prince more legitimacy. This would overshadow these violations and send a message that the U.S. values geopolitical alliances more than human rights.

Critics argue that the excitement surrounding arms deals and economic partnerships ignores the troubling effects on the region. They fear that closer ties could strengthen Saudi Arabia's aggressive foreign policy, especially towards Iran and its neighbors. This might lead to further instability in the Middle East.

On the other hand, supporters of the meeting point out several possible benefits from better U.S.-Saudi relations. For one, closer cooperation with Saudi Arabia could improve security partnerships in the region. Since Saudi Arabia is an important player in Middle Eastern politics, stronger ties could help promote stability and coordinate efforts against common threats, especially in limiting Iranian influence.

Additionally, the economic effects of these meetings can be important. More trade and investment opportunities could boost both economies. The U.S. could gain from profitable arms deals and open markets for American businesses. Working together in the energy sectors, especially given the changing oil prices, might lead to greater stability in global energy markets.

Trump’s approach shows a more transactional relationship with allies like Saudi Arabia. While this has faced criticism, it has also created opportunities for discussions that could lead to practical results, such as regional security partnerships or economic projects.

Ultimately, the meeting between Trump and the Crown Prince highlights the challenges of international diplomacy. As global events unfold, the world is watching closely to see how these dynamics will develop and what they mean for the future of U.S.-Saudi relations.