Legislative Behavior Absent Reelection Incentives: Findings from a Natural Experiment in the Arkansas Senate, with Andrew Feher.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, forthcoming.
Supplemental appendix.

Differential Registration Bias in Voter File Data: A Sensitivity Analysis Approach, with Brendan Nyhan and Christopher Skovron.
American Journal of Political Science, forthcoming.
Supplemental appendix.

rdrobust: Software for Regression Discontinuity Designs, with Sebastian Calonico, Matías Cattaneo and Max Farrell.
Stata Journal, forthcoming.
To install, see the rdrobust software page.

Comparing Inference Approaches for RD Designs: A Reexamination of the Effect of Head Start on Child Mortality, with Matías Cattaneo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, forthcoming.
Software page. Replication files.

An Overview of Geographically Discontinuous Treatment Assignments With an Application to Children’s Health Insurance, with Luke Keele, Scott Lorch, Molly Passarella, and Dylan Small.
Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications (Advances in Econometrics, Volume 38), M. D. Cattaneo and J. C. Escanciano (ed.), Emerald Publishing Limited, pp. 147-194, 2017.

On Interpreting the Regression Discontinuity Design as a Local Experiment, with Jasjeet Sekhon.
Regression Discontinuity Designs: Theory and Applications (Advances in Econometrics, Volume 38), M. D. Cattaneo and J. C. Escanciano (ed.), Emerald Publishing Limited, pp. 1-28, 2017.

The Incumbency Curse: Weak Parties, Term Limits, and Unfulfilled Accountability, with Marko Klašnja.
American Political Science Review 111(1): 129-148, 2017.
Supplemental appendix. Replication files.
A previous version of this manuscript was circulated under the title Incumbency Advantage in Brazil: Evidence from Municipal Mayor Elections.

Understanding Regression Discontinuity Designs as Observational Studies, with Jasjeet Sekhon.
Observational Studies 2: 174-182, 2016.

Interpreting Regression Discontinuity Designs with Multiple Cutoffs, with Matías Cattaneo, Luke Keele and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Journal of Politics 78(4): 1229-1248, 2016.
Supplemental appendix.

Cause or Effect? Turnout in Hispanic Majority-Minority Districts, with John Henderson and Jasjeet Sekhon.
Political Analysis 24(3): 404-412, 2016.
Supplemental appendix.

Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs under Local Randomization, with Matías Cattaneo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare.
Stata Journal 16(2): 331-367, 2016.
To install, see the rdlocrand software page.

Drawing Your Senator From a Jar: Term Length and Legislative Behavior.
Political Science Research and Methods 4(2): 293-316, 2016.
Supplemental appendix. Replication files.

Natural Experiments Based on Geography, with Luke Keele.
Political Science Research and Methods 4(1): 65-95, 2016.
Replication files.

Optimal Data-Driven Regression Discontinuity Plots, with Sebastián Calonico and Matías Cattaneo.
Journal of the American Statistical Association 110(512): 1753-1769, 2015.
Supplemental appendix. Software page.

rdrobust: An R Package for Robust Nonparametric Inference in Regression-Discontinuity Designs, with Sebastián Calonico and Matías Cattaneo.
R Journal 7(1): 38-51, 2015.
To install, see the rdrobust software page.

Using Regression Discontinuity to Uncover the Personal Incumbency Advantage, with Robert Erikson.
Quarterly Journal of Political Science 10(1): 101-119, 2015.
Supplemental appendix. Replication files.

Randomization Inference in the Regression Discontinuity Design: An Application to Party Advantages in the U.S. Senate, with Matías Cattaneo and Brigham Frandsen.
Journal of Causal Inference 3(1): 1-24, 2015.
Software page.

Geographic Boundaries as Regression Discontinuities, with Luke Keele.
Political Analysis 23(1): 127-155, 2015. Replication files.

Can Big Data Solve the Fundamental Problem of Causal Inference?
PS: Political Science Politics 48(1): 74-79, 2015.

Enhancing a Geographic Regression Discontinuity Design Through Matching to Estimate the Effect of Ballot Initiatives on Voter Turnout, with Luke Keele and Jose Zubizarreta.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A 178(1): 223-239, 2015.
Supplemental appendix.

Robust Data-Driven Inference in the Regression-Discontinuity Design, with Sebastián Calonico and Matías Cattaneo.
Stata Journal 14(4): 909-946, 2014.
To install, see the rdrobust software page.

Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression-Discontinuity Designs, with Sebastián Calonico and Matías Cattaneo.
Econometrica 82(6): 2295–2326, 2014.
Supplemental appendix. Software page.

When Natural Experiments Are Neither Natural Nor Experiments, with Jasjeet Sekhon.
American Political Science Review 106(1): 35-57, 2012.
Supplemental appendix.

Review of Field Experiments: Design, Analysis and Interpretation, by Alan S. Gerber and Donald P. Green.
Newsletter of the APSA Experimental Section, Volume 3, Issue 1, 2012.

Two Tailed Test.
Encyclopedia of Research Design, SAGE Publications, 2010.

Housing, Health and Happiness, with Matías Cattaneo, Sebastián Galiani, Paul Gertler and Sebastián Martinez.
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 1(1): 75-105, 2009.
Replication files.

Changes in the Panamanian Wage Structure: A Quantile Regression Analysis, with Sebastián Galiani.
Económica 51(1): 3-27, 2005.