2013-12-09. The Montreal Protocol, a Little Treaty That Could.
Excerpt: Here is a remarkable fact about
global warming: It might be twice as bad right now were it not for a
treaty negotiated by a conservative American president, for an entirely
different purpose, based on motives no one has ever quite understood.
That treaty is known, in shorthand, as the Montreal Protocol. Its formal
purpose is to save the ozone layer in the upper atmosphere, which
protects the planet and its people from debilitating levels of
cancer-causing ultraviolet radiation. The negotiations on behalf of the
United States, in the 1980s, were carried out by the Reagan
administration. ...The Montreal Protocol is widely seen as the most
successful global environmental treaty. ...the treaty may be even more
important in limiting global warming than we thought.... http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/10/science/the-montreal-protocol-a-little-treaty-that-could.html. Justin Gillis, The New York Times.
2013-11-25. Emissions of Methane in U.S. Exceed Estimates, Study Finds. For GSS Climate Change chapter 3. Excerpt: Emissions of the greenhouse gas methane due to human activity were roughly 1.5 times greater in the United States in the middle of the last decade than prevailing estimates, according to a new analysis by 15 climate scientists published Monday in The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. ...methane discharges in Texas and Oklahoma, where oil and gas production was concentrated at the time, were 2.7 times greater than conventional estimates. Emissions from oil and gas activity alone could be five times greater than the prevailing estimate.... Methane made up only about 9 percent of greenhouse gas emissions in 2011, the E.P.A. said; carbon dioxide is easily the most prevalent gas. But methane is much more potent. Even though it rapidly breaks down in the atmosphere, its contribution to global warming is 21 times greater than carbon dioxide’s over a 100-year period.... http://www.nytimes.com/2013/11/26/us/emissions-of-methane-in-us-exceed-estimates-study-finds.html. Michael Wines, The New York Times.
2012 Draft U.S. Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report - EPA's Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP) collects annual greenhouse gas (GHG) data from facilities that directly emit large amounts of GHGs and from suppliers of certain fossil fuels and industrial gases. Data collection under the GHGRP began in 2010 for 9 industry groups, including 29 source categories, plus suppliers. Enviromental Protection Agency greenhouse gas emissions page: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/emissions
2012-04-20. Food for thought on greenhouse gas emissions | by Rachel Berkowitz, Physics Today. Excerpt: …Reducing humans’ meat consumption by at least 50% will be necessary to stabilize discharge of nitrous oxide, a potent greenhouse gas, by 2050. …In a world dependent on nitrogen for food production—it has been estimated that more than half Earth’s human population is fed as a result of synthetic nitrogen fertilizer use—agriculture is responsible for more than 80% of anthropogenic nitrous oxide emissions…. The third highest greenhouse gas contributor to climate change after carbon dioxide and methane, N2O is the most potent of the three gases because it's a better absorber of IR radiation. …But it's going to be tricky to reduce N2O emissions, as food production processes have been accelerating to feed Earth’s growing human population, which is currently at 7 billion. The nitrogen-use efficiency of crops is far from perfect, and efficiency is further reduced when crops are used as animal feed. In its fifth assessment report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) presented several scenarios … that represent possible ways to reduce major greenhouse gas emissions. …The most aggressive involves stabilizing N2O concentrations by 2050 via a combination of reducing humans’ meat consumption, improving agricultural efficiency, and reducing emissions from industry. …The study, however, lends new value to Albert Einstein’s observation that "Nothing will benefit human health and increase chances for survival of life on Earth as much as the evolution to a vegetarian diet."
2011 September 7. Detailed global portrait of greenhouse gases emerges from pole-to-pole flights. UCAR News. Excerpt: A three-year series of research flights from the Arctic to the Antarctic has successfully produced an unprecedented portrait of greenhouse gases and particles in the atmosphere…
The far-reaching field project, known as HIPPO, is enabling researchers to generate the first detailed thee-dimensional mapping of the global distribution of gases and particles that affect Earth’s climate…
“Tracking carbon dioxide and other gases with only surface measurements has been like snorkeling with a really foggy mask,” says Britton Stephens, a scientist with the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and one of the project's principal investigators. “Finally, HIPPO is giving us a clear view of what’s really out there.”
“With HIPPO, we now have views of whole slices of the atmosphere,” says Steven Wofsy, HIPPO principal investigator and atmospheric and environmental professor at Harvard University’s School of Engineering and Applied Sciences…
2010 March 4. Study Says Undersea Release of Methane Is Under Way. By Cornelia Dean, NY Times. Excerpt:
Climate scientists have long warned that global warming could unlock
vast stores of the greenhouse gas methane that are frozen into the
Arctic permafrost, setting off potentially significant increases in
Now researchers at the University of Alaska, Fairbanks, and elsewhere
say this change is under way in a little-studied area under the sea,
the East Siberian Arctic Shelf, west of the Bering Strait.
Natalia Shakhova, a scientist at the university and a leader of the
study, said it was too soon to say whether the findings suggest that a
dangerous release of methane looms. In a telephone news conference, she
said researchers were only beginning to track the movement of this
methane into the atmosphere as the undersea permafrost that traps it
But climate experts familiar with the new research reported in Friday’s
issue of the journal Science that even though it does not suggest
imminent climate catastrophe, it is important because of methane’s role
as a greenhouse gas. Although carbon dioxide is far more abundant and
persistent in the atmosphere, ton for ton atmospheric methane traps at
least 25 times as much heat....
2009 Nov-Dec. Livestock and Climate Change. By Robert Goodland and Jeff Anhang, World Watch Institute, Vision for a Sustainable World. Excerpt:
Whenever the causes of climate change are discussed, fossil fuels top
the list. Oil, natural gas, and especially coal are indeed major
sources of human-caused emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other
greenhouse gases (GHGs). But we believe that the life cycle and supply
chain of domesticated animals raised for food have been vastly
underestimated as a source of GHGs, ...
... When uncounted tons are added to the global inventory of
atmospheric GHGs, that inventory rises from 41,755 million tons to
63,803 million tons. The FAO [United Nations Food and Agriculture
Organization] excludes livestock respiration from its estimate, per the
following argument: Respiration by livestock is not a net source of CO2
Emissions from livestock respiration are part of a rapidly cycling
biological system, where the plant matter consumed was itself created
through the conversion of atmospheric CO2 into organic compounds. ...
our analysis shows that livestock and their byproducts actually account
for at least 32,564 million tons of CO2 per year, or 51 percent of
annual worldwide GHG emissions.
...Action to replace livestock products not only can achieve quick
reductions in atmospheric GHGs, but can also reverse the ongoing world
food and water crises....
2009 October 14. Curbing Emissions by Sealing Gas Leaks. By ANDREW C. REVKIN and CLIFFORD KRAUSS, The NY Times. Excerpt:
To the naked eye, there was nothing to be seen at a natural gas well in
eastern Texas but beige pipes and tanks baking in the sun.
But in the viewfinder of Terry Gosney’s infrared camera, three black
plumes of gas gushed through leaks that were otherwise invisible.
“Holy smoke, it’s blowing like mad,” said Mr. Gosney, an environmental
field coordinator for EnCana, the Canadian gas producer that operates
the year-old well near Franklin, Tex. “It does look nasty.”
Within a few days the leaks had been sealed by workers.
Efforts like EnCana’s save energy and money. Yet they are also a cheap,
effective way of blunting climate change that could potentially be
replicated thousands of times over, from Wyoming to Siberia, energy
experts say. Natural gas consists almost entirely of methane, a potent
heat-trapping gas that scientists say accounts for as much as a third
of the human contribution to global warming....
2009 August 17. As Arctic Ocean warms, megatonnes of methane bubble up. By Michael Marshall, New Scientist. Excerpt:
It's been predicted for years, and now it's happening. Deep in the
Arctic Ocean, water warmed by climate change is forcing the release of
methane from beneath the sea floor.
Over 250 plumes of gas have been discovered bubbling up from the sea
floor to the west of the Svalbard archipelago, which lies north of
Norway. The bubbles are mostly methane, which is a greenhouse gas much
more powerful than carbon dioxide.
The methane is probably coming from reserves of methane hydrate beneath
the sea bed. These hydrates, also known as clathrates, are water ice
with methane molecules embedded in them....
The methane being released from hydrate in the 600-square-kilometre
area studied probably adds up to 27 kilotonnes a year, which suggests
that the entire hydrate deposit around Svalbard could be releasing 20
megatonnes a year.
If methane began escaping at similar rates throughout the Arctic, it
would dramatically increase methane levels in the atmosphere.
Globally, it's thought that around 500 to 600 megatonnes of methane are released into the atmosphere each year....
2009 April 15. Third-World Stove Soot Is Target in Climate Fight. By Elisabeth Rosenthal, The NY Times. Excerpt:
KOHLUA, India — “It’s hard to believe that this is what’s melting the
glaciers,” said Dr. Veerabhadran Ramanathan, one of the world’s leading
climate scientists, as he weaved through a warren of mud brick huts,
each containing a mud cookstove pouring soot into the atmosphere.
...In Kohlua, in central India, with no cars and little electricity,
emissions of carbon dioxide, the main heat-trapping gas linked to
global warming, are near zero. But soot — also known as black carbon —
from tens of thousands of villages like this one in developing
countries is emerging as a major and previously unappreciated source of
global climate change.
While carbon dioxide may be the No. 1 contributor to rising global
temperatures, scientists say, black carbon has emerged as an important
No. 2, with recent studies estimating that it is responsible for 18
percent of the planet’s warming, compared with 40 percent for carbon
dioxide. Decreasing black carbon emissions would be a relatively cheap
way to significantly rein in global warming — especially in the short
term, climate experts say....
...decreasing soot could have a rapid effect. Unlike carbon dioxide,
which lingers in the atmosphere for years, soot stays there for a few
weeks. Converting to low-soot cookstoves would remove the warming
effects of black carbon quickly, while shutting a coal plant takes
years to substantially reduce global CO2 concentrations....
2008 October 29. NASA Measurements Show Greenhouse Gas Methane on the Rise Again. NASA RELEASE : 08-276. Excerpt:
WASHINGTON -- The amount of methane in Earth's atmosphere shot up in
2007, bringing to an end approximately a decade in which atmospheric
levels of the potent greenhouse gas were essentially stable....
Methane levels in the atmosphere have more than doubled since
pre-industrial times, accounting for around one-fifth of the human
contribution to greenhouse gas-driven global warming. Until recently,
the leveling off of methane levels had suggested that the rate of its
emission from Earth's surface was being approximately balanced by the
rate of its destruction in the atmosphere.
However, the balance has been upset since early 2007, according to
research published this week in the American Geophysical Union's
"Geophysical Research Letters." The paper's lead authors, Matthew Rigby
and Ronald Prinn of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, say this
imbalance has resulted in several million metric tons of additional
methane in the atmosphere.
...It is too early to tell whether this increase represents a return to
sustained methane growth, or the beginning of a relatively short-lived
anomaly, according to Rigby and Prinn. Given that methane is about 25
times stronger as a greenhouse gas per metric ton of emissions than
carbon dioxide, the situation will require careful monitoring in the
near future to better understand methane's impact on future climate
2008 October 24. The Most Potent Unknown Greenhouse Gas Revealed. Environment News Service. Excerpt:
A gas used in manufacture of flat panel televisions, computer displays,
microcircuits, and thin-film solar panels is 17,000 times more potent a
greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, and it is far more prevalent in the
atmosphere than previously estimated.
The powerful greenhouse gas nitrogen trifluoride, NF3, is at least four
times more widespread than scientists had believed, according to new
research by a team at Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the
University of California, San Diego.
Using new analytical techniques, a team led by Scripps geochemistry
professor Ray Weiss made the first atmospheric measurements of nitrogen
...The amount of the gas in the atmosphere...had been estimated at less
than 1,200 metric tons in 2006. The new research shows the actual
amount was 4,200 metric tons.
In 2008, about 5,400 metric tons of the gas was in the atmosphere, a quantity that is increasing at about 11 percent per year.
...Emissions of NF3 were thought to be so low that the gas was not
considered to be a significant potential contributor to global warming.
..."From a climate perspective, there is a need to add NF3 to the suite
of greenhouse gases whose production is inventoried and whose emissions
are regulated under the Kyoto Protocol, thus providing meaningful
incentives for its wise use," said Weiss....
See Also NASA RELEASE : 08-268. Potent Greenhouse Gas More Common in Atmosphere Than Estimated
2008 September 1. Thawing permafrost likely to boost global warming. Eureka
Alert. Excerpt: The thawing of permafrost in northern latitudes, which
greatly increases microbial decomposition of carbon compounds in soil,
will dominate other effects of warming in the region and could become a
major force promoting the release of carbon dioxide and thus further
warming, according to a new assessment in the September 2008 issue of
BioScience. The study, by Edward A. G. Schuur of the University of
Florida and an international team of coauthors, more than doubles
previous estimates of the amount of carbon stored in the permafrost:
the new figure is equivalent to twice the total amount of atmospheric
Schuur and his colleagues...judge that over millennia, soil processes
have buried and frozen over a trillion metric tons of organic compounds
in the world's vast permafrost regions. The relatively rapid warming
now under way is bringing the organic material back into the ecosystem,
in part by turning over soil....
Schuur and his colleagues acknowledge many difficulties in estimating
carbon dioxide emissions from permafrost regions.... Data are limited,
and emissions are influenced by the amount of surface water,
topography, wildfires, snow cover, and other factors. Thawing, although
believed to be critical, is hard to model accurately.
Some warming-related trends in Arctic regions, such as the encroachment
of trees into tundra, may cause absorption of carbon dioxide and thus
partly counter the effects of thawing permafrost. But Schuur and
colleagues' new assessment indicates that thawing is likely to dominate
known countervailing trends....
2008 July 3. Plasma, LCDs blamed for accelerating global warming. ABC News. Excerpt:
A gas used in the making of flat screen televisions, nitrogen
trifluoride (NF3), is being blamed for damaging the atmosphere and
accelerating global warming.
Almost half of the televisions sold around the globe so far this year
have been plasma or LCD TVs. ...The gas, widely used in the manufacture
of flat screen TVs, is estimated to be 17,000 times as powerful as
Ironically, NF3 is not covered by the Kyoto protocol as it was only produced in tiny amounts when the treaty was signed in 1997.
Levels of this gas in the atmosphere have not been measured, but
scientists say it is a concern and are calling for it to be included in
any future emissions cutting agreement.
Professor Michael Prather from the University of California has
highlighted the issue in an article for the magazine New Scientist.
...He estimates 4,000 tons of NF3 will be produced in 2008 and that number is likely to double next year.
...Dr Paul Fraser is the chief research scientist at the CSIRO's marine and atmospheric research centre, and an IPCC author.
He says without measuring the quantity of NF3 in the atmosphere it is unclear what impact it will have on the climate.
"We haven't observed it in the atmosphere. It's probably there in very low concentrations," he said.
"The key to whether it's a problem or not is how much is released to the atmosphere."
16 February 2007. PHYTOPLANKTON AID IN GREENHOUSE GAS CONTROL - This
broadcast of Earth & Sky radio show featured NASA Earth science.
The show is also available to download as an audio Podcast.
February 2006. From Carbon Cycles to Climate Models. By David Pescovitz. ScienceMatters@Berkeley Volume 3, Issue 18. ... UC
Berkeley professor Inez Fung constructs incredibly complex computer
simulations of the climate. ..."There's a rogues gallery of these
atmospheric species, greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane,
that affect the energy cycle and climate," says Fung, co-director of
the new Berkeley Institute of the Environment and former director of
the Berkeley Atmospheric Sciences Center. "I'm hitting them one-by-one
to understand what determines their concentration in the atmosphere,
why that's changing, and how." ...Most famously, Fung and her
colleagues modeled the carbon cycle, how carbon dioxide moves in and
out of the atmosphere. Previous calculations included the fact that
humans burning fossil fuel at a certain rate will boost carbon dioxide
levels in the atmosphere. [see graphic depiction of the Earth's carbon
cycle, highlighting various sources and sinks for carbon.] ...Fung
studies the whole shebang. ...trees are much more involved in carbon
uptake and atmospheric cooling than previously believed. A study in the
Amazonian forest showed that the roots shift water deep in the ground
in such a way that they "pull more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
as they conduct more photosynthesis" even during the dry season, Dawson
says. The trouble is that there's a limit to how much carbon dioxide
the world's plants can handle. Right now, plants and oceans absorb
about half of the CO2 that's generated from the burning of fossil
fuels. Last year, Fung's climate model indicated that in the next fifty
years or so, the "breathing biosphere" may be overwhelmed. ...And after
plants die, their decomposition by microbes in the soil also play a
part in the carbon cycle. "If you don't look at decomposition, it's
like looking at your income without considering your expenses," Fung
says. "You have to think about the whole life cycle across the entire
biosphere." Simultaneously, the oceans' capabilities as a CO2 sink are
[This was chapter 7 in previous edition.]
Archives of Articles for Chapter 3
EPA GHG data - 2010 Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Large Facilities
Explaining how the water vapor greenhouse effect works. From Skeptical Science.
The Greenhouse Effect.
Interactive Simulation from University of Colorado on how greenhouse
gases affect the climate. Settings for ice age and today, number of
clouds, greenhouse gas concentration. Compare the effect of glass
panes. Model how light interacts with molecules. [The name "PhET"
originally meant "Physics Education Technology," but now includes
simulations about many things, not just physics.